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Dissertation
Influence of meteorological conditions on daily Kilometric Abundance Index in moose's populations assessement in east-central Finland and characterization of their winter habitat
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 2019 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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Wildlife population assessment has taken more and more importance through recent years. In Finland, the main used method for population estimation is called “Track counting” and leads to a Kilometric Abundance Index (KAI). As moose takes an essential place in Finnish forestry, it is surveyed each winter thanks to this method. Besides, there is a need in understanding winter habitat selection in order to adjust its management. This study is divided into two main parts: the first one aims to study the impacts of meteorological conditions on daily KAI, the second part focuses on localisation and characterization of winter habitat. For KAI study, three 10km-odd transects have been randomly dimensioned and walked every week from 22nd of January to 23nd of April 2019. New moose’s tracks from last week were counted and a daily KAI was estimated (tracks seen per 10km per day). Best subset method was used to select the model that better predicts KAI according to meteorological parameters. For winter habitat determination, fresh moose’s tracks were followed to localise droppings and resting places. Zones with a high density of found items were considered as preferred habitat. For those habitats, vegetation surveys were conducted, thanks to 5x5m quadrats, both inside and outside the preferred habitats. One-way Anova were achieved in order to highlight differences in terms of vegetation parameters. The built model includes snow depth, snow sinking and daily maximal temperature (r²=0.54). KAI increases with an increasing snow sinking and decreases with the increases of the two other parameters. Results of winter habitat determination have pointed out a difference in trees layer, with more trees in adjacent vegetation (p-value=0.033). In shrub layer, number of individuals is generally higher in preferred habitats (p-value=0.045), with birch (Betula sp.) and pine (Pinus sylvestris) as main found species. Results of this study, both in KAI and winter habitat selection, could help forest manager decision-making process while surveying moose. Depuis les récentes décennies, l’évaluation des populations d’animaux sauvages a pris de plus en plus d’importance. En Finlande, la méthode utilisée pour l’estimation de population animale consiste en un relevé d’un Indice Kilométrique d’Abondance (IKA), en comptant chaque hiver, le nombre de traces dans a neige le long d’un transect. L’élan fait partie des espèces suivies par cette méthode, vu son importance dans les écosystèmes forestiers finlandais. En plus de ces estimations, une meilleure compréhension de la sélection d’habitat hivernaux est primordiale. Les objectifs de cette étude sont divisés en deux sections : la première vise à évaluer l’influence des conditions météorologiques sur l’IKA et la seconde partie s’intéresse à la localisation et caractérisation des habitats hivernaux préférentiels. Pour estimer un IKA journalier, trois transect d’environ 10km ont été aléatoirement reparti sur la zone d’étude et parcouru chaque semaine du 22 janvier au 23 avril 2019. Toutes nouvelles traces d’élans repérés ont été comptées et un IKA journalier a été estimé (nombre de traces vues par 10km par jour). La méthode des best-subset a été utilisé pour déterminer le meilleur modèle permettant de prédire l’IKA selon les différents paramètres météorologiques. Pour l’étude des habitats hivernaux, plusieurs traces fraiches ont été suivis afin de géolocaliser les crottes et couches. Les zones avec une plus grande densité ont été considérés comme habitats préférentiels. Pour ceux-ci, une comparaison de végétation avec la végétation adjacentes a été réalisé par la mise en place de quadrats de relevés. Des Anova à un facteur ont permis d’identifier les différences entre les principales variables mesurées. Le modèle construit permet une estimation correcte de l’IKA (r² =0.54) sur base de la profondeur de neige, de l’enfoncement et de la température maximale journalière. Ainsi, l’IKA augmente avec l’augmentation de l’enfoncement et diminue avec l’augmentation des deux dernières variables. Les résultats de l’étude des habitats hivernaux ont montré une différence significative du nombre d’arbres comptés, en moyenne plus élevés dans la végétation adjacente (p-valeur=0.033). Dans la strate herbacée, il y a en moyenne plus d’arbustes dans les habitats préférentiels (p-valeur=0.045), avec une grande présence de bouleau (Betula sp.) et de pin (Pinus sylvestris). Les resultats de cette étude, que ce soit sur l’IKA ou sur la sélection d’habitats, fournissent des informations concrètes utiles à tout gestionnaire forestier pour la gestion de populations d’élans.


