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Dissertation
Investissement socialement responsable : quelles sont les attentes des investisseurs institutionnels en matière de reporting extra-financier ?
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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Abstract

Companies are now expected to publish non-financial reports in the form of CSR reports,
integrated reports, sustainable development reports, social reports, etc. within the new Directive
on non-financial reporting. Institutional investors with social concerns are the main
beneficiaries. They are interested in both financial and non-financial criteria when making an
investment decision, especially concerning: socially responsible investment. Companies sense
the need to engage themselves to promote their Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) through
this non-financial reporting. For that reason, institutional investors potentially have an
important leverage effect on the CSR of companies for their social and environmental impacts.
However, a lot of companies still do not meet institutional investors’ expectations.
According to our meta-analysis, companies, unfortunately, face several obstacles, both internal
and external. Internally, companies still have to learn how to overcome a "positivity bias".
Highlighting compliance in the report is easy but it becomes more problematic for enterprises
to explain non-compliance. Externally, companies are faced with sometimes conflicting
expectations from regulators on the one hand (what should and should not be published) and
investors on the other (who expect very accurate information to be published).
This report first analyses the needs expressed by the institutional investors on non-financial
reporting and the way they assess companies on this matter. It then gives insights on how nonfinancial reporting could become more homogeneous, with high quality and transparency.
Several recommendations are the development of a standard(s) to ensure the materiality of
comparable, reliable, and relevant non-financial information disclosed and also assurance
through external control for extra-financial information.
Companies are proving to be rather reticent in the face of the change driven by the new Directive
on non-financial reporting. In fact, it requires them to make significant changes to their
reporting methods. They must now communicate on their performance and the level of
integration of social, environmental, and societal issues into their overall corporate strategy.
In conclusion, the dynamic of progress remains to be confirmed over the next few years.


Dissertation
Enlightening the financial and individual impact of Environmental, Social and Governance criteria on portfolio strategies
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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The financial performance of socially responsible investment (SRI) or environmental, social and governance (ESG) products is a topical financial issue which has been discussed in many papers. Surveys indicate either an outperformance or an underperformance and in many cases no difference at all compared to conventional investments. However most of the time these surveys are only studying one variable at a time. They study either the effect and financial performance of a rejection or selection of companies or investment funds according to a criterion which may be a high or low ESG score or the practice of low or very sustainable activities for instance. The aim of this thesis is to study individual and financial effects of various portfolio strategies composed of a combination of different levels of separately E, S and G ratings in both Europe and the USA.

Prior to the allocation into portfolios regional samples are divided into samples with high governance scores (G+) and low governance scores (G-). This choice was made since corporate governance is a key indicator for the good health of a company. Moreover it is the guarantee of the inclusion of other sustainability issues such as social and environmental challenges and consequently the E and S scores. The construction of portfolios is based on a ESG segmentation of samples in three equal parts for each individual pillar. The high portfolio is composed of the top 33% companies in E and S ratings. The medium portfolio is made of the next 33% companies in these ratings. The low portfolio is built with the last 33% companies regarding these scores. Regression outcomes (alphas) can be optimised, on the one hand, by considering additional information such as currency conversion of factors to avoid exchange rate bias for the European sample, and on the other hand by the addition of industry factors into the Fama-French multi-factor model to avoid industry bias.

Findings suggest that strategies designed with multiple ESG screens, the first screen for G then simultaneous screens with E and S, yield positive alpha even though results are not always statistically significant. Higher ESG scores seem to be more valuable and correlated to financial performance for European strategies while it is the opposite with American strategies which benefit more from lower scores. Nevertheless results vary across samples and strategies but the majority of them seem to indicate that multiple ESG screens lead to positive performance.


