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Herbig-Haro objects were discovered 50 years ago, and during this half century they have developed from being mysterious small nebulae to be coming an important phenomenon in star formation. Indeed, HH flows are now recognized not only as fascinating astrophysical laboratories involving shock physics and chemistry, hydrodynamics and radiation processes, but it has gradually been realized that HH flows hold essential clues to the birth and early evolution of low mass stars. IAU Symposium No. 182 on Herbig-Haro Flows and the Birth of Low Mass Stars were held from January 20 to 24, 1997 in Chamonix in the french alps. A total of 178 researchers from 26 countries met to discuss our present level of understanding of Herbig-Haro flows and their relation to disk accretion events and T Tauri winds and other outflow phenomena like molecular outflows, embedded molecular hydrogen flows and radio jets. The present book contains the manuscripts from the oral contributions of the symposium. The poster papers were printed in a separate volume Low Mass Star Formation - from Infall to Outflow, edited by Fabien Malbet and Alain Castets, which was distributed at the beginning of the meeting. Together these two books document the vigorous state and the scientific appeal which research into Herbig-Haro flows and related issues in star formation enjoys today, observationally as well as theoretically.
52 <063> --- Astrophysical jets --- -Bipolar outflows (Astrophysics) --- -Herbig-Haro objects (Astronomy) --- -Low mass stars --- -Disks (Astrophysics) --- -Stars --- HH objects (Astronomy) --- Nebulae --- Bipolar flows (Astrophysics) --- Flows, Bipolar (Astrophysics) --- Outflows, Bipolar (Astrophysics) --- Astrophysics --- Jets --- Radio sources (Astronomy) --- Astronomie. Astrofysica. Ruimteonderzoek. Geodesie--Congressen --- Congresses --- -Astronomie. Astrofysica. Ruimteonderzoek. Geodesie--Congressen --- -HH objects (Astronomy) --- Bipolar outflows (Astrophysics) --- Disks (Astrophysics) --- Herbig-Haro objects (Astronomy) --- Low mass stars --- Stars --- Bipolar outflows --- Observations, Astronomical. --- Astronomy—Observations. --- Astrophysics. --- Astronomy, Observations and Techniques. --- Astrophysics and Astroparticles. --- Astronomical physics --- Astronomy --- Cosmic physics --- Physics --- Astronomical observations --- Observations, Astronomical
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This paper creates an index of capital controls to analyze the determinants of capital flows to Brazil, accounting for the endogeneity of capital controls by considering a government that sets controls in response to capital flows. It finds that the government reacts strongly to capital flows by increasing controls on inflows during booms and relaxing them in moments of distress. The paper estimates a vector autoregression with capital flows, controls, and interest differentials. It shows that controls have been temporarily effective in altering levels and composition of capital flows but have had no sustained effects in the long run.
Exports and Imports --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- International economics --- Capital flows --- Capital controls --- Capital inflows --- Capital outflows --- Private capital flows --- Balance of payments --- Capital movements --- Brazil
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This paper develops a model that focuses on the interaction of liquidity creation by financial intermediaries with capital flows and exchange rate collapses. The intermediaries’ role of transforming maturities is shown to result in larger movements of capital and a higher probability of crisis. These movements resemble the observed cycle in capital flows: large inflows, crisis and abrupt outflows. The model highlights how adverse productivity and international interest rate shocks may trigger a sudden outflow of capital and an exchange collapse. The initial shock is magnified by the behavior of individual foreign investors linked through their deposits in the intermediaries. The expectation of an eventual exchange rate crisis links investors’ behavior even further.
Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Finance --- Capital outflows --- Exchange rates --- Capital inflows --- Capital flows --- Liquidity --- Capital movements --- Economics --- United States
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Koreas cross border capital flows have tended to respond negatively in global risk-off episodes, resulting in volatility in the foreign exchange market and occasional policy responses in the form of foreign exchange interventions. We study the relationship between Korean capital flows and global volatility up to 2018. The response of capital flows during risk-off episodes have become more muted over time, and occasional safe-haven type flows into Korean bond markets have helped counterbalance the tendency for portfolio investors to leave. We describe these changing patterns and relate them to shifts in Korea’s domestic investor base. We discuss whether they reflect a sustained shift in the sensitivity of Koreas capital flow pressures to global risk-off episodes, and implications for monetary and exchange rate policies.
Capital movements--Korea (South). --- Korea (South). --- Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International economics --- Monetary economics --- Capital flows --- Foreign currency exposure --- Foreign assets --- Foreign liabilities --- Capital outflows --- Balance of payments --- Money --- External position --- Capital movements --- Investments, Foreign --- Foreign exchange market --- Korea, Republic of
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The general objective of this study is to analyze the external debt and debt burdens of the severely indebted sub-Saharan African countries, estimate the magnitude of capital flight from them, and relate the estimate of capital flight to some macroeconomic aggregates. The study also contains policy implications of international efforts to deal with the high levels of external debt in sub-Saharan Africa in conditions of extreme poverty, and stagnant and declining exports. It questions the theoretical foundation in which the external debt strategy has been based and offers solutions to the external debt problem.