Book
Process Modelling and Simulation
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 303921456X 3039214551 Year: 2019 Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Since process models are nowadays ubiquitous in many applications, the challenges and alternatives related to their development, validation, and efficient use have become more apparent. In addition, the massive amounts of both offline and online data available today open the door for new applications and solutions. However, transforming data into useful models and information in the context of the process industry or of bio-systems requires specific approaches and considerations such as new modelling methodologies incorporating the complex, stochastic, hybrid and distributed nature of many processes in particular. The same can be said about the tools and software environments used to describe, code, and solve such models for their further exploitation. Going well beyond mere simulation tools, these advanced tools offer a software suite built around the models, facilitating tasks such as experiment design, parameter estimation, model initialization, validation, analysis, size reduction, discretization, optimization, distributed computation, co-simulation, etc. This Special Issue collects novel developments in these topics in order to address the challenges brought by the use of models in their different facets, and to reflect state of the art developments in methods, tools and industrial applications.

Keywords

polyacrylonitrile-based carbon fiber --- n/a --- coagulation bath --- binder dissolution --- sensitivity analysis --- simulation --- neural networks --- kernel development --- thermodynamics --- phytochemicals --- wave resonance --- natural extracts --- population balance model --- optimization --- vane --- parameter estimation --- grey-box model --- observability --- optimal clustering --- energy --- idling test --- data-mining --- extents --- computational fluid dynamics --- scrap dissolution --- Combined Heat and Power --- dynamic optimization --- scrap melting --- swelling --- engineering --- dry-jet wet spinning process --- fluid bed granulation --- point estimation method --- algebraic modeling language --- Design of Experiments --- costing stopping --- materials --- hydration --- SOS programming --- kinetics --- moisture content --- CHP legislation --- model predictive control --- graph theory --- robust optimization --- dynamic converter modelling --- partial least square regression --- uncertainty --- state decoupling --- utility management --- fluidized bed drying --- reactor coolant pump --- condensation --- wheat germ --- cooking --- maximum wave amplitude --- moving horizon estimation --- gray-box model --- chemistry --- barley --- machine learning --- heat and mass balance --- equality constraints --- porridge --- process model validation --- Pharmaceutical Processes --- mathematical model --- model identification --- Mammalian Cell Culture --- process modeling --- parameter correlation


Book
CFD Modelling and Simulation of Water Turbines
Authors: ---
ISBN: 3036560165 3036560157 Year: 2022 Publisher: Basel MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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The design and development of water turbines requires accurate methods for performance prediction. Numerical methods and modelling are becoming increasingly important tools to achieve better designs and more efficient turbines, reducing the time required in physical model testing. This book is focused on applying numerical simulations and models for water turbines to predict tool their performance. In this Special Issue, the different contributions of this book are classified into three state-of-the-art Topics: discussing the modelling of pump-turbines, the simulation of horizontal and vertical axis turbines for hydrokinetic applications and the modelling of hydropower plants. All the contributions to this book demonstrate the importance of the modelling and simulation of water turbines for hydropower energy. This new generation of models and simulations will play a major role in the global energy transition and energy crisis, and, of course, in the mitigation of climate change.


Book
Short-Term Load Forecasting 2019
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Basel, Switzerland MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a key role in the formulation of economic, reliable, and secure operating strategies (planning, scheduling, maintenance, and control processes, among others) for a power system and will be significant in the future. However, there is still much to do in these research areas. The deployment of enabling technologies (e.g., smart meters) has made high-granularity data available for many customer segments and to approach many issues, for instance, to make forecasting tasks feasible at several demand aggregation levels. The first challenge is the improvement of STLF models and their performance at new aggregation levels. Moreover, the mix of renewables in the power system, and the necessity to include more flexibility through demand response initiatives have introduced greater uncertainties, which means new challenges for STLF in a more dynamic power system in the 2030–50 horizon. Many techniques have been proposed and applied for STLF, including traditional statistical models and AI techniques. Besides, distribution planning needs, as well as grid modernization, have initiated the development of hierarchical load forecasting. Analogously, the need to face new sources of uncertainty in the power system is giving more importance to probabilistic load forecasting. This Special Issue deals with both fundamental research and practical application research on STLF methodologies to face the challenges of a more distributed and customer-centered power system.