Dissertation
Est-ce que l'offre d'investissement durable rencontre la demande en termes de quantité de produit et en termes de préférence des investisseurs
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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The objective of this paper is to determine whether the supply of sustainable investments meets the demand in terms of product quantity and investor preference. Indeed, this kind of investment keeps growing increasingly.
In the first part of this master thesis, we start by giving a definition and identifying the origins of the concept of Socially Responsible Investment (SRI). Then, we made an analysis of the entire market, including the evolution of the offer, the market distribution and the motivations and obstacles to SRI. Afterwards, we talked about some of the points that we thought were important in the European Union's action plan. Indeed, some actions will have a greater impact on SRI supply and demand than others. After that, we proceeded to a definition of the different sustainable strategies. And we ended this part by discussing financial performance and the supply and demand for SRI.
In the second part of this paper, we conducted two surveys in order to answer the question raised above. The first survey concerned the demand for SRI and was therefore conducted among investors residing in the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg. Secondly, different from Luxembourg such as banks and asset management companies responded to our second survey on SRI offerings. Thanks to this, we were able to analyze the SRI market in Luxembourg and compare our results with the SRI market from EU that we described in our first part.
Finally, after writing this thesis, we can conclude that there is sufficient supply in terms of quantity but that investor preferences are not sufficiently assessed by financial advisors. Indeed, very few investors are aware of the concept of sustainable investment, but this will change thanks to the EU action plan. One of the aims of the Action Plan will be to oblige advisors to integrate sustainable aspects into the investor profile. Financial advisors will therefore be obliged to include sustainability in discussions with their clients.


Dissertation
Quelle est la proposition de valuer d'un fonds d'investissement à impact par rapport aux instruments de financement traditionnels?
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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Impact investing is a recent concept linking the best of both worlds between philanthropy and
entrepreneurship. This concept was born to overcome the inefficiency of public authorities in solving major social and environmental problems. Impact investing is characterized by the search for a double profit, namely a financial return as well as a social return. One of the main components of the definition is also the measurement of impact, which is necessary to be able to compare the relevance of two projects, or to see if the impact objectives have been achieved.
This market is still considered to be a niche market, and like any recent market, its development
faces various obstacles and opportunities. Indeed, the non-consensus regarding the definition of the concept, the difficulty of measuring impact, the lack of regulation and liquidity or the lack of
investment ready companies are challenges that will have to be overcome before the market
develops further. But practitioners are optimistic, as we will see in this research.
Given the figures, the market still has good days ahead. However, theorists have not been able to keep pace with practitioners in the production of scientific papers related to the world of social
impact finance. Thus, few or no articles cover the concept of the value proposition of an impact
investment fund.
After describing the main characteristics of the market, ranging from its history to its actors and
ecosystem, to its challenges and opportunities, this work will attempt to provide answers to the
following research question:
“What is the value proposition of an impact investment fund compared to traditional financing
instruments?”
As there is no real scientific literature on the subject, we conducted 18 interviews with industry
professionals to give us an idea of the potential value proposition of an impact entity, the aim will
also be to learn more about the current state of the market, mainly in Belgium


Book
Bank Management, Finance and Sustainability
Authors: ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Basel MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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This book comprises a collection of empirical and theoretical studies covering a wide range of themes related to bank management, finance and sustainability. Sustainability represents an opportunity for banks as it contributes to improvements in trust in the banking system. However, sustainable business models must be financially viable so that they can have a positive impact on banks’ profitability, stimulating the long-term growth and resilience of the banking industry and overall financial stability.Banks are widely acknowledged as playing a crucial role in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), as they can promote responsible investments and integrate environmental and social criteria into lending and investment strategies. Financial intermediaries can support projects and activities that create a measurable positive economic, social and environmental impact by providing easier access to capital. Furthermore, they can have an active role in improving the financial awareness, inclusion and resilience of the most vulnerable individuals in society.

