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Book
Financial Market Spillovers in Transition Economies
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462354033 145277448X 1281974420 1451895747 9786613794017 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines financial market comovements across European transition economies and compares their experience to that of their regions. Correlations in monthly indices of exchange market pressures can partly be explained by direct trade linkages, but not by measures of other fundamentals. Higher-frequency data during three crisis periods reveals the presence of structural breaks in the relationship between exchange-, but not stock markets. While the reaction of markets during the Asian and Czech crises is muted, the pattern of high-frequency spillovers during the Russian crisis looks very similar to that observed in other regions during turbulent times.


Book
Interpreting Real Exchange Rate Movements in Transition Countries.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462345980 1452720002 1281331376 1451894546 9786613778772 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Several transition countries have experienced strong real exchange rate appreciations. This paper tests the hypothesis that these appreciations reflect underlying productivity gains in the tradable sector. Using panel data over the period 1993-98, the results show clear evidence of productivity-driven exchange rate movements in the central and eastern European and Baltic countries. Transition countries, particularly the EU accession countries that have begun to catch up, can expect to experience further productivity-driven real exchange rate appreciations. Evidence from a large cross-section of non-transition countries indicates that catching up by one percent will be associated with a 0.4 percent real appreciation.


Book
Household Demand for Money in Poland : Theory and Evidence
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ISBN: 1462303692 1455273651 1281089559 9786613774910 1455285641 Year: 1992 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the household demand for narrow money in Poland during the 1980s. At that time, there were shortages, but informal trade in both goods and foreign exchange was common, and holdings of foreign currency were substantial. Household money demand in this environment is first examined at the theoretical level: a representative household’s holding of domestic and foreign money is analyzed in a cash-in-advance model in which domestic currency is needed to purchase goods in the official shops while either domestic or foreign currency can be used in the black market. This model gives rise to a formulation of money demand which is then estimated using household-level data from 1979 to 1988.


Book
Interenterprise Arrears in Post-Communist Economies
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ISBN: 1462310699 1455295884 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The reasons for the growth of interenterprise debt are analyzed. It is suggested that it results mainly from the appearance of normal trade credit in a liberalized economy, and when a monetary squeeze is part of a stabilization attempt that is not credible. In the latter case, the result can be a sharp fall in output. Non-market and market solutions to this problem are analyzed, and the advantages of the latter over the