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This paper provides empirical evidence that countries in emerging Europe reaped the benefits of international financial integration over the past 12 years by attracting sizeable foreign capital inflows and accelerating medium-term growth. But the aggregate pattern masks substantial heterogeneity across countries; namely, new European Union member states and the European Union candidate countries are different from the European Union neighborhood. The growth benefits are supported from both a flow and a stock perspective in terms of the link between foreign savings and growth. While foreign savings might in part substitute for national savings, the analysis finds that the channel to high growth in these countries is, primarily, through making possible the pursuit of investment opportunities that would otherwise remain unfunded; in turn, this seems to be intimately linked to the opportunities created by European Union membership. Although this conclusion does not disappear if the outlier observations of the credit boom period that preceded the financial crisis are dropped from the sample, it does suggest that these excesses did not play as positive a role for growth.
Access to Finance --- Achieving Shared Growth --- Currencies and Exchange Rates --- Economic Theory & Research --- Emerging Markets --- External vulnerability --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial frictions --- Foreign capital --- Income convergence --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
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This paper provides empirical evidence that countries in emerging Europe reaped the benefits of international financial integration over the past 12 years by attracting sizeable foreign capital inflows and accelerating medium-term growth. But the aggregate pattern masks substantial heterogeneity across countries; namely, new European Union member states and the European Union candidate countries are different from the European Union neighborhood. The growth benefits are supported from both a flow and a stock perspective in terms of the link between foreign savings and growth. While foreign savings might in part substitute for national savings, the analysis finds that the channel to high growth in these countries is, primarily, through making possible the pursuit of investment opportunities that would otherwise remain unfunded; in turn, this seems to be intimately linked to the opportunities created by European Union membership. Although this conclusion does not disappear if the outlier observations of the credit boom period that preceded the financial crisis are dropped from the sample, it does suggest that these excesses did not play as positive a role for growth.
Access to Finance --- Achieving Shared Growth --- Currencies and Exchange Rates --- Economic Theory & Research --- Emerging Markets --- External vulnerability --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial frictions --- Foreign capital --- Income convergence --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
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The causes and consequences of foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing countries remains a subject of debate among researchers and policymakers alike. The authors use international data and a new micro-data set of firms in thirteen Southern African Developing Countries (SADCs) to investigate the benefits and determinants of FDI in this region. FDI appears to have facilitated local development in the SADC region. Foreign firms tend to perform better than domestic firms, tend to be larger, are located in richer and better-governed countries and in countries with more competitive financial intermediaries, and they are more likely to export than domestic firms. They also exhibit positive spillover effects to domestic firms. Relying on a standard model to predict the country-level FDI inflows per capita, the authors find that SADC is attracting their expected level of FDI inflows, at least relative to its income level, human capital, demographic structure, institutions, and economic track record. There are some differences between SADC and the rest of the world in FDI behavior: in SADC, the income level is less important and openness more so. The authors use two comparison groups to compare with SADC to shed light on why other regions have attracted more FDI per capita than SADC. The factors that explain SADC's low FDI inflows are economic fundamentals (e.g., previous growth rates, average income, phone density, and the adult share of population).
Advanced economies --- Debt Markets --- Demographic --- Developing countries --- Economic development --- Economic Theory & Research --- Emerging Markets --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial intermediaries --- Firm performance --- Foreign capital --- Foreign Direct Investment --- Foreign firms --- Foreign ownership --- Growth rates --- Human capital --- Income --- Institutional environment --- International Economics and Trade --- Investment and Investment Climate --- Investment climate --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Private Sector Development --- Regional integration --- Sales growth --- Technology transfer --- Track record
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In spite of the growing concerns about foreign direct investment being diverted from Latin America to China and India, the best available data show that Latin America has performed relatively well since 1997. Foreign capital stocks from OECD countries and the United States in particular in China and India are still far from those in the largest Latin American economies. The evidence shows that foreign capital stocks in China increased more than in Latin America during 1990-1997, but not as much since 1997. In fact, Latin America has actually performed better than China since 1997 given its lack of relative growth. The growth of foreign capital stocks in India was more stable than in China. Nonetheless, after controlling for shocks emanating from the source countries and bilateral distance between source and host countries, this paper finds a significant change in foreign capital stocks relative to China between 1990 and 1997, but no change relative to India.
