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In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries than in advanced economies. We also find that they correlate with capital flows more closely than in advanced economies. We then condition the analysis on an exogenous change to a particular component of capital flows. We find that a global liquidity shock, identified by aggregating bank-to-bank cross border flows and by using the external instrumental variable approach of Stock and Watson (2012) and Mertens and Ravn (2013), has a much stronger impact on house prices and consumption in emerging markets than in advanced economies. In our empirical model, holding house prices or the exchange rate constant in response to this shock tends to dampen its effects on consumption in emerging economies.
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Housing --- Prices. --- Dwellings --- Home prices --- House prices --- Housing prices --- Residential real estate --- Prices
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"Leading economist Josh-Ryan Collins argues that to understand the housing crisis, we must examine the 'doom loop' that exists between private home ownership and a lightly regulated commercial banking system. The only way out is to rethink how we structure our tax and financial systems and accept that home ownership may not always be the solution"-- "Throughout the western world, a whole generation is being priced out of the housing market. While wages and incomes continue to stagnate for the majority, house prices and rents remain staggeringly high. For millions of people, particularly millennials, the basic goal of acquiring decent, affordable accommodation is a distant dream. In this compelling book, leading economist Josh-Ryan Collins argues that to understand this crisis, we must examine a crucial paradox at the heart of modern capitalism. Two of the key ingredients of contemporary capitalist societies, private home ownership and a lightly regulated commercial banking system, are not mutually compatible. Their interaction leads to a doom loop in which unlimited credit and money flows into an inherently finite supply of viable property, resulting in ever higher house prices. The result is declining levels of home ownership, rising inequality and debt, stagnant growth and financial instability. The only way out of this vicious circle is to radically rethink how we structure our tax and financial systems and accept that home ownership may not always be the solution. This engaging and topical book will be essential reading for anyone who wants to understand why they cant find an affordable home, and what we can do about it"--
Housing --- Mortgage banks. --- Banks and banking. --- Prices. --- Finance. --- Mortgage banks --- Banks and banking --- Prices --- Finance --- Capitalism --- Finance, Personal. --- Home ownership. --- Social aspects. --- Housing - Prices --- Housing - Finance
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Ireland's economic recovery is expected to remain strong. Growth is increasingly driven by domestic demand as well as exports, and it is job rich, with employment rising 2.2 percent y/y in Q1, bringing the unemployment rate down to 9.8 percent in May. After surging by 4.8 percent in 2014, the economy is expected to expand by about 4 percent this year, aided by highly supportive financial conditions. Risks look broadly balanced. Unexpected developments in Greece remain the most prominent downside, although Ireland has limited direct exposure and its government cash position pr
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Land. Real estate --- Economic geography --- Netherlands --- Housing --- Prices --- Mathematical models. --- -330.05 --- 332.632409492 --- Affordable housing --- Homes --- Houses --- Housing needs --- Residences --- Slum clearance --- Urban housing --- City planning --- Dwellings --- Human settlements --- -Social aspects --- Social aspects --- -Housing --- Housing - Prices - Netherlands. --- Housing - Prices - Netherlands - Mathematical models.
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This paper estimates Canada’s housing stock to gauge the supply-side component of the recent exuberance in the Canadian housing sector. The paper adds to the current related literature by focusing on housing units and reconstructing housing stock and households series. An error correction model is estimated at the provincial level over the period 1980-2013 to estimate a measure of housing stock desequilibrium. The model predicts an excess supply in the order of ½ percent above the housing stock level consistent with fundamentals as of 2013.
Housing -- Canada. --- Housing -- Prices -- Canada. --- Real property -- Canada. --- Infrastructure --- Investments: Stocks --- Real Estate --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics: Housing Demand --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Macroeconomics --- Investment & securities --- Property & real estate --- Stocks --- Housing prices --- National accounts --- Financial institutions --- Prices --- Saving and investment --- Canada
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This report was jointly launched by the National Academy of Economic Strategy of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and UN-HABITAT. Using the indicator system and objective data, the competitiveness of 1,035 global cities was evaluated in detail. The report measures the development pattern of global urban competitiveness as a whole, and the gap between the relevant parties and the ideal state. It has refreshed people's past perceptions of urban rankings and confirmed that the science and technology innovation center cities and central cities of emerging economies have begun to break the inherent global cities and they have entered the ranks of the most urban competitiveness. While paying attention to the comparison of competitiveness among cities, this report further promotes the perspective to the pattern and trend change of global economic and social development from the perspective of city. The followings are new findings: First, information technology has increasingly become the primary driving force for urban development; Second, it is the three meridians that divide the global urban population and economic differentiation; Third, the soft links between cities gradually dominate the global urban system; Fourth, the formation of new global cities is beginning.
Housing --- Prices. --- Dwellings --- Home prices --- House prices --- Housing prices --- Residential real estate --- Prices --- Urban economics. --- Sociology, Urban. --- Urban Economics. --- Urban Studies/Sociology. --- Urban sociology --- Cities and towns --- City economics --- Economics of cities --- Economics --- Economic aspects
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Why are housing markets so prone to boom-bust cycles? The mortgage market structure prior to the Savings and Loan crisis contributed to the volatility in real housing activity which, in turn, amplified the volatility in housing prices. The subsequent development of a national, market-based system of securitized mortgage finance has damped this boom-bust cycle. We test whether deviations of actual housing prices from values forecast by a model based on economic fundamentals have responded to the change in financial structure, and find that pricing errors have fallen significantly since the mid-1980s. Tests of the relative importance of the change in financial market structure versus the reduction of inflation over this period indicate a primary role for market structure in improving pricing efficiency.
Business cycles -- United States. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Housing -- Prices -- United States -- Econometric models. --- Inflation --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- Real Estate --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Property & real estate --- Finance --- Economic growth --- Housing prices --- Business cycles --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- National accounts --- Saving and investment --- United States --- Econometric models.
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This paper assesses house prices in 11 Canadian Census Metropolitan Areas (CMA) using the borrowing-capacity and the net-present-value approaches. The results indicate that by the end of 2018, house prices in most metropolitan areas are aligned with macroeconomic fundamentals. However, in Hamilton, Toronto, and Vancouver house prices have increased beyond the values implied by the fundamentals.
Housing--Prices--Canada. --- Mortgage loans--Canada. --- Real estate investment. --- Investment in real estate --- Real property investment --- Investments --- Land speculation --- Real estate business --- Inflation --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- Real Estate --- Industries: Financial Services --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Property & real estate --- Finance --- Housing prices --- Personal income --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- National accounts --- Income --- Saving and investment --- Canada --- Mortgage loans
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For the second time this decade, the U.S. economy is sinking into a recession due to the collapse of a financial bubble. The most recent calamity will lead to a downturn deeper and longer than the stock market crash of 2001. Dean Baker's Plunder and Blunder chronicles the growth and collapse of the stock and housing bubbles and explains how policy blunders and greed led to the catastrophic-but completely predictable-market meltdowns. An expert guide to recent economic history, Baker offers policy prescriptions to help prevent similar financial disasters.
Finance --- Financial crises --- Stocks --- Housing --- Prices --- United States --- Economic conditions --- 330.973 --- 333.613 --- AA / International- internationaal --- Activiteiten van de nationale en internationale markten. Beursnoteringen van aandelen en obligaties --- Finance - United States --- Financial crises - United States --- Stocks - Prices - United States --- Housing - Prices - United States --- United States - Economic conditions - 1981-2001 --- United States - Economic conditions - 2001-2009
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