Book
Bright Lights, Big Cities : Measuring National and Subnational Economic Growth in Africa from Outer Space, with an Application to Kenya and Rwanda.
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This paper uses the night lights (satellite imagery from outer space) approach to estimate growth in and levels of subnational 2013 gross domestic product for 47 counties in Kenya and 30 districts in Rwanda. Estimating subnational gross domestic product is consequential for three reasons. First, there is strong policy interest in how growth can occur in different parts of countries, so that communities can share in national prosperity and not get left behind. Second, subnational entities want to understand how they stack up against their neighbors and competitors, and how much they contribute to national gross domestic product. Third, such information could help private investors to assess where to undertake investments. Using night lights has the advantage of seeing a new and more accurate estimation of informal activity, and being independent of official data. However, the approach may underestimate economic activity in sectors that are largely unlit notably agriculture. For Kenya, the results of the analysis affirm that Nairobi County is the largest contributor to national gross domestic product. However, at 13 percent, this contribution is lower than commonly thought. For Rwanda, the three districts of Kigali account for 40 percent of national gross domestic product, underscoring the lower scale of economic activity in the rest of the country. To get a composite picture of subnational economic activity, especially in the context of rapidly improving official statistics in Kenya and Rwanda, it is important to estimate subnational gross domestic product using standard approaches (production, expenditure, income).


Book
Bright Lights, Big Cities : Measuring National and Subnational Economic Growth in Africa from Outer Space, with an Application to Kenya and Rwanda.
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Abstract

This paper uses the night lights (satellite imagery from outer space) approach to estimate growth in and levels of subnational 2013 gross domestic product for 47 counties in Kenya and 30 districts in Rwanda. Estimating subnational gross domestic product is consequential for three reasons. First, there is strong policy interest in how growth can occur in different parts of countries, so that communities can share in national prosperity and not get left behind. Second, subnational entities want to understand how they stack up against their neighbors and competitors, and how much they contribute to national gross domestic product. Third, such information could help private investors to assess where to undertake investments. Using night lights has the advantage of seeing a new and more accurate estimation of informal activity, and being independent of official data. However, the approach may underestimate economic activity in sectors that are largely unlit notably agriculture. For Kenya, the results of the analysis affirm that Nairobi County is the largest contributor to national gross domestic product. However, at 13 percent, this contribution is lower than commonly thought. For Rwanda, the three districts of Kigali account for 40 percent of national gross domestic product, underscoring the lower scale of economic activity in the rest of the country. To get a composite picture of subnational economic activity, especially in the context of rapidly improving official statistics in Kenya and Rwanda, it is important to estimate subnational gross domestic product using standard approaches (production, expenditure, income).


Book
Short-Term Load Forecasting 2019
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Basel, Switzerland MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a key role in the formulation of economic, reliable, and secure operating strategies (planning, scheduling, maintenance, and control processes, among others) for a power system and will be significant in the future. However, there is still much to do in these research areas. The deployment of enabling technologies (e.g., smart meters) has made high-granularity data available for many customer segments and to approach many issues, for instance, to make forecasting tasks feasible at several demand aggregation levels. The first challenge is the improvement of STLF models and their performance at new aggregation levels. Moreover, the mix of renewables in the power system, and the necessity to include more flexibility through demand response initiatives have introduced greater uncertainties, which means new challenges for STLF in a more dynamic power system in the 2030–50 horizon. Many techniques have been proposed and applied for STLF, including traditional statistical models and AI techniques. Besides, distribution planning needs, as well as grid modernization, have initiated the development of hierarchical load forecasting. Analogously, the need to face new sources of uncertainty in the power system is giving more importance to probabilistic load forecasting. This Special Issue deals with both fundamental research and practical application research on STLF methodologies to face the challenges of a more distributed and customer-centered power system.