Capital formation --- Capital stocks --- Common Carriers Industry --- Corporate Law --- Debt Markets --- Developing countries --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial support --- Fixed capital --- Foreign capital --- Foreign Direct Investment --- Host countries --- Host country --- Industry --- International Bank --- Law and Development --- Non Bank Financial Institutions --- Transport --- Transport and Trade Logistics
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The causes and consequences of foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing countries remains a subject of debate among researchers and policymakers alike. The authors use international data and a new micro-data set of firms in thirteen Southern African Developing Countries (SADCs) to investigate the benefits and determinants of FDI in this region. FDI appears to have facilitated local development in the SADC region. Foreign firms tend to perform better than domestic firms, tend to be larger, are located in richer and better-governed countries and in countries with more competitive financial intermediaries, and they are more likely to export than domestic firms. They also exhibit positive spillover effects to domestic firms. Relying on a standard model to predict the country-level FDI inflows per capita, the authors find that SADC is attracting their expected level of FDI inflows, at least relative to its income level, human capital, demographic structure, institutions, and economic track record. There are some differences between SADC and the rest of the world in FDI behavior: in SADC, the income level is less important and openness more so. The authors use two comparison groups to compare with SADC to shed light on why other regions have attracted more FDI per capita than SADC. The factors that explain SADC's low FDI inflows are economic fundamentals (e.g., previous growth rates, average income, phone density, and the adult share of population).
Advanced economies --- Debt Markets --- Demographic --- Developing countries --- Economic development --- Economic Theory & Research --- Emerging Markets --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial intermediaries --- Firm performance --- Foreign capital --- Foreign Direct Investment --- Foreign firms --- Foreign ownership --- Growth rates --- Human capital --- Income --- Institutional environment --- International Economics and Trade --- Investment and Investment Climate --- Investment climate --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Private Sector Development --- Regional integration --- Sales growth --- Technology transfer --- Track record
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In spite of the growing concerns about foreign direct investment being diverted from Latin America to China and India, the best available data show that Latin America has performed relatively well since 1997. Foreign capital stocks from OECD countries and the United States in particular in China and India are still far from those in the largest Latin American economies. The evidence shows that foreign capital stocks in China increased more than in Latin America during 1990-1997, but not as much since 1997. In fact, Latin America has actually performed better than China since 1997 given its lack of relative growth. The growth of foreign capital stocks in India was more stable than in China. Nonetheless, after controlling for shocks emanating from the source countries and bilateral distance between source and host countries, this paper finds a significant change in foreign capital stocks relative to China between 1990 and 1997, but no change relative to India.
Capital formation --- Capital stocks --- Common Carriers Industry --- Corporate Law --- Debt Markets --- Developing countries --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial support --- Fixed capital --- Foreign capital --- Foreign Direct Investment --- Host countries --- Host country --- Industry --- International Bank --- Law and Development --- Non Bank Financial Institutions --- Transport --- Transport and Trade Logistics
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China is now the world's largest destination of foreign direct investment (FDI), despite assessments highlighting its institutional deficiencies. But this FDI inflow corresponds closely to predicted FDI flows into China from a model that predicts FDI inflow based on government quality indicators and controls and is estimated across a sample of other weak-institution countries. The only real discrepancy is that, if government quality is measured by constraints on executive power, China receives somewhat more FDI than the model predicts. This might reflect an underestimation of the strength of these constraints in China, a unique institutional setting for FDI operations, FDI based on expected future institutional improvements, or a unique Chinese model of development. The authors conclude that Ockham's razor disfavors the last. They also note that FDI may be elevated because Chinese institutions protect foreign firms better than domestic ones.
Bank Policy --- Bureaucratic Quality --- Contracts --- Country Risk --- Debt Markets --- Economic Theory and Research --- Emerging Markets --- Exchange --- Finance --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Literacy --- Fixed Investment --- Foreign Capital --- Foreign Direct Investment --- Foreign Investors --- Future --- Global Business --- Good --- Interest --- International Economics & Trade --- Investment and Investment Climate --- Investors --- Labor Policies --- Law and Development --- Legal Products --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Political Economy --- Private Property --- Private Sector Development --- Property --- Property Rights --- Public Investment --- Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures --- Rule of Law --- Social Protections and Labor
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China is now the world's largest destination of foreign direct investment (FDI), despite assessments highlighting its institutional deficiencies. But this FDI inflow corresponds closely to predicted FDI flows into China from a model that predicts FDI inflow based on government quality indicators and controls and is estimated across a sample of other weak-institution countries. The only real discrepancy is that, if government quality is measured by constraints on executive power, China receives somewhat more FDI than the model predicts. This might reflect an underestimation of the strength of these constraints in China, a unique institutional setting for FDI operations, FDI based on expected future institutional improvements, or a unique Chinese model of development. The authors conclude that Ockham's razor disfavors the last. They also note that FDI may be elevated because Chinese institutions protect foreign firms better than domestic ones.