Keywords

Coins, banknotes, medals, seals (numismatics) --- firm’s financial performance --- sustainability practices --- Islamic corporate governance --- mobile money --- SMEs --- financial performance --- payments and receipts --- Douala, Cameroon --- human capital --- social capital --- credit availability --- propensity score matching --- China --- risk tolerance --- risk aversion --- risk-taking --- MiFID II --- MiFIR --- suitability assessment --- households --- risky financial assets --- financial institutions --- financial advisory --- portfolio management --- financial constraints --- sustainable development --- ownership structure --- state subsidies --- former communist bloc --- institutional environment --- financial system --- corporate social responsibility --- CSR rating --- bank loan spread --- European syndicated loan market --- content analysis --- ethical banking --- global financial crisis --- hierarchical cluster analysis --- inductive category development --- in-depth interviews --- social banking --- socially responsible investment --- environmental performance --- climate change --- gender diversity --- board of directors --- banking sector --- external support --- environmental practices --- resource efficiency --- sustainable entrepreneurship --- firm size --- financial knowledge --- overconfidence --- underconfidence --- sustainable financial behavior --- financial market participation --- investment fraud --- over-indebtedness --- ethical financial companies --- ESG --- sustainable development goals (SDGs) --- bank efficiency --- bank cost --- stochastic frontier analysis --- stochastic metafrontier analysis --- high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) --- qualitative research --- reference group theory --- socially responsible investing (SRI) --- firm’s financial performance --- sustainability practices --- Islamic corporate governance --- mobile money --- SMEs --- financial performance --- payments and receipts --- Douala, Cameroon --- human capital --- social capital --- credit availability --- propensity score matching --- China --- risk tolerance --- risk aversion --- risk-taking --- MiFID II --- MiFIR --- suitability assessment --- households --- risky financial assets --- financial institutions --- financial advisory --- portfolio management --- financial constraints --- sustainable development --- ownership structure --- state subsidies --- former communist bloc --- institutional environment --- financial system --- corporate social responsibility --- CSR rating --- bank loan spread --- European syndicated loan market --- content analysis --- ethical banking --- global financial crisis --- hierarchical cluster analysis --- inductive category development --- in-depth interviews --- social banking --- socially responsible investment --- environmental performance --- climate change --- gender diversity --- board of directors --- banking sector --- external support --- environmental practices --- resource efficiency --- sustainable entrepreneurship --- firm size --- financial knowledge --- overconfidence --- underconfidence --- sustainable financial behavior --- financial market participation --- investment fraud --- over-indebtedness --- ethical financial companies --- ESG --- sustainable development goals (SDGs) --- bank efficiency --- bank cost --- stochastic frontier analysis --- stochastic metafrontier analysis --- high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) --- qualitative research --- reference group theory --- socially responsible investing (SRI)


Book
Bank Management, Finance and Sustainability
Authors: ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Basel MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

This book comprises a collection of empirical and theoretical studies covering a wide range of themes related to bank management, finance and sustainability. Sustainability represents an opportunity for banks as it contributes to improvements in trust in the banking system. However, sustainable business models must be financially viable so that they can have a positive impact on banks’ profitability, stimulating the long-term growth and resilience of the banking industry and overall financial stability.Banks are widely acknowledged as playing a crucial role in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), as they can promote responsible investments and integrate environmental and social criteria into lending and investment strategies. Financial intermediaries can support projects and activities that create a measurable positive economic, social and environmental impact by providing easier access to capital. Furthermore, they can have an active role in improving the financial awareness, inclusion and resilience of the most vulnerable individuals in society.

Keywords

Coins, banknotes, medals, seals (numismatics) --- firm’s financial performance --- sustainability practices --- Islamic corporate governance --- mobile money --- SMEs --- financial performance --- payments and receipts --- Douala, Cameroon --- human capital --- social capital --- credit availability --- propensity score matching --- China --- risk tolerance --- risk aversion --- risk-taking --- MiFID II --- MiFIR --- suitability assessment --- households --- risky financial assets --- financial institutions --- financial advisory --- portfolio management --- financial constraints --- sustainable development --- ownership structure --- state subsidies --- former communist bloc --- institutional environment --- financial system --- corporate social responsibility --- CSR rating --- bank loan spread --- European syndicated loan market --- content analysis --- ethical banking --- global financial crisis --- hierarchical cluster analysis --- inductive category development --- in-depth interviews --- social banking --- socially responsible investment --- environmental performance --- climate change --- gender diversity --- board of directors --- banking sector --- external support --- environmental practices --- resource efficiency --- sustainable entrepreneurship --- firm size --- financial knowledge --- overconfidence --- underconfidence --- sustainable financial behavior --- financial market participation --- investment fraud --- over-indebtedness --- ethical financial companies --- ESG --- sustainable development goals (SDGs) --- bank efficiency --- bank cost --- stochastic frontier analysis --- stochastic metafrontier analysis --- high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) --- qualitative research --- reference group theory --- socially responsible investing (SRI)