Book
Short-Term Load Forecasting 2019
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Basel, Switzerland MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a key role in the formulation of economic, reliable, and secure operating strategies (planning, scheduling, maintenance, and control processes, among others) for a power system and will be significant in the future. However, there is still much to do in these research areas. The deployment of enabling technologies (e.g., smart meters) has made high-granularity data available for many customer segments and to approach many issues, for instance, to make forecasting tasks feasible at several demand aggregation levels. The first challenge is the improvement of STLF models and their performance at new aggregation levels. Moreover, the mix of renewables in the power system, and the necessity to include more flexibility through demand response initiatives have introduced greater uncertainties, which means new challenges for STLF in a more dynamic power system in the 2030–50 horizon. Many techniques have been proposed and applied for STLF, including traditional statistical models and AI techniques. Besides, distribution planning needs, as well as grid modernization, have initiated the development of hierarchical load forecasting. Analogously, the need to face new sources of uncertainty in the power system is giving more importance to probabilistic load forecasting. This Special Issue deals with both fundamental research and practical application research on STLF methodologies to face the challenges of a more distributed and customer-centered power system.

Keywords

History of engineering & technology --- short-term load forecasting --- demand-side management --- pattern similarity --- hierarchical short-term load forecasting --- feature selection --- weather station selection --- load forecasting --- special days --- regressive models --- electric load forecasting --- data preprocessing technique --- multiobjective optimization algorithm --- combined model --- Nordic electricity market --- electricity demand --- component estimation method --- univariate and multivariate time series analysis --- modeling and forecasting --- deep learning --- wavenet --- long short-term memory --- demand response --- hybrid energy system --- data augmentation --- convolution neural network --- residential load forecasting --- forecasting --- time series --- cubic splines --- real-time electricity load --- seasonal patterns --- Load forecasting --- VSTLF --- bus load forecasting --- DBN --- PSR --- distributed energy resources --- prosumers --- building electric energy consumption forecasting --- cold-start problem --- transfer learning --- multivariate random forests --- random forest --- electricity consumption --- lasso --- Tikhonov regularization --- load metering --- preliminary load --- short term load forecasting --- performance criteria --- power systems --- cost analysis --- day ahead --- feature extraction --- deep residual neural network --- multiple sources --- electricity --- short-term load forecasting --- demand-side management --- pattern similarity --- hierarchical short-term load forecasting --- feature selection --- weather station selection --- load forecasting --- special days --- regressive models --- electric load forecasting --- data preprocessing technique --- multiobjective optimization algorithm --- combined model --- Nordic electricity market --- electricity demand --- component estimation method --- univariate and multivariate time series analysis --- modeling and forecasting --- deep learning --- wavenet --- long short-term memory --- demand response --- hybrid energy system --- data augmentation --- convolution neural network --- residential load forecasting --- forecasting --- time series --- cubic splines --- real-time electricity load --- seasonal patterns --- Load forecasting --- VSTLF --- bus load forecasting --- DBN --- PSR --- distributed energy resources --- prosumers --- building electric energy consumption forecasting --- cold-start problem --- transfer learning --- multivariate random forests --- random forest --- electricity consumption --- lasso --- Tikhonov regularization --- load metering --- preliminary load --- short term load forecasting --- performance criteria --- power systems --- cost analysis --- day ahead --- feature extraction --- deep residual neural network --- multiple sources --- electricity


Book
Optimization Methods Applied to Power Systems: Volume 1
Authors: ---
ISBN: 3039211315 3039211307 Year: 2019 Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

This book presents an interesting sample of the latest advances in optimization techniques applied to electrical power engineering. It covers a variety of topics from various fields, ranging from classical optimization such as Linear and Nonlinear Programming and Integer and Mixed-Integer Programming to the most modern methods based on bio-inspired metaheuristics. The featured papers invite readers to delve further into emerging optimization techniques and their real application to case studies such as conventional and renewable energy generation, distributed generation, transport and distribution of electrical energy, electrical machines and power electronics, network optimization, intelligent systems, advances in electric mobility, etc.

