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Despite decades of development efforts supported by significant amounts of foreign aid, Malawi has experienced weak and volatile economic growth performance over a sustained period of time. Malawi's growth remains an outlier even compared to its geographically and demographically similar peers. Moreover, growth has been distributed unequally, with little impact on poverty. Per capita income has improved only minimally in the 50 years since independence, and Malawi now has one of the lowest per capita incomes in the world. From Falling Behind to Catching Up aims to improve readers' understanding of the puzzle of Malawi's development performance and identify ways for the country to achieve robust growth and stay on a stable growth path that helps the poor. The book places a strong emphasis on assessing Malawi's growth experience since independence from a comparative international perspective. It seeks to benchmark Malawian outcomes on growth, structural change, and transformation against peers and explores possible reasons for divergence from international trends. The book also puts deeper drivers of economic growth at the center of the discussion, looking in particular at the institutions and policies that may have affected Malawi's growth outcomes and ones that could help Malawi avoid macroeconomic instability in the future. This book first begins by discussing Malawi's macroeconomic situation and challenges in fiscal management, reviewing and drawing lessons from the instability, slippages, and shocks Malawi has experienced since independence. Second, given how critical the agricultural sector is to poverty reduction in Malawi, the overview explores the current state of agricultural markets. Third, looking at the factors that may constrain higher growth in the future, challenges in private sector development and job creation are discussed. Finally, building on the analysis of challenges, the book concludes with a summary of policy recommendations aimed at helping Malawi begin catching up with its peers.

Agriculture --- Country Economic Memorandum --- Economic Growth --- Fiscal Management --- FISP --- Institutions --- Macroeconomic Stability --- Political Economy --- Poverty --- Public Sector --- Malawi --- Economic conditions.

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The paper presents a dynamic model for small to medium open economies operating under a fixed exchange rate regime. The model provides a partial explanation of the channels through which fiscal and monetary policy affects the real exchange rate. An empirical investigation is conducted for the case of Argentina during the currency board period of 1991-2001. Empirical estimates show that fiscal policy may indeed be an efficient instrument for promoting macroeconomic stability insofar as it encourages convergence toward long-run equilibrium and alters the long-term balance between exports and consumption, both private and public. The simulation applied to Argentina shows that if the share of public spending in the economy is higher than the share of imports, an increase in the tax rate will stimulate capital stock slightly, at least in the short term, and depreciate the real effective exchange rate. In the long run, the fiscal policy affects the value of the real exchange rate and consequently external competitiveness.

Currencies and Exchange Rates --- Currency --- Currency board --- Debt Markets --- Economic Stabilization --- Economic Theory and Research --- Emerging Markets --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Fiscal Policy --- Fixed Exchange Rate --- Fixed Exchange Rate Regime --- Macroeconomic stability --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Monetary policy --- Open economies --- Poverty Reduction --- Private Sector Development --- Real exchange rate

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This paper revisits the early empirical literature on economic growth in transition economies, with particular focus on fiscal policy variables-fiscal balance and the size of government. The baseline model uses a parsimonious specification, drawn from Fischer and Sahay (2000), of economic growth as a function of initial conditions, stabilization, liberalization, and structural reform. The paper expands the data used in previous analyses by up to 10 years and finds unambiguous evidence that fiscal balance matters for growth, while confirming other previous findings on the correlates of economic growth in transition economies. In addition, the paper extends the baseline model and explores potential sources of nonlinearities in the relationship between growth and public finance. A key finding is that determinants of growth may vary in relative importance, depending on the underlying institutional quality. The evidence indicates that there could be higher growth payoffs from macroeconomic stability and public expenditure in countries characterized by relatively better public sector governance as measured by relevant indicators. In addition, the size of government matters for growth in a nonlinear manner: Beyond indicative thresholds of expenditure levels, public spending has a negative impact, while at levels below the threshold, there is no measurable impact on economic growth.

Economic growth --- Fiscal balance --- Fiscal policy --- Governance --- Governance Indicators --- Macroeconomic stability --- National Governance --- Poverty Reduction --- Pro-Poor Growth --- Public expenditure --- Public Finance --- Public sector --- Public Sector Economics and Finance --- Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management --- Size of government --- Structural reform --- Transition Economies

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The objective of this paper is not to review the pros and cons of deposit insurance systems, but to focus, rather narrowly, on the recent adoption of a deposit insurance system (DIS) in Russia, the rationale offered, and the potential impact it might have on the stability and development of the Russian banking system. An attempt is made to draw some lessons from the implementation experience in Russia. The paper starts with a brief description of the Russian DIS, followed by an overview of the banking system's structure and some observations on the sequencing followed for adopting the DIS and the political economy of its adoption. It concludes with a discussion of areas requiring attention.

Bank --- Banking --- Banking Reform --- Banking System --- Banks and Banking Reform --- Commercial Banks --- Cred Deposit Insurance --- Debt Markets --- Deposits --- Emerging Markets --- Finance --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring --- Financial Deepening --- Financial Institutions --- Financial Intermediation --- Financial Literacy --- Industry --- Legal Framework --- Lender of Last Resort --- Level Playing Field --- Macroeconomic Stability --- Moral Hazard --- Private Sector Development --- Regional Banks --- Risk --- Savings

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Existing empirical evidence indicates that remittances have a positive impact on a good number of development indicators of recipient countries. Yet when flows are too large relative to the size of the recipient economies, as those observed in a number of Latin American countries, they may also bring a number of undesired problems. Among those probably the most feared in this context is the Dutch Disease. This paper explores the empirical evidence regarding the impact of remittances on the real exchange rate. The findings suggest that remittances indeed appear to lead to a significant real exchange rate appreciation. The paper also explores policy options that may somewhat offset the observed effect.

Capital Inflow --- Consumption --- Currencies and Exchange Rates --- Debt Markets --- Demand --- Domestic Economy --- Dutch Disease --- Economic Stabilization --- Economic Theory and Research --- Economies --- Economy --- Emerging Markets --- External Financing --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Growth Rates --- International Markets --- Loss of Competitiveness --- Macroeconomic Management --- Macroeconomic Stability --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Natural Resources --- Open Economy --- Private Sector Development --- Real Exchange Rate --- Real Exchange Rate Appreciation --- Remittance --- Remittances --- Risk --- Welfare