Book
Moral Incentives : Experimental Evidence from Repayments of an Islamic Credit Card.
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Abstract

This paper studies the role of morality in the decision to repay debts. Using a field experiment with a large Islamic bank in Indonesia, the paper finds that moral appeals strongly increase credit card repayments. In this setting, all of the banks late-paying credit card customers receive a basic reminder to repay their debt one day after they miss the payment due date. In addition, two days before the end of a ten-day grace period, clients in a treatment group also receive a text message that cites an Islamic religious text and states that "non-repayment of debts by someone who is able to repay is an injustice." This message increases the share of customers meeting their minimum payments by nearly 20 percent. By contrast, sending either a simple reminder or an Islamic quote that is unrelated to debt repayment has no effect on the share of customers making the minimum payment. Clients also respond more strongly to this moral appeal than to substantial financial incentives: receiving the religious message increases repayments by more than offering a cash rebate equivalent to 50 percent of the minimum repayment. Finally, the paper finds that removing religious aspects from the quote does not change its effectiveness, suggesting that the moral appeal of the message does not necessarily rely on its religious connotation.

Keywords

Access to credit --- Adverse selection --- Arrears --- Assets --- Bank indonesia --- Banking --- Bankruptcy and resolution of financial distress --- Banks and banking reform --- Borrowers --- Checking account --- Collect debts --- Collections --- Communications --- Consumer choice --- Consumer choices --- Credit card --- Credit card debt --- Credit control --- Credit market --- Current debt --- Customer service --- Customers --- Debt --- Debt forgiveness --- Debt markets --- Debt relief --- Debt repayment --- Debtor --- Debts --- Default --- Deposit --- E-Business --- Emerging markets --- Equity --- Equity fund --- Estate private sector development --- Ethical behavior --- Ethical global equity --- Ethical global equity fund --- Exchange --- Fair trade --- Finance and financial sector development --- Financial development --- Financial products --- Forgiveness --- Gambling --- Global equity --- Goods --- Grace period --- Grants --- Human capital --- Human rights --- Income --- Indebted --- Indebted poor countries --- Insurance --- Interest --- Interest rate --- Interest rates --- Interested party --- International bank --- Investment --- Investment management --- Investor --- Islamic bank --- Islamic law --- Late payment --- Law --- Liquidity --- Liquidity constraint --- Loan --- Loan repayment --- Moral hazard --- Moral suasion --- Mortgage --- New credit --- Outsourcing --- Outstanding debt --- Partner bank --- Payment --- Payments --- Peer pressure --- Penalties --- Penalty --- Political economy --- Portfolio --- Price --- Pricing --- Property --- Public debt --- Real estate --- Repayment --- Repayment behavior --- Repayment of debt --- Repayment of debts --- Repayment rate --- Repayment rates --- Responsible investment --- Restructuring --- Revenue --- Risk --- Saving --- Savings --- Savings account --- Savings accounts --- Services --- Share --- Shares --- Socially responsible investment --- Sovereign debt --- Stocks --- Student debt --- Student loans --- Trade --- Usury laws


Book
Bank Management, Finance and Sustainability
Authors: ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Basel MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

This book comprises a collection of empirical and theoretical studies covering a wide range of themes related to bank management, finance and sustainability. Sustainability represents an opportunity for banks as it contributes to improvements in trust in the banking system. However, sustainable business models must be financially viable so that they can have a positive impact on banks’ profitability, stimulating the long-term growth and resilience of the banking industry and overall financial stability.Banks are widely acknowledged as playing a crucial role in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), as they can promote responsible investments and integrate environmental and social criteria into lending and investment strategies. Financial intermediaries can support projects and activities that create a measurable positive economic, social and environmental impact by providing easier access to capital. Furthermore, they can have an active role in improving the financial awareness, inclusion and resilience of the most vulnerable individuals in society.