Keywords

n/a --- Stackelberg game --- MILP --- optimal congestion threshold --- magnetic field mitigation --- simulation --- multi-objective particle swarm optimization --- virtual power plant --- internal defect --- day-ahead load forecasting --- neural network --- modular predictor --- multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm --- stochastic optimization --- dragonfly algorithm --- unit commitment --- metaheuristic --- multi-population method (MP) --- optimization --- tabu search --- considerable decomposition --- loss minimization --- active distribution system --- islanded microgrid --- dynamic solving framework --- feature selection --- electric energy costs --- power factor compensation --- dependability --- interactive load --- overhead --- energy internet --- evolutionary computation --- wind power --- developed grew wolf optimizer --- underground --- ETAP --- fuzzy algorithm --- electric vehicles --- Schwarz’s equation --- evolutionary algorithms --- electric power contracts --- congestion management --- optimizing-scenarios method --- building energy management system --- particle encoding method --- ringdown detection --- HOMER software --- DC optimal power flow --- prosumer --- constrained parameter estimation --- distributed generations (DGs) --- strong track filter (STF) --- transient stability --- calibration --- cost minimization --- radiance --- decentralized and collaborative optimization --- hybrid renewable energy system --- renewable energy sources --- rural electrification --- distribution network reconfiguration --- interval variables --- optimization methods --- particle swarm optimization --- hierarchical scheduling --- micro grid --- AC/DC hybrid active distribution --- consensus --- artificial bee colony --- CCHP system --- data center --- support vector machine --- affinity propagation clustering --- extended Kalman filter --- affine arithmetic --- linear discriminant analysis (LDA) --- current margins --- heterogeneous networks --- Cameroon --- hybrid method --- distributed heat-electricity energy management --- discrete wind driven optimization --- fitness function --- cross-entropy --- GenOpt --- wind energy --- demand uncertainty --- UC --- off-design performance --- genetic algorithm --- energy storage --- the biomimetic membrane computing --- power system optimization --- electric vehicle --- power architectures --- economic load dispatch problem (ELD) --- runner-root algorithm (RRA) --- Cable joint --- battery energy storage system --- load curtailment --- integration assessment --- power system unit commitment --- artificial lighting --- power flow --- hybrid membrane computing --- two-point estimation method --- low-voltage networks --- demand bidding --- non-sinusoidal circuits --- energy flow model --- power transfer distribution factors --- sustainability --- HVAC system --- voltage deviation --- street light points --- radial basis function --- energy storage system --- charging/discharging --- power systems --- intelligent scatter search --- MV/LV substation --- optimal power flow --- stochastic state estimation --- eight searching sub-regions --- chaos optimization algorithm (COA) --- mutual information theory --- inter-turn shorted-circuit fault (ISCF) --- C&I particle swarm optimization --- multiobjective optimization --- passive shielding --- sub-Saharan Africa --- micro-phasor measurement unit --- geometric algebra --- bio-inspired algorithms --- adaptive consensus algorithm --- energy management --- PCS efficiency --- multi-stakeholders --- generalized generation distribution factors --- the genetic algorithm based P system --- JAYA algorithm --- thermal probability density --- power optimization --- pumped-hydro energy storage --- smart grid --- two-stage feature selection --- piecewise linear techniques --- photovoltaic --- SOCP relaxations --- switched reluctance machine (SRM) --- optimal reactive power dispatch --- optimal operation --- controllable response --- off-grid --- active shielding --- transformer-fault diagnosis --- IEEE Std. 80-2000 --- principal component analysis --- demand response --- Schwarz's equation


Book
Optimization Methods Applied to Power Systems: Volume 2
Authors: ---
ISBN: 3039211579 3039211560 Year: 2019 Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

This book presents an interesting sample of the latest advances in optimization techniques applied to electrical power engineering. It covers a variety of topics from various fields, ranging from classical optimization such as Linear and Nonlinear Programming and Integer and Mixed-Integer Programming to the most modern methods based on bio-inspired metaheuristics. The featured papers invite readers to delve further into emerging optimization techniques and their real application to case studies such as conventional and renewable energy generation, distributed generation, transport and distribution of electrical energy, electrical machines and power electronics, network optimization, intelligent systems, advances in electric mobility, etc.

