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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a key role in the formulation of economic, reliable, and secure operating strategies (planning, scheduling, maintenance, and control processes, among others) for a power system and will be significant in the future. However, there is still much to do in these research areas. The deployment of enabling technologies (e.g., smart meters) has made high-granularity data available for many customer segments and to approach many issues, for instance, to make forecasting tasks feasible at several demand aggregation levels. The first challenge is the improvement of STLF models and their performance at new aggregation levels. Moreover, the mix of renewables in the power system, and the necessity to include more flexibility through demand response initiatives have introduced greater uncertainties, which means new challenges for STLF in a more dynamic power system in the 2030–50 horizon. Many techniques have been proposed and applied for STLF, including traditional statistical models and AI techniques. Besides, distribution planning needs, as well as grid modernization, have initiated the development of hierarchical load forecasting. Analogously, the need to face new sources of uncertainty in the power system is giving more importance to probabilistic load forecasting. This Special Issue deals with both fundamental research and practical application research on STLF methodologies to face the challenges of a more distributed and customer-centered power system.

History of engineering & technology --- short-term load forecasting --- demand-side management --- pattern similarity --- hierarchical short-term load forecasting --- feature selection --- weather station selection --- load forecasting --- special days --- regressive models --- electric load forecasting --- data preprocessing technique --- multiobjective optimization algorithm --- combined model --- Nordic electricity market --- electricity demand --- component estimation method --- univariate and multivariate time series analysis --- modeling and forecasting --- deep learning --- wavenet --- long short-term memory --- demand response --- hybrid energy system --- data augmentation --- convolution neural network --- residential load forecasting --- forecasting --- time series --- cubic splines --- real-time electricity load --- seasonal patterns --- Load forecasting --- VSTLF --- bus load forecasting --- DBN --- PSR --- distributed energy resources --- prosumers --- building electric energy consumption forecasting --- cold-start problem --- transfer learning --- multivariate random forests --- random forest --- electricity consumption --- lasso --- Tikhonov regularization --- load metering --- preliminary load --- short term load forecasting --- performance criteria --- power systems --- cost analysis --- day ahead --- feature extraction --- deep residual neural network --- multiple sources --- electricity

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• Reference Manager
• EndNote
• RefWorks (Direct export to RefWorks)

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a key role in the formulation of economic, reliable, and secure operating strategies (planning, scheduling, maintenance, and control processes, among others) for a power system and will be significant in the future. However, there is still much to do in these research areas. The deployment of enabling technologies (e.g., smart meters) has made high-granularity data available for many customer segments and to approach many issues, for instance, to make forecasting tasks feasible at several demand aggregation levels. The first challenge is the improvement of STLF models and their performance at new aggregation levels. Moreover, the mix of renewables in the power system, and the necessity to include more flexibility through demand response initiatives have introduced greater uncertainties, which means new challenges for STLF in a more dynamic power system in the 2030–50 horizon. Many techniques have been proposed and applied for STLF, including traditional statistical models and AI techniques. Besides, distribution planning needs, as well as grid modernization, have initiated the development of hierarchical load forecasting. Analogously, the need to face new sources of uncertainty in the power system is giving more importance to probabilistic load forecasting. This Special Issue deals with both fundamental research and practical application research on STLF methodologies to face the challenges of a more distributed and customer-centered power system.

History of engineering & technology --- short-term load forecasting --- demand-side management --- pattern similarity --- hierarchical short-term load forecasting --- feature selection --- weather station selection --- load forecasting --- special days --- regressive models --- electric load forecasting --- data preprocessing technique --- multiobjective optimization algorithm --- combined model --- Nordic electricity market --- electricity demand --- component estimation method --- univariate and multivariate time series analysis --- modeling and forecasting --- deep learning --- wavenet --- long short-term memory --- demand response --- hybrid energy system --- data augmentation --- convolution neural network --- residential load forecasting --- forecasting --- time series --- cubic splines --- real-time electricity load --- seasonal patterns --- Load forecasting --- VSTLF --- bus load forecasting --- DBN --- PSR --- distributed energy resources --- prosumers --- building electric energy consumption forecasting --- cold-start problem --- transfer learning --- multivariate random forests --- random forest --- electricity consumption --- lasso --- Tikhonov regularization --- load metering --- preliminary load --- short term load forecasting --- performance criteria --- power systems --- cost analysis --- day ahead --- feature extraction --- deep residual neural network --- multiple sources --- electricity --- short-term load forecasting --- demand-side management --- pattern similarity --- hierarchical short-term load forecasting --- feature selection --- weather station selection --- load forecasting --- special days --- regressive models --- electric load forecasting --- data preprocessing technique --- multiobjective optimization algorithm --- combined model --- Nordic electricity market --- electricity demand --- component estimation method --- univariate and multivariate time series analysis --- modeling and forecasting --- deep learning --- wavenet --- long short-term memory --- demand response --- hybrid energy system --- data augmentation --- convolution neural network --- residential load forecasting --- forecasting --- time series --- cubic splines --- real-time electricity load --- seasonal patterns --- Load forecasting --- VSTLF --- bus load forecasting --- DBN --- PSR --- distributed energy resources --- prosumers --- building electric energy consumption forecasting --- cold-start problem --- transfer learning --- multivariate random forests --- random forest --- electricity consumption --- lasso --- Tikhonov regularization --- load metering --- preliminary load --- short term load forecasting --- performance criteria --- power systems --- cost analysis --- day ahead --- feature extraction --- deep residual neural network --- multiple sources --- electricity

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This reprint introduces advanced prediction models focused on power load forecasting. Models based on artificial intelligence and more traditional approaches are shown, demonstrating the real possibilities of use to improve prediction in this field. Models of LSTM neural networks, LSTM networks with a SESDA architecture, in even LSTM-CNN are used. On the other hand, multiple seasonal Holt-Winters models with discrete seasonality and the application of the Prophet method to demand forecasting are presented. These models are applied in different circumstances and show highly positive results. This reprint is intended for both researchers related to energy management and those related to forecasting, especially power load.