Exports and Imports --- Economic Methodology --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Trade: General --- International economics --- Capital outflows --- External debt --- Debt burden --- Debt service --- Exports --- Balance of payments --- International trade --- Capital movements --- Debts, External --- Côte d'Ivoire
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Much of the debate about the management of financial crises has focused on structural and psychological issues regarding the conditions that are supposed to be necessary to restore investor confidence. Nonetheless, the paramount requirement in the short term is for countries in crisis to adopt correct macroeconomic policies. An analysis of conventional macroeconomic models reveals that countries can afford to run expansionary policies to restore internal balance only if they can afford to ignore the requirements for external balance. This arithmetic does not depend on whether macroeconomic policies were inappropriate before the crisis hit.
Exports and Imports --- Financial Risk Management --- Public Finance --- Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General --- International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Financial Crises --- Fiscal Policy --- International economics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Macroeconomics --- Capital outflows --- Financial crises --- Capital inflows --- Capital flows --- Fiscal policy --- Balance of payments --- Capital movements --- Korea, Republic of
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This paper examines the duration of capital account crises. We develop a new index to identify both the start and the end of these crises. Applying the index to a sample of 18 crisis episodes, we derive stylized facts on crisis duration and review the economic and financial circumstances that prevailed at the dusk of crises, a relatively unexplored area. We use the econometric technique of duration analysis to gauge the relative importance of various factors affecting the probability of exiting a crisis. We find that initial and external conditions are key determinants. But fiscal and monetary policies can also help shorten crisis duration.
Exports and Imports --- Financial Risk Management --- Foreign Exchange --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Financial Crises --- International economics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Capital account crisis --- Financial crises --- Capital outflows --- Capital flows --- Exchange rates --- Balance of payments --- Capital movements --- Turkey
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This paper investigates why controls on capital inflows have a bad name, and evoke such visceral opposition, by tracing how capital controls have been used and perceived, since the late nineteenth century. While advanced countries often employed capital controls to tame speculative inflows during the last century, we conjecture that several factors undermined their subsequent use as prudential tools. First, it appears that inflow controls became inextricably linked with outflow controls. The latter have typically been more pervasive, more stringent, and more linked to autocratic regimes, failed macroeconomic policies, and financial crisis—inflow controls are thus damned by this “guilt by association.” Second, capital account restrictions often tend to be associated with current account restrictions. As countries aspired to achieve greater trade integration, capital controls came to be viewed as incompatible with free trade. Third, as policy activism of the 1970s gave way to the free market ideology of the 1980s and 1990s, the use of capital controls, even on inflows and for prudential purposes, fell into disrepute.
Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Capital controls --- Capital flows --- Capital inflows --- Capital account --- Capital outflows --- Balance of payments --- Exchange restrictions --- Capital movements --- United States
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Russia entered the global crisis with strong fiscal position, low public debt, and large fiscal and monetary reserves, which helped it cushion the crisis shocks. But the rise in the non-oil fiscal deficit in 2007-08 and, more importantly, the massive impact of the global crisis in late 2008 and 2009 have dramatically altered Russia's medium-term and long-term economic and fiscal outlook. While Russia is emerging from this crisis on a much stronger footing than during the 1998-09 crisis thanks to its strong-pre crisis fundamentals, large fiscal reserves and solid management of the crisis, it will nevertheless need to implement sustained fiscal adjustment in the coming years. Both revenue and expenditure measures will be needed. This will require 2-3 percentage points of GDP in fiscal adjustment for about five years in addition to keeping total expenditure levels at a relatively low 31.5 percent of GDP, consistent with long-term social expenditure needs and requirements of long-term fiscal sustainability. Following a period of adjustment, if Russia would restrain its long-term non-oil deficits to the permanent income (PI) equivalent of its oil revenues as proposed in this paper, its fiscal policy will return to long-term sustainable path. The long-term, sustainable level of non-oil fiscal deficit is estimated at about 4.3 percent of GDP. With the 2009 actual non-oil fiscal deficit of about 14 percent of GDP, this implies significant and sustained fiscal adjustment over the medium term. The expenditure needs of the social security system as well as a reduction in key non-oil taxes represent a major fiscal risk to all scenarios.
Capital outflows --- Currencies and Exchange Rates --- Debt Markets --- Deficits --- Domestic liquidity --- Economic Stabilization --- Environment --- Environmental Economics & Policies --- Expenditure --- Expenditures --- External borrowing --- Federal budget --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Fiscal deficit --- Fiscal policy --- Government revenues --- International bank --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Oil price --- Oil prices --- Price uncertainty --- Public debt --- Public finances --- Public Sector Development --- Public Sector Expenditure Policy --- Reserve --- Reserve fund --- Reserves --- Return
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We show that macroprudential regulation can considerably dampen the impact of global financial shocks on emerging markets. More specifically, a tighter level of regulation reduces the sensitivity of GDP growth to VIX movements and capital flow shocks. A broad set of macroprudential tools contribute to this result, including measures targeting bank capital and liquidity, foreign currency mismatches, and risky forms of credit. We also find that tighter macroprudential regulation allows monetary policy to respond more countercyclically to global financial shocks. This could be an important channel through which macroprudential regulation enhances macroeconomic stability. These findings on the benefits of macroprudential regulation are particularly notable since we do not find evidence that stricter capital controls provide similar gains.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- International economics --- Banking --- Finance --- Capital controls --- Central bank policy rate --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Capital outflows --- Capital flows --- Balance of payments --- Financial services --- Financial markets --- Capital movements --- Interest rates --- Financial services industry --- United States
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