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Is the nature of the atmosphere really so predictable that, as James Mahoney confidently said, ""we know that humans are influencing the climate. There's no question about that""? (TE 2013) This view on the atmosphere can be contrasted with an opposing view by James Glassman, who warned us that ""the real world is more unpredictable and uncertain than the idealized world that academics push for."" (TE 2013a) Contrary to these opposing views (and other ones discussed in the book), aerology or the study of the atmosphere (in relation to predictability and nonpredictability) are neither possible

Meteorology. --- Forecasting --- Future research --- Future studies --- Futures research --- Futures studies --- Aerology --- Atmospheric science --- Study and teaching.

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Forecasting --- Social sciences --- Future research --- Future studies --- Futures research --- Futures studies --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction --- Study and teaching --- Study and teaching. --- Arts and Humanities --- History

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Forecasting --- Zukunftsforschung. --- Entscheidung. --- Prognoseverfahren. --- Strategische Unternehmensplanung. --- Sozialwissenschaft. --- Forecasting. --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction --- Future research --- Future studies --- Futures research --- Futures studies --- Study and teaching --- Study and teaching. --- Social Sciences --- General and Others --- Political Science --- Sociology

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Europe --- Social conditions --- Forecasting --- Periodicals. --- Politics and government --- Economic conditions --- Twenty-first century --- Forecasting. --- 2000 - 2099 --- Europe. --- futures studies --- European integration --- population studies --- sustainable development --- Social policy. --- 2000-2099 --- Social policy --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction --- National planning --- State planning --- Economic policy --- Family policy --- Social history --- 21st century --- Third millennium --- Law and legislation --- Council of Europe countries --- Eastern Hemisphere --- Eurasia --- european integration

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After 1945, new methods and tools for forecasting the future grew out of the dynamic developments that were taking place in science and technology. Conceptions of futures research or futures studies as approaches to forecasting, planning and envisaging the future grew out of transnational circulations of knowledge in the 1950s and 1960s. The futures field was epitomized by the perception of many possible futures to be forecast and shaped. However, during the 1970s, the limits of envisioning the future became increasingly evident. This book as the first comprehensive study on the topic focuses on the futures field in Western industrialized countries - particularly the USA and West Germany - but also takes the socialist states and global networks into its ambit. Zukunft avancierte in den westlichen Industriegesellschaften der 1950er bis 1970er Jahre zu einer zentralen wissenschaftlichen und politischen Kategorie. Im Zuge dessen formierte sich eine neue Wissenschaft - die Zukunftsforschung. Mit der preisgekrönten Studie von Elke Seefried liegt die erste Gesamtdarstellung zum Thema vor. Seefried zeigt, wie die "westliche" Zukunftsforschung aus dem Systemwettlauf des Kalten Krieges und der Überzeugung gerann, "Zukünfte" voraussagen und steuern zu können. Plastisch werden die Denkstile von Zukunftsforschern wie Daniel Bell, Herman Kahn oder Robert Jungk, transatlantische Netzwerke und die ambivalente Rolle der Zukunftsforschung in der politischen Planung herausgearbeitet. Einen Höhepunkt erreichte die Zukunftsforschung um 1970, als sie einen globalen Krisendiskurs um die "Grenzen des Wachstums" anfachte. Schließlich erklärt das Buch, warum die Zukunftsforschung im Lauf der 1970er Jahre selbst in eine Krise geriet. Elke Seefried wurde 2014 für diese Studie mit dem Carl-Erdmann-Preis des Verbandes der Historiker und Historikerinnen Deutschlands für herausragende Habilitationsschriften ausgezeichnet.

International law. --- International organization. --- Law --- Law, Germanic --- Federation, International --- Global governance --- Interdependence of nations --- International administration --- International federation --- Organization, International --- World federation --- World government --- World order --- World organization --- Congresses and conventions --- International relations --- Peace --- Political science --- International agencies --- International cooperation --- Security, International --- World politics --- Law of nations --- Nations, Law of --- Public international law --- Club of Rome. --- controlling. --- forecasting. --- futures research. --- futures studies. --- planning boom.