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If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal adjustments and may inhibit countercyclical borrowing. An alternative would be to link the primary surplus not only to the debt ratio (like tax smoothing) but also to its volatility, thus preempting further adjustments while gradually reducing the debt.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Fiscal policy. --- Taxation -- Econometric models. --- Econometrics --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Allocative Efficiency --- Cost-Benefit Analysis --- Policy Objectives --- Policy Designs and Consistency --- Policy Coordination --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Tax Evasion and Avoidance --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Fiscal policy --- Expenditure --- Public debt --- Vector autoregression --- Tax arrears management --- Expenditures, Public --- Debts, Public --- Tax administration and procedure --- Econometric models.
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Why do governments issue large amounts of debt? In what sense and for whom is such a policy optimal? We show that twisting the optimal taxation paradigm produces very reasonable predictions for debt and real interest rates. Adding an extra dimension of uncertainty about the political planning horizon gives rise to a positive and very plausible government debt-to-GDP ratio of about 55 percent in a model that otherwise predicts negative government debt. We quantify the impact of political uncertainty on steady state and business cycle dynamics. We illustrate how populist tax cuts can cause business cycle fluctuations.
Debts, Public -- Econometric models. --- Fiscal policy -- Econometric models. --- Taxation -- Econometric models. --- Banks and Banking --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Public finance & taxation --- Welfare & benefit systems --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Public debt --- Labor taxes --- Real interest rates --- Expenditure --- Fiscal policy --- Debts, Public --- Income tax --- Interest rates --- Expenditures, Public --- United States --- Debts, Public. --- Political aspects.
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Tariffs and other policy distortions typically lower real national income relative to what it otherwise would have been for any given rate of factor accumulation. Even while lowering real income, however, policy distortions may raise an economy's real measured growth rate and so, somewhat deceivingly, give the impression that national welfare has benefited from things like tariff protection. This would be an incorrect conclusion. This paper discusses the issue of how protection can affect the rate of growth for a small, open economy. As shown by Johnson (1970), in the presence of exogenously given factor accumulation, tariffs either raise or lower an economy's growth rate (measured by the change in the value of output at world prices), relative to the no-distortion growth rate. We also discuss the relevance of this result for tariff uniformity, "tariff jumping" foreign direct investment, and the empirical literature on trade and growth. Finally we use a numerical simulation model of Egypt to assess whether the costs of its tax distortions have increased or declined over time.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Tariff -- Econometric models. --- Taxation -- Econometric models. --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth --- Environmental Accounts --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Labor Economics: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- Tariffs --- National income --- Personal income --- Capital accumulation --- Labor --- Tariff --- Income --- Saving and investment --- Labor economics --- Egypt, Arab Republic of --- Econometric models. --- Income economics
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This paper continues the study of optimal fiscal policy in a growing economy by exploring a case in which the government simultaneously provides three main categories of expenditures with distortionary tax finance: public production services, public consumption services, and state-contingent redistributive transfers. The paper shows that in a general equilibrium model with given exogenous fiscal policy, a nonlinear relation exists between the suboptimal longrun growth rate in a competitive economy and distortionary tax rates. When fiscal policy is endogenously chosen at a social optimum, the relation between the rate of growth and tax rates is always negative. These two conclusions suggest that the interaction between fiscal policy and growth may be complicated enough that it cannot be captured in a simple linear model using an aggregate measure of fiscal policy. The sources of nonlinearity include expectation and coordination of fiscal policy, impluse response of government policies, and the presence of positive externality due to government spending.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Expenditures, Public -- Econometric models. --- Fiscal policy -- Econometric models. --- Taxation -- Econometric models. --- Political Science --- Law, Politics & Government --- Public Finance --- Expenditures, Public --- Fiscal policy --- Taxation --- Econometric models. --- Tax policy --- Appropriations and expenditures --- Government appropriations --- Government expenditures --- Government spending --- Public expenditures --- Public spending --- Spending, Government --- Government policy --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Public administration --- Government spending policy --- Macroeconomics --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Expenditure --- Revenue administration --- Income --- Income inequality --- Revenue --- Income distribution --- Denmark
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Taxation --- Econometric models --- Econometric models. --- AA / International- internationaal --- 336.212.1 --- 336.212.2 --- 336.214 --- 336.2 --- -Duties --- Fee system (Taxation) --- Tax policy --- Tax reform --- Taxation, Incidence of --- Taxes --- Finance, Public --- Revenue --- 336.2 Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief --- 336.2 Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen --- Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief --- Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen --- Belastingen op de bedrijfsinkomsten --- Belastingen op inkomsten uit effecten. --- Belastingstelsel van de genootschappen. --- Duties --- Belastingen op inkomsten uit effecten --- Belastingstelsel van de genootschappen --- Taxation - Case studies --- Taxation - Econometric models
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Taxes --- 336.2 --- Fiscal policy --- -Taxation --- -AA / International- internationaal --- 334.151.3 --- 305.93 --- 336.61 --- NBB congres --- Duties --- Fee system (Taxation) --- Tax policy --- Tax reform --- Taxation, Incidence of --- Finance, Public --- Revenue --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen --- Econometric models --- EG : begrotings- en belastingpolitiek. --- Econometrie van het gedrag van de overheid, van de uitgaven en ontvangsten van de overheid, van de begroting. Econometrie van de belastingen. --- Financieel beleid. --- Government policy --- Econometric models. --- 336.2 Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief --- 336.2 Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen --- Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief --- AA / International- internationaal --- Econometrie van het gedrag van de overheid, van de uitgaven en ontvangsten van de overheid, van de begroting. Econometrie van de belastingen --- EG : begrotings- en belastingpolitiek --- Financieel beleid --- Fiscal policy - Eonometric models. --- Taxation - Econometric models.
