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This study examines four alternative scenarios that would result in the unification of the Korean peninsula. The authors describe the defining characteristics of each scenario, potential indicators that would predict specific outcomes, some possible variations in paths to unification, and some operational implications for the U.S. Army under different conditions and circumstances. The four scenarios (peaceful unification, collapse and absorption, unification through armed conflict, and disequilibrium and external intervention) highlight both the increasing vulnerabilities of the North Korean state and the substantial uncertainties that attach to each outcome and to the potential U.S. policy responses. These considerations impose major conceptual, policy, and operational challenges both in the near and middle term and in the postunification peninsular security environment. Each warrants an enhanced analysis and assessment effort, lest U.S. and ROK policymakers find themselves ill prepared for major challenges to alliance management and to the U.S. Army role in a future crisis.

Korean reunification question (1945- ) --- East Asia --- Regions & Countries - Asia & the Middle East --- History & Archaeology --- Korean unification question (1945- ) --- Reunification of Korea (1945- ) --- Unification of Korea (1945- )

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National security --- Korean reunification question (1945- ) --- Public opinion --- Korean unification question (1945- ) --- Reunification of Korea (1945- ) --- Unification of Korea (1945- ) --- National security policy --- NSP (National security policy) --- Security policy, National --- Economic policy --- International relations --- Military policy --- Public opinion. --- Government policy

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Analyzes the economic, political, and security issues associated with Korean unification and considers what the capital costs of unification would be under differing circumstances and assumptions.

Korea (North) -- Economic policy. --- Korea (North) -- Politics and government. --- Korean reunification question (1945- ). --- Korean reunification question (1945- ) --- Security, International. --- Korea (North) --- Economic policy. --- Politics and government. --- Collective security --- International security --- International relations --- Disarmament --- International organization --- Peace --- Korean unification question (1945- ) --- Reunification of Korea (1945- ) --- Unification of Korea (1945- )

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Korean reunification question (1945- ) --- Korea (South) --- Korea (North) --- Foreign relations --- Politics and government --- K9549 --- Korean unification question (1945- ) --- Reunification of Korea (1945- ) --- Unification of Korea (1945- ) --- Korea: International politics, law and relations -- North-South relation --- Politics and government. --- Korea (South) - Foreign relations - Korea (North) --- Korea (North) - Foreign relations - Korea (South) --- Korea (South) - Politics and government

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Why have traditional views of national identity in South Korea-views that for years drove a demand for reunification-been challenged so dramatically in recent years? What explains the growing ambivalence and even antagonism of South Korean young people toward unification with North Korea? Emma Campbell addresses these related puzzles, exploring the emergence of a new kind of nationalism in South Korea and considering what this development means for the country's future.

Korean reunification question (1945- ) --- Nationalism --- Korea (South) --- Politics and government. --- Consciousness, National --- Identity, National --- National consciousness --- National identity --- International relations --- Patriotism --- Political science --- Autonomy and independence movements --- Internationalism --- Political messianism --- Korean unification question (1945- ) --- Reunification of Korea (1945- ) --- Unification of Korea (1945- )