Bank Policy --- Bureaucratic Quality --- Contracts --- Country Risk --- Debt Markets --- Economic Theory and Research --- Emerging Markets --- Exchange --- Finance --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Literacy --- Fixed Investment --- Foreign Capital --- Foreign Direct Investment --- Foreign Investors --- Future --- Global Business --- Good --- Interest --- International Economics & Trade --- Investment and Investment Climate --- Investors --- Labor Policies --- Law and Development --- Legal Products --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Political Economy --- Private Property --- Private Sector Development --- Property --- Property Rights --- Public Investment --- Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures --- Rule of Law --- Social Protections and Labor
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Following an unprecedented economic boom fed by foreign investment, the Russian Revolution triggered the worst sovereign default in history. Bankers and Bolsheviks tells the dramatic story of this boom and bust, chronicling the forgotten experiences of leading financiers of the age.Shedding critical new light on the decision making of the powerful personalities who acted as the gatekeepers of international finance, Hassan Malik narrates how they channeled foreign capital into Russia in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. While economists have long relied on quantitative analysis to grapple with questions relating to the drivers of cross-border capital flows, Malik adopts a historical approach, drawing on banking and government archives in four countries. The book provides rare insights into the thinking of influential figures in world finance as they sought to navigate one of the most challenging and lucrative markets of the first modern age of globalization.Bankers and Bolsheviks reveals how a complex web of factors-from government interventions to competitive dynamics and cultural influences-drove a large inflow of capital during this tumultuous period in world history. This gripping book demonstrates how the realms of finance and politics-of bankers and Bolsheviks-grew increasingly intertwined, and how investing in Russia became a political act with unforeseen repercussions.
Finance --- Revolution (Soviet Union : 1917-1921) --- 1917-1921 --- Soviet Union --- Soviet Union. --- Economic conditions. --- Foreign economic relations. --- History --- 1905 Revolution. --- 1906 loan. --- 1918 Bolshevik default. --- Bolshevik Revolution. --- Bolshevik coup. --- Bolshevik ideology. --- Bolsheviks. --- First World War. --- Panic of 1907. --- Russian Empire. --- Russian Government Loan of 1906. --- Russian Revolution. --- Russian debt. --- Russian economy. --- Russian financial system. --- Russian government. --- Russian investment. --- Russian markets. --- Russian railroad construction. --- Sergei Witte. --- Trans-Siberian Railway. --- Western investment boom. --- armaments buildup. --- bankers. --- banking. --- boom. --- bust. --- cultural influence. --- debt default. --- default. --- domestic debt markets. --- domestic tensions. --- economic crisis. --- foreign bankers. --- foreign capital markets. --- foreign investors. --- geopolitics. --- government intervention. --- international capital flows. --- interrevolutionary rally. --- investment. --- investor decision making. --- loans. --- patriotism. --- political instability. --- political tensions. --- sovereign default. --- state-led industrialization. --- strategic errors. --- violence.
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The first comprehensive history of the Turkish economyThe population and economy of the area within the present-day borders of Turkey has consistently been among the largest in the developing world, yet there has been no authoritative economic history of Turkey until now. In Uneven Centuries, Şevket Pamuk examines the economic growth and human development of Turkey over the past two hundred years.Taking a comparative global perspective, Pamuk investigates Turkey's economic history through four periods: the open economy during the nineteenth-century Ottoman era, the transition from empire to nation-state that spanned the two world wars and the Great Depression, the continued protectionism and import-substituting industrialization after World War II, and the neoliberal policies and the opening of the economy after 1980. Making use of indices of GDP per capita, trade, wages, health, and education, Pamuk argues that Turkey's long-term economic trends cannot be explained only by immediate causes such as economic policies, rates of investment, productivity growth, and structural change.Uneven Centuries offers a deeper analysis of the essential forces underlying Turkey's development-its institutions and their evolution-to make better sense of the country's unique history and to provide important insights into the patterns of growth in developing countries during the past two centuries.
Economic development --- History --- Turkey --- Turkey. --- Economic conditions. --- 1950s. --- 1970s. --- 1980. --- Asian crisis. --- Balkans. --- Democrat Party. --- GDP. --- Great Depression. --- Industrial Revolution. --- North America. --- Ottoman government. --- Ottoman institutions. --- Ottoman reforms. --- War of Independence. --- Western Europe. --- World War I. --- World War II. --- agriculture. --- capital movements. --- capital. --- developed countries. --- developing countries. --- developing-country. --- economic development. --- economic environment. --- economic growth. --- economic history. --- economic institutions. --- economic policies. --- economic power. --- empire. --- external support. --- financial globalization. --- foreign capital. --- foreign trade. --- growth rates. --- growth. --- human capital. --- human development. --- income distribution. --- income per capita. --- independence movements. --- industrialization. --- institutional changes. --- institutions. --- international trade. --- investment. --- labor force. --- labor movements. --- labor unions. --- labor. --- land. --- macroeconomic instability. --- mid-1950s. --- modern Turkey. --- multiparty political system. --- nation-state. --- nineteenth century. --- open economy. --- per capita GDP. --- per capita income. --- per capita incomes. --- physical capital. --- political developments. --- political system. --- productivity. --- protectionism. --- reforms. --- technological changes. --- technological progress. --- western European states. --- world averages. --- world wars.
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