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The effects on trade performance of corporate taxes and the value-added tax (VAT) continue to excite controversy but have received little empirical attention. This paper uses panel data for OECD countries from 1967 to 2003 to examine the effects of these taxes on export performance, paying particular attention to the potentially complex dynamic effects to which theory points. It finds that increased reliance on VAT revenue tends to be associated with a sharp reduction in net exports, which quickly fades. This may reflect unrelated movements in consumption, and our preferred specifications point to no trade effects of the VAT in either the short or the long run. Our results also point, however, to powerful and complex effects from the corporate tax, the pattern of which is as theory would predict from a source-based tax of this kind. Increases in corporate taxation-whether measured by revenues or the statutory rate-are associated with sharp short-run increases in net exports (consistent with induced capital flows abroad); these are then subsequently and quickly reversed (consistent with increased income from investments abroad), leaving an increase in net exports that converges to zero.
Corporations -- Taxation -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- International trade -- Econometric models. --- Value-added tax -- Econometric models. --- Political Science --- Law, Politics & Government --- Public Finance --- Value-added tax --- Corporations --- International trade --- Econometric models. --- Taxation --- Business corporations --- C corporations --- Corporations, Business --- Corporations, Public --- Limited companies --- Publicly held corporations --- Publicly traded corporations --- Public limited companies --- Stock corporations --- Subchapter C corporations --- Added-value tax --- Goods and services tax --- GST (Goods and services tax) --- Tax on added value --- VAT (Value-added tax) --- Business enterprises --- Corporate power --- Disincorporation --- Stocks --- Trusts, Industrial --- Sales tax --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Corporate Taxation --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Trade: General --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Corporate & business tax --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Corporate income tax --- Exports --- Revenue administration --- Consumption --- Spendings tax --- Revenue --- Economics --- United States
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This paper proposes a new hybrid cash-flow tax on corporations that, on one hand, taxes only excess corporate profits as they accrue, and, on the other hand, treats real and financial transactions neutrally. It is, therefore, a superior tax compared to the cash-flow tax on real transactions that seems to have gained common acceptance. The hybrid tax is a modified version of the cash-flow tax on real and financial transactions combined. The modification involves replacing expensing of fixed assets with normal depreciation allowances, but the undepreciated value of fixed assets is carried forward with interest at the opportunity cost of equity capital.
Corporations -- Taxation -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- International business enterprises -- Taxation. --- Management --- Business & Economics --- Industrial Management --- Corporations --- International business enterprises --- Taxation --- Econometric models. --- Taxation. --- Business corporations --- C corporations --- Corporations, Business --- Corporations, Public --- Limited companies --- Publicly held corporations --- Publicly traded corporations --- Public limited companies --- Stock corporations --- Subchapter C corporations --- Business enterprises --- Corporate power --- Disincorporation --- Stocks --- Trusts, Industrial --- Investments: General --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Personal Finance -Taxation --- Corporate Taxation --- Criminology --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Corporate & business tax --- Monetary economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Corporate crime --- white-collar crime --- Macroeconomics --- Corporate income tax --- Currencies --- Tax allowances --- Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) --- Depreciation --- Taxes --- Money --- Crime --- National accounts --- Income tax --- Money laundering --- Saving and investment --- United States --- White-collar crime
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