Keywords

firm’s financial performance --- sustainability practices --- Islamic corporate governance --- mobile money --- SMEs --- financial performance --- payments and receipts --- Douala, Cameroon --- human capital --- social capital --- credit availability --- propensity score matching --- China --- risk tolerance --- risk aversion --- risk-taking --- MiFID II --- MiFIR --- suitability assessment --- households --- risky financial assets --- financial institutions --- financial advisory --- portfolio management --- financial constraints --- sustainable development --- ownership structure --- state subsidies --- former communist bloc --- institutional environment --- financial system --- corporate social responsibility --- CSR rating --- bank loan spread --- European syndicated loan market --- content analysis --- ethical banking --- global financial crisis --- hierarchical cluster analysis --- inductive category development --- in-depth interviews --- social banking --- socially responsible investment --- environmental performance --- climate change --- gender diversity --- board of directors --- banking sector --- external support --- environmental practices --- resource efficiency --- sustainable entrepreneurship --- firm size --- financial knowledge --- overconfidence --- underconfidence --- sustainable financial behavior --- financial market participation --- investment fraud --- over-indebtedness --- ethical financial companies --- ESG --- sustainable development goals (SDGs) --- bank efficiency --- bank cost --- stochastic frontier analysis --- stochastic metafrontier analysis --- high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) --- qualitative research --- reference group theory --- socially responsible investing (SRI)


Book
Moral Incentives : Experimental Evidence from Repayments of an Islamic Credit Card.
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

Loading...
Export citation

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Bookmark

Abstract

This paper studies the role of morality in the decision to repay debts. Using a field experiment with a large Islamic bank in Indonesia, the paper finds that moral appeals strongly increase credit card repayments. In this setting, all of the banks late-paying credit card customers receive a basic reminder to repay their debt one day after they miss the payment due date. In addition, two days before the end of a ten-day grace period, clients in a treatment group also receive a text message that cites an Islamic religious text and states that "non-repayment of debts by someone who is able to repay is an injustice." This message increases the share of customers meeting their minimum payments by nearly 20 percent. By contrast, sending either a simple reminder or an Islamic quote that is unrelated to debt repayment has no effect on the share of customers making the minimum payment. Clients also respond more strongly to this moral appeal than to substantial financial incentives: receiving the religious message increases repayments by more than offering a cash rebate equivalent to 50 percent of the minimum repayment. Finally, the paper finds that removing religious aspects from the quote does not change its effectiveness, suggesting that the moral appeal of the message does not necessarily rely on its religious connotation.

Keywords

Access to credit --- Adverse selection --- Arrears --- Assets --- Bank indonesia --- Banking --- Bankruptcy and resolution of financial distress --- Banks and banking reform --- Borrowers --- Checking account --- Collect debts --- Collections --- Communications --- Consumer choice --- Consumer choices --- Credit card --- Credit card debt --- Credit control --- Credit market --- Current debt --- Customer service --- Customers --- Debt --- Debt forgiveness --- Debt markets --- Debt relief --- Debt repayment --- Debtor --- Debts --- Default --- Deposit --- E-Business --- Emerging markets --- Equity --- Equity fund --- Estate private sector development --- Ethical behavior --- Ethical global equity --- Ethical global equity fund --- Exchange --- Fair trade --- Finance and financial sector development --- Financial development --- Financial products --- Forgiveness --- Gambling --- Global equity --- Goods --- Grace period --- Grants --- Human capital --- Human rights --- Income --- Indebted --- Indebted poor countries --- Insurance --- Interest --- Interest rate --- Interest rates --- Interested party --- International bank --- Investment --- Investment management --- Investor --- Islamic bank --- Islamic law --- Late payment --- Law --- Liquidity --- Liquidity constraint --- Loan --- Loan repayment --- Moral hazard --- Moral suasion --- Mortgage --- New credit --- Outsourcing --- Outstanding debt --- Partner bank --- Payment --- Payments --- Peer pressure --- Penalties --- Penalty --- Political economy --- Portfolio --- Price --- Pricing --- Property --- Public debt --- Real estate --- Repayment --- Repayment behavior --- Repayment of debt --- Repayment of debts --- Repayment rate --- Repayment rates --- Responsible investment --- Restructuring --- Revenue --- Risk --- Saving --- Savings --- Savings account --- Savings accounts --- Services --- Share --- Shares --- Socially responsible investment --- Sovereign debt --- Stocks --- Student debt --- Student loans --- Trade --- Usury laws


