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Book
Bhutan Policy Notes : Attracting Foreign Direct Investment.
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Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Abstract

In recent years, Bhutan has been revising its policy and increasing its efforts to attract FDI inflows. The existing policy regime governing FDI inflows is spelt out in the 2010 FDI Policy (amended in 2014). Despite the policy there are several reasons why Bhutan is not getting significant FDI inflows.


Book
Liberalizing Capital Flows and Managing Outflows : Background Paper
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Liberalization of capital flows can benefit both source and recipient countries by improving resource allocation, reducing financing costs, increasing competition and accelerating the development of domestic financial systems. The empirical evidence, however, is mixed on the benefits, and it suggests that countries benefit most when they meet certain thresholds related to institutional and financial development. The principal cost of capital flow liberalization stems from the economic instability brought on by volatile capital flows. In extreme cases, sudden stops or reversals in capital inflows can trigger financial crises followed by prolonged periods of weak growth.


Book
Liberalizing Capital Flows and Managing Outflows : Background Paper
Author:
ISBN: 1498381332 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Liberalization of capital flows can benefit both source and recipient countries by improving resource allocation, reducing financing costs, increasing competition and accelerating the development of domestic financial systems. The empirical evidence, however, is mixed on the benefits, and it suggests that countries benefit most when they meet certain thresholds related to institutional and financial development. The principal cost of capital flow liberalization stems from the economic instability brought on by volatile capital flows. In extreme cases, sudden stops or reversals in capital inflows can trigger financial crises followed by prolonged periods of weak growth.


Book
Gross Capital Flows : Dynamics and Crises
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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This paper analyzes the joint behavior of international capital flows by foreign and domestic agents-gross capital flows-over the business cycle and during financial crises. The authors show that gross capital flows are very large and volatile, especially relative to net capital flows. When foreigners invest in a country, domestic agents tend to invest abroad, and vice versa. Gross capital flows are also pro-cyclical, with foreigners investing more in the country and domestic agents investing more abroad during expansions. During crises, especially during severe ones, there is retrenchment, that is, a reduction in both capital inflows by foreigners and capital outflows by domestic agents. This evidence sheds light on the nature of shocks driving capital flows and helps discriminate among existing theories. The findings seem consistent with shocks that affect foreign and domestic agents asymmetrically, such as sovereign risk and asymmetric information.


Book
Sovereign Credit Ratings, Relative Risk Ratings, and Private Capital Flows
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This paper examines the influence of sovereign credit ratings and relative risk ratings on private capital flows to 26 emerging and frontier market economies, using quarterly data for 1998-2017. A dynamic panel regression model is used to estimate the relationship between ratings and capital flows after controlling for other factors that can influence capital flows, such as growth and interest rate differentials and global risk conditions. The analysis finds that while absolute ratings were an important determinant of net capital inflows prior to the global financial crisis in 2008, the influence of relative risk ratings increased in the post-crisis period, which was characterized by easy monetary policies and global liquidity, on the one hand, and greater caution and discretion on the part of investors on the other. The post-crisis effect of relative ratings appears to be driven mostly by portfolio flows. These findings imply that emerging and frontier markets need to pay greater attention to their relative economic performance and not just their sovereign ratings. Tracking changes in relative ratings could help predict macroeconomic disturbances resulting from volatile portfolio capital movements.


Book
Gross Capital Flows : Dynamics and Crises
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the joint behavior of international capital flows by foreign and domestic agents-gross capital flows-over the business cycle and during financial crises. The authors show that gross capital flows are very large and volatile, especially relative to net capital flows. When foreigners invest in a country, domestic agents tend to invest abroad, and vice versa. Gross capital flows are also pro-cyclical, with foreigners investing more in the country and domestic agents investing more abroad during expansions. During crises, especially during severe ones, there is retrenchment, that is, a reduction in both capital inflows by foreigners and capital outflows by domestic agents. This evidence sheds light on the nature of shocks driving capital flows and helps discriminate among existing theories. The findings seem consistent with shocks that affect foreign and domestic agents asymmetrically, such as sovereign risk and asymmetric information.


Book
Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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According to conventional wisdom, capital flows are fickle. Focusing on emerging markets, this paper asks whether this conventional wisdom still holds in the contemporary world. The results show that, despite recent structural and regulatory changes, much of it survives. FDI inflows are more stable than non-FDI inflows. Within non-FDI inflows, portfolio debt and bank-intermediated flows remain the most volatile. While FDI inflows are driven mainly by pull factors, portfolio debt and equity are driven mainly by push factors; and bank-intermediated flows are driven by a combination of push and pull factors. But capital outflows from emerging markets behave differently. FDI outflows from emerging markets have grown and become significantly more volatile. There is similarly an increase in the volatility of bank-intermediated capital outflows from emerging markets. The findings underscore that outflows from emerging markets, both FDI and bank-related flows, have come to play a growing role and warrant greater attention from analysts and policy makers.


Book
Informe sobre el crecimiento : Estrategias para el crecimiento sostenido y el desarrollo incluyente.
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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El presente informe versa sobre este tipo de crecimiento elevado y sostenido: sus causas, consecuencias y su dinamica interna. En el informe se senalan algunas de las caracteristicas distintivas de las economias de crecimiento elevado y se procura establecer que deben hacer otros paises en desarrollo para emularlas. El estudio revisa las 13 economias que han tenido un alto crecimiento sostenido en el periodo de posguerra y presenta los ingredientes que podria incluir una estrategia de crecimiento. Estos van desde las politicas de inversion publica y tipos de cambio, hasta las ventas de terrenos y redistribucion de la tierra. Tambien analiza desafios al crecimiento en contextos especificos de cada pais, y dedica un apartado a estudiar los desequilibrios y las nuevas tendencias globales.


Book
Managing Sudden Stops
Authors: ---
Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The recent reversal of capital flows to emerging markets has pointed up the continuing relevance of the sudden stop problem. This paper analyzes the sudden stops in capital flows to emerging markets since 1991. It shows that the frequency and duration of sudden stops have remained largely unchanged, but that the relative importance of different factors in their incidence has changed. In particular, global factors appear to have become more important relative to country-specific characteristics and policies. Sudden stops now tend to affect different parts of the world simultaneously rather than bunching regionally. Stronger macroeconomic and financial frameworks have allowed policy makers to respond more flexibly, but these more flexible responses have not guaranteed insulation or mitigated the impact of the phenomenon. These findings suggest that the challenge of understanding and coping with capital-flow volatility is far from fully met.


Book
Bilateral International Investments : The Big Sur?
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Using country-to-country data, this paper documents a set of novel stylized facts about the rise of the South in global finance. The paper assembles comprehensive bilateral data on cross-border bank loans and deposits, portfolio investment in debt and equity, foreign direct investment, and international reserves. The main finding is that global financial integration with and especially within the South (countries outside the G7 and Western Europe) has grown faster than within the North. By 2018, the South accounted for 24 to 40 percent of international loans and deposits, portfolio investment, and foreign direct investment, an increase of roughly 10 percentage points since 2001. The growing importance of the South is reflected in the intensive and extensive margins, with fast growth in the number of bilateral links. Although China weighs heavily in these trends, international investment in the rest of the South has increased to a similar extent.

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