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Thousands of scenarios are used to provide updated estimates for the impacts of climate change on extreme poverty in 2030. The range of the number of people falling into poverty due to climate change is between 32 million and 132 million in most scenarios. These results are commensurate with available estimates for the global poverty increase due to COVID-19. Socioeconomic drivers play a major role: optimistic baseline scenarios (rapid and inclusive growth with universal access to basic services in 2030) halve poverty impacts compared with the pessimistic baselines. Health impacts (malaria, diarrhea, and stunting) and the effect of food prices are responsible for most of the impact. The effect of food prices is the most important factor in Sub-Saharan Africa, while health effects, natural disasters, and food prices are all important in South Asia. These results suggest that accelerated action to boost resilience is urgent, and the COVID-19 recovery packages offer opportunities to do so.
Access To Basic Services --- Climate Change --- Climate Change and Environment --- Climate Change and Health --- Climate Change Impacts --- Climate Resilience --- Extreme Poverty --- Food Prices --- Food Security --- Health Impact --- Inequality --- Natural Disasters --- Socioeconomic Pathways --- Uncertainty
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The world needs an accelerated energy transition to meet sustainable development goals. Energy planning has a critical role in providing the information that can guide decision-makers, and energy planning methods continue to evolve rapidly. This Special Issue provides new insights for long-term energy planning, drawing on the Clean Energy Ministerial Long Term Energy Planning Scenarios initiative and the IRENA LTES network.
Technology: general issues --- History of engineering & technology --- climate change --- Paris Agreement --- 100% renewable energy --- 1.5 °C mitigation pathway --- energy transition --- energy scenario --- GHG mitigation --- CO2 emission --- non-energy emission --- open access book --- chemical and petrochemical sector --- decarbonisation --- renewable energy --- circular economy --- electrification --- material flow analysis --- hydropower --- electric transport --- energy modeling --- ELENA --- urbs --- Ecuador --- decarbonization --- INDC --- LEAP --- long-term scenarios --- GHG inventory --- power system expansion --- co-optimization of energy and reserve --- associated natural gas --- multi-stage stochastic programming --- electricity-gas integration --- regulation --- Brazil --- Mexico --- renewables --- reliability --- generation system expansion --- efficient energy planning --- energy systems modelling --- scenario analysis --- TIMES-Ukraine --- paris agreement --- energy efficiency --- I-LTS --- energy scenarios --- 2050 carbon neutrality --- energy planning --- TIMES model --- net-zero emission --- decomposition analysis --- mitigation --- integrated assessment --- shared socioeconomic pathways --- scenarios --- climate adaptation --- adaptive capacity --- solar power plants --- thematic analysis --- long-term energy scenarios (LTES) --- site selection --- power purchase agreement --- greenhouse gas emissions --- Ghana road transport --- energy demand model --- biofuel integration --- arable land requirement --- lifestyle --- climate change mitigation --- LTES --- long-term energy scenarios --- energy modelling --- clean energy transition --- climate scenarios --- n/a
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The world needs an accelerated energy transition to meet sustainable development goals. Energy planning has a critical role in providing the information that can guide decision-makers, and energy planning methods continue to evolve rapidly. This Special Issue provides new insights for long-term energy planning, drawing on the Clean Energy Ministerial Long Term Energy Planning Scenarios initiative and the IRENA LTES network.
climate change --- Paris Agreement --- 100% renewable energy --- 1.5 °C mitigation pathway --- energy transition --- energy scenario --- GHG mitigation --- CO2 emission --- non-energy emission --- open access book --- chemical and petrochemical sector --- decarbonisation --- renewable energy --- circular economy --- electrification --- material flow analysis --- hydropower --- electric transport --- energy modeling --- ELENA --- urbs --- Ecuador --- decarbonization --- INDC --- LEAP --- long-term scenarios --- GHG inventory --- power system expansion --- co-optimization of energy and reserve --- associated natural gas --- multi-stage stochastic programming --- electricity-gas integration --- regulation --- Brazil --- Mexico --- renewables --- reliability --- generation system expansion --- efficient energy planning --- energy systems modelling --- scenario analysis --- TIMES-Ukraine --- paris agreement --- energy efficiency --- I-LTS --- energy scenarios --- 2050 carbon neutrality --- energy planning --- TIMES model --- net-zero emission --- decomposition analysis --- mitigation --- integrated assessment --- shared socioeconomic pathways --- scenarios --- climate adaptation --- adaptive capacity --- solar power plants --- thematic analysis --- long-term energy scenarios (LTES) --- site selection --- power purchase agreement --- greenhouse gas emissions --- Ghana road transport --- energy demand model --- biofuel integration --- arable land requirement --- lifestyle --- climate change mitigation --- LTES --- long-term energy scenarios --- energy modelling --- clean energy transition --- climate scenarios --- n/a
Choose an application
The world needs an accelerated energy transition to meet sustainable development goals. Energy planning has a critical role in providing the information that can guide decision-makers, and energy planning methods continue to evolve rapidly. This Special Issue provides new insights for long-term energy planning, drawing on the Clean Energy Ministerial Long Term Energy Planning Scenarios initiative and the IRENA LTES network.
Technology: general issues --- History of engineering & technology --- climate change --- Paris Agreement --- 100% renewable energy --- 1.5 °C mitigation pathway --- energy transition --- energy scenario --- GHG mitigation --- CO2 emission --- non-energy emission --- open access book --- chemical and petrochemical sector --- decarbonisation --- renewable energy --- circular economy --- electrification --- material flow analysis --- hydropower --- electric transport --- energy modeling --- ELENA --- urbs --- Ecuador --- decarbonization --- INDC --- LEAP --- long-term scenarios --- GHG inventory --- power system expansion --- co-optimization of energy and reserve --- associated natural gas --- multi-stage stochastic programming --- electricity-gas integration --- regulation --- Brazil --- Mexico --- renewables --- reliability --- generation system expansion --- efficient energy planning --- energy systems modelling --- scenario analysis --- TIMES-Ukraine --- paris agreement --- energy efficiency --- I-LTS --- energy scenarios --- 2050 carbon neutrality --- energy planning --- TIMES model --- net-zero emission --- decomposition analysis --- mitigation --- integrated assessment --- shared socioeconomic pathways --- scenarios --- climate adaptation --- adaptive capacity --- solar power plants --- thematic analysis --- long-term energy scenarios (LTES) --- site selection --- power purchase agreement --- greenhouse gas emissions --- Ghana road transport --- energy demand model --- biofuel integration --- arable land requirement --- lifestyle --- climate change mitigation --- LTES --- long-term energy scenarios --- energy modelling --- clean energy transition --- climate scenarios
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