Keywords

n/a --- Stackelberg game --- MILP --- optimal congestion threshold --- magnetic field mitigation --- simulation --- multi-objective particle swarm optimization --- virtual power plant --- internal defect --- day-ahead load forecasting --- neural network --- modular predictor --- multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm --- stochastic optimization --- dragonfly algorithm --- unit commitment --- metaheuristic --- multi-population method (MP) --- optimization --- tabu search --- considerable decomposition --- loss minimization --- active distribution system --- islanded microgrid --- dynamic solving framework --- feature selection --- electric energy costs --- power factor compensation --- dependability --- interactive load --- overhead --- energy internet --- evolutionary computation --- wind power --- developed grew wolf optimizer --- underground --- ETAP --- fuzzy algorithm --- electric vehicles --- Schwarz’s equation --- evolutionary algorithms --- electric power contracts --- congestion management --- optimizing-scenarios method --- building energy management system --- particle encoding method --- ringdown detection --- HOMER software --- DC optimal power flow --- prosumer --- constrained parameter estimation --- distributed generations (DGs) --- strong track filter (STF) --- transient stability --- calibration --- cost minimization --- radiance --- decentralized and collaborative optimization --- hybrid renewable energy system --- renewable energy sources --- rural electrification --- distribution network reconfiguration --- interval variables --- optimization methods --- particle swarm optimization --- hierarchical scheduling --- micro grid --- AC/DC hybrid active distribution --- consensus --- artificial bee colony --- CCHP system --- data center --- support vector machine --- affinity propagation clustering --- extended Kalman filter --- affine arithmetic --- linear discriminant analysis (LDA) --- current margins --- heterogeneous networks --- Cameroon --- hybrid method --- distributed heat-electricity energy management --- discrete wind driven optimization --- fitness function --- cross-entropy --- GenOpt --- wind energy --- demand uncertainty --- UC --- off-design performance --- genetic algorithm --- energy storage --- the biomimetic membrane computing --- power system optimization --- electric vehicle --- power architectures --- economic load dispatch problem (ELD) --- runner-root algorithm (RRA) --- Cable joint --- battery energy storage system --- load curtailment --- integration assessment --- power system unit commitment --- artificial lighting --- power flow --- hybrid membrane computing --- two-point estimation method --- low-voltage networks --- demand bidding --- non-sinusoidal circuits --- energy flow model --- power transfer distribution factors --- sustainability --- HVAC system --- voltage deviation --- street light points --- radial basis function --- energy storage system --- charging/discharging --- power systems --- intelligent scatter search --- MV/LV substation --- optimal power flow --- stochastic state estimation --- eight searching sub-regions --- chaos optimization algorithm (COA) --- mutual information theory --- inter-turn shorted-circuit fault (ISCF) --- C&I particle swarm optimization --- multiobjective optimization --- passive shielding --- sub-Saharan Africa --- micro-phasor measurement unit --- geometric algebra --- bio-inspired algorithms --- adaptive consensus algorithm --- energy management --- PCS efficiency --- multi-stakeholders --- generalized generation distribution factors --- the genetic algorithm based P system --- JAYA algorithm --- thermal probability density --- power optimization --- pumped-hydro energy storage --- smart grid --- two-stage feature selection --- piecewise linear techniques --- photovoltaic --- SOCP relaxations --- switched reluctance machine (SRM) --- optimal reactive power dispatch --- optimal operation --- controllable response --- off-grid --- active shielding --- transformer-fault diagnosis --- IEEE Std. 80-2000 --- principal component analysis --- demand response --- Schwarz's equation

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