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Dissertation
Forecasting S&P500 volatility by characterizing shocks using Latent Semantic Analysis on new articles
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Year: 2016 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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Abstract

The information contained in news articles plays a key role on
financial markets. It may describe changes in the fundamentals of a company
or influence the way investors perceive the risk associated with it. This paper
aims at measuring with mathematical means the main underlying semantic
content of news articles, such that it captures information useful to forecast
volatility.

A modified EGARCH model with external factors, obtained from a latent semantic alaysis on news articles, is proposed to measure the impact on volatility induced by the latent semantic content of the textual news data. I find that several semantic dimensions play an important
role in explaining observed volatility, while others are useful to forecast it. It
is likely, that with further research, a model based on semantic content could
greatly improve our understanding of the market’s response to news releases.


Book
Financial Econometrics
Author:
ISBN: 3039216279 3039216260 Year: 2019 Publisher: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute

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Abstract

Financial econometrics has developed into a very fruitful and vibrant research area in the last two decades. The availability of good data promotes research in this area, specially aided by online data and high-frequency data. These two characteristics of financial data also create challenges for researchers that are different from classical macro-econometric and micro-econometric problems. This Special Issue is dedicated to research topics that are relevant for analyzing financial data. We have gathered six articles under this theme.

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