Book
Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics
Authors: ---
ISBN: 3038974447 3038974439 Year: 2019 Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

Risk measures play a vital role in many subfields of economics and finance. It has been proposed that risk measures could be analysed in relation to the performance of variables extracted from empirical real-world data. For example, risk measures may help inform effective monetary and fiscal policies and, therefore, the further development of pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.A Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” will be devoted to advancements in the mathematical and statistical development of risk measures with applications in finance and economics. This Special Issue will bring together the theory, practice and real-world applications of risk measures. This book is a collection of papers published in the Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” for Sustainability in 2018.

Keywords

risk assessment --- VIX --- business groups --- SHARE --- asymptotic approximation --- European stock markets --- whole life insurance --- dynamic hedging --- risk-neutral distribution --- cooperative banks --- Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) --- group-affiliated --- early warning system --- factor models --- smoothing process --- GMC --- falsified products --- S&P 500 index options --- credit derivatives --- corporate sustainability --- term life insurance --- risk management --- crude oil --- financial stability --- social efficiency --- dynamic conditional correlation --- emerging market --- out-of-sample forecast --- financial crisis --- binomial tree --- news release --- green energy --- perceived usefulness --- Bayesian approach --- two-level optimization --- probability of default --- bank risk --- SYMBOL --- information asymmetry --- CoVaR --- probabilistic cash flow --- japonica rice production --- bank profitability --- Monte Carlo Simulations --- gain-loss ratio --- coherent risk measures --- Mezzanine Financing --- national health system --- option value --- conscientiousness --- online purchase intention --- Slovak enterprises --- spot and futures prices --- liquidity premium --- institutional voids --- utility --- random forests --- bankruptcy --- optimizing financial model --- sustainable food security system --- dynamic panel --- co-dependence modelling --- financial performance --- time-varying correlations --- Project Financing --- future health risk --- generalized autoregressive score functions --- volatility spillovers --- financial risks --- simulations --- life insurance --- emotion --- finance risk --- markov regime switching --- diversification --- production frontier function --- Granger causality --- health risk --- risks mitigation --- returns and volatility --- sadness --- low-income country --- the sudden stop of capital inflow --- bank failure --- China’s food policy --- objective health status --- IPO underpricing --- polarity --- climate change --- stock return volatility --- sentiment analysis --- empirical process --- full BEKK --- stochastic frontier model --- perceived ease of use --- volatility transmission --- openness to experience --- sustainability --- low carbon targets --- quasi likelihood ratio (QLR) test --- banking regulation --- sustainable development --- specification testing --- fossil fuels --- time-varying copula function --- tree structures --- monthly CPI data --- coal --- cartel --- regular vine copulas --- sustainability of economic recovery --- ANN --- EGARCH-m --- financial security --- leniency program --- financial hazard map --- uncertainty termination --- causal path --- stakeholder theory --- technological progress --- banking --- investment horizon --- regression model --- two-level CES function --- joy --- the optimal scale of foreign exchange reserve --- carbon emissions --- stochastic volatility --- B-splines --- self-perceived health --- sovereign credit default swap (SCDS) --- RV5MIN --- utility maximization --- credit risk --- policy simulation --- socially responsible investment --- portfolio selection --- scientific verification --- European banking system --- risk-free rate --- wild bootstrap --- medication --- investment profitability --- Amihud’s illiquidity ratio --- multivariate regime-switching --- inflation forecast --- risk aversion --- market timing --- need hierarchy theory --- variance --- diagonal BEKK --- conjugate prior --- risk --- moving averages --- financial risk --- risk measures

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