Research & information: general --- Physics --- Prophet model --- Holt–Winters model --- long-term forecasting --- peak load --- prophet model --- multiple seasonality --- time series --- demand --- load --- forecast --- DIMS --- irregular --- galvanizing --- short-term electrical load forecasting --- machine learning --- deep learning --- statistical analysis --- parameters tuning --- CNN --- LSTM --- short-term load forecast --- Artificial Neural Network --- deep neural network --- recurrent neural network --- attention --- encoder decoder --- online training --- bidirectional long short-term memory --- multi-layer stacked --- neural network --- short-term load forecasting --- power system --- Prophet model --- Holt–Winters model --- long-term forecasting --- peak load --- prophet model --- multiple seasonality --- time series --- demand --- load --- forecast --- DIMS --- irregular --- galvanizing --- short-term electrical load forecasting --- machine learning --- deep learning --- statistical analysis --- parameters tuning --- CNN --- LSTM --- short-term load forecast --- Artificial Neural Network --- deep neural network --- recurrent neural network --- attention --- encoder decoder --- online training --- bidirectional long short-term memory --- multi-layer stacked --- neural network --- short-term load forecasting --- power system

Choose an application

• Reference Manager
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This reprint introduces advanced prediction models focused on power load forecasting. Models based on artificial intelligence and more traditional approaches are shown, demonstrating the real possibilities of use to improve prediction in this field. Models of LSTM neural networks, LSTM networks with a SESDA architecture, in even LSTM-CNN are used. On the other hand, multiple seasonal Holt-Winters models with discrete seasonality and the application of the Prophet method to demand forecasting are presented. These models are applied in different circumstances and show highly positive results. This reprint is intended for both researchers related to energy management and those related to forecasting, especially power load.

Prophet model --- Holt–Winters model --- long-term forecasting --- peak load --- prophet model --- multiple seasonality --- time series --- demand --- load --- forecast --- DIMS --- irregular --- galvanizing --- short-term electrical load forecasting --- machine learning --- deep learning --- statistical analysis --- parameters tuning --- CNN --- LSTM --- short-term load forecast --- Artificial Neural Network --- deep neural network --- recurrent neural network --- attention --- encoder decoder --- online training --- bidirectional long short-term memory --- multi-layer stacked --- neural network --- short-term load forecasting --- power system

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Microgrids have recently emerged as the building block of a smart grid, combining distributed renewable energy sources, energy storage devices, and load management in order to improve power system reliability, enhance sustainable development, and reduce carbon emissions. At the same time, rapid advancements in sensor and metering technologies, wireless and network communication, as well as cloud and fog computing are leading to the collection and accumulation of large amounts of data (e.g., device status data, energy generation data, consumption data). The application of big data analysis techniques (e.g., forecasting, classification, clustering) on such data can optimize the power generation and operation in real time by accurately predicting electricity demands, discovering electricity consumption patterns, and developing dynamic pricing mechanisms. An efficient and intelligent analysis of the data will enable smart microgrids to detect and recover from failures quickly, respond to electricity demand swiftly, supply more reliable and economical energy, and enable customers to have more control over their energy use. Overall, data-intensive analytics can provide effective and efficient decision support for all of the producers, operators, customers, and regulators in smart microgrids, in order to achieve holistic smart energy management, including energy generation, transmission, distribution, and demand-side management. This book contains an assortment of relevant novel research contributions that provide real-world applications of data-intensive analytics in smart grids and contribute to the dissemination of new ideas in this area.

Technology: general issues --- electricity load forecasting --- smart grid --- feature selection --- Extreme Learning Machine --- Genetic Algorithm --- Support Vector Machine --- Grid Search --- AMI --- TL --- SG --- NB-PLC --- fog computing --- green community --- resource allocation --- processing time --- response time --- green data center --- microgrid --- renewable energy --- energy trade contract --- real time power management --- load forecasting --- optimization techniques --- deep learning --- big data analytics --- electricity theft detection --- smart grids --- electricity consumption --- electricity thefts --- smart meter --- imbalanced data --- data-intensive smart application --- cloud computing --- real-time systems --- multi-objective energy optimization --- renewable energy sources --- wind --- photovoltaic --- demand response programs --- energy management --- battery energy storage systems --- demand response --- scheduling --- automatic generation control --- single/multi-area power system --- intelligent control methods --- virtual inertial control --- soft computing control methods --- electricity load forecasting --- smart grid --- feature selection --- Extreme Learning Machine --- Genetic Algorithm --- Support Vector Machine --- Grid Search --- AMI --- TL --- SG --- NB-PLC --- fog computing --- green community --- resource allocation --- processing time --- response time --- green data center --- microgrid --- renewable energy --- energy trade contract --- real time power management --- load forecasting --- optimization techniques --- deep learning --- big data analytics --- electricity theft detection --- smart grids --- electricity consumption --- electricity thefts --- smart meter --- imbalanced data --- data-intensive smart application --- cloud computing --- real-time systems --- multi-objective energy optimization --- renewable energy sources --- wind --- photovoltaic --- demand response programs --- energy management --- battery energy storage systems --- demand response --- scheduling --- automatic generation control --- single/multi-area power system --- intelligent control methods --- virtual inertial control --- soft computing control methods