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Parametric Distributional Flexibility and Conditional Variance Models with an Application to Hourly Exchange Rates
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ISBN: 146235713X 1452733147 1281606197 1451892330 9786613786883 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper builds on the ARCH approach for modeling distributions with time-varying conditional variance by using the generalized Student t distribution. The distribution offers flexibility in modeling both leptokurtosis and asymmetry (characteristics seen in high-frequency financial time series data), nests the standard normal and Student t distributions, and is related to the Gram Charlier and mixture distributions. An empirical ARCH model based on this distribution is formulated and estimated using hourly exchange rate returns for four currencies. The generalized Student t is found to better model the empirical conditional and unconditional distributions than other distributional specifications.


Book
Suriname : Recent Economic Developments.
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ISBN: 1463979614 1463916752 1283571145 1463911475 9786613883599 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This report analyzes economic developments in Suriname during the 1990s. In 1990–92, real GDP recovered moderately, but inflation accelerated, reaching 58 percent in the 12 months ended December 1992, owing to a further weakening of financial policies. Interest rates became sharply negative in real terms, which initiated a gradual shift out of domestic financial assets. The external accounts remained weak, and the overall balance of payments showed deficits that were financed by a decline in international reserves and an accumulation of external payments arrears.


Book
Relationship Between Short-Term Interest Rates and Excess Reserves : A Logistic Approach
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ISBN: 1484352009 1484351975 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper models the relationship between short-term rates and excess reserves in an interest rate corridor as a logistic function estimated for the Eurosystem. The estimate helps to identify conditions in which short-term rates become unanchored, that is, they move away from the policy rates and become more volatile within the interest rate corridor defined by the interest rates of the central bank’s standing facilities. These conditions are attributed to coordination failures among counterparties at open market operations under fixed-rate and full-allotment procedures in the context of segmented markets. A model of the functioning of segmented markets describes how “un-anchoring” takes place when counterparties pursue bidding strategies optimal from an individual perspective but sub-optimal from an aggregate perspective.


Book
Monetary Policy Implementation : Results from a Survey
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451865716 1462323553 145191024X 9786613824202 1452753156 1283511754 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Since the early 1990s, the IMF has been advising countries to shift to the use of indirect instruments for executing monetary policy. This paper provides information about a monetary policy instruments database, maintained by the Monetary and Capital Markets Department of the IMF. We offer an overview of the information contained in the database in the form of comparative summary tables and graphs to illustrate the use of monetary policy instruments by groups of countries (developing, emerging market and developed countries). The main trend that can be identified from the database information is the increasing reliance on money market operations for monetary policy implementation. We emphasize the relevance and usefulness of the data collected through periodic surveys of central banks, for general descriptive and analytical purposes.


Book
Some Issues in the Design of Monetary Instruments for the Operation of European Economic and Monetary Union
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ISBN: 1462395260 1452735050 1282045962 1451904274 9786613797742 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The European Monetary Institute has been working with national central banks of the European Union (EU) to prepare instruments for the operation of monetary policy in Stage 3 of European Economic and Monetary Union. Several publications describing the proposed arrangements have been issued. This paper briefly summarizes the arrangements and identifies some areas in which important decisions still have to be made or refinements introduced—including the choice of counterparties in fine-tuning open market operations; the design of reserve requirements; the signaling function of monetary operations; and payment system relationships with non-EMU participants in the EU.


Book
Central Bank Response to the 2007–08 Financial Market Turbulence : Experiences and Lessons Drawn
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1451915217 1462388086 9786612841613 145187068X 1282841610 145272587X Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/210 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper reviews the policy response of major central banks during the 2007–08 financial market turbulence and suggests that there is scope for convergence among central bank operational frameworks through the adoption of those elements that proved most instrumental in calming markets. These include (i) rapid liquidity provision to a broad range of counterparties; (ii) a congruence of collateral policies with market developments; (iii) an ability to increase the average maturity of liquidity provision; and (iv) central bank cooperation to facilitate the use of cross-border collateral. Flexible use of open market operations was needed to avoid the stigma associated with traditional standing facilities, and allowed central banks to maintain at least basic market functioning. Having a flexible framework, however, requires careful consideration of the desirable limits to market intervention.


Book
Singapore : Detailed Assessment of Implementation-IOSCO Objectives and Principles of Securities Regulation.
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ISBN: 1475528361 1306289580 1475565712 1475528973 1475520646 9781475520644 9781475528367 9781475565713 9781475528978 Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the findings of the Detailed Assessment of Implementation on the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) Objectives and Principles of Securities Regulation on Singapore. Overall compliance with IOSCO principles is generally high, although the assessors identified some vulnerabilities that need to be resolved. The Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS) enforcement philosophy as regards securities markets and the financial intermediaries active therein is cogent, with outcomes focused and well developed. The Securities and Futures Act (Cap. 289) provides an effective framework to enable the sharing of information and cooperation between MAS and foreign regulators on supervisory and enforcement matters.


Book
Refinance Instruments : Lessons From their Use in Some Industrialized Countries
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ISBN: 146232682X 1452778531 1281600318 1451984073 9786613781000 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Many central banks around the world are gradually shifting from a system of direct controls towards the implementation of monetary policy through market-oriented instruments, including refinance facilities. This paper reviews the use of refinance instruments in a sample of industrialized countries, and discusses how central banks use them to influence short-term interest rates and to manage banks’ reserves. Some lessons are suggested for their implementation in developing countries or economies in transition.


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Government Insurance Against Natural Disasters: An Application to the ECCU
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper estimates insurance requirements against natural disasters (NDs) in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) using an insurance layering framework. The layers include a government saving fund, as well as market instruments. Each layer is calibrated to cover estimated fiscal cost of NDs according to intensity and expected damage. The results indicate that ECCU countries could target saving fund stocks for relativelly smaller and more frequent events in the range of 6-12 percent of GDP, enough to cover 95 percent of NDs’ fiscal costs. To ensure financially-sustainable saving funds with a low probability of depletion, this requires annual budget savings in the range os 0.5 to 1.9 percent of GDP per year. Additional coverage could be obtained with market instruments for large and less frequent events, albeit at a significant cost.The results are based on a Monte-Carlo experiment that simulates natural disaster shocks and their impact on output and government finances.


Book
Pooling Fiscal Risk in the ECCU: Quantifying Savings of a Regional Fund for Stabilization and Investment
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Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper quantifies the savings obtained from risk pooling with a Regional Stabilization Fund (RSF) for the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union. A Monte Carlo experiment is used to estimate the size of a RSF conditional on probabilities of depletion under specific saving-withdrawal rules. Results indicate that regional risk pooling requires about half of the saving amount relative to the sum of individual-country savings. In addition to reducing the amount of saving requirements for stabilization, the RSF can improve welfare by realocating government consumption savings during booms towards public investment during recessions, resulting in an increase of public investment in the range of 0.5-1.5 percent of GDP per year depending on the country, with positive growth dividends. Moreover, the RSF also reduces the dispersion of public debt outcomes in light of the cross-country cyclical synchronicity of output and revenue, thereby strengthening the stability of the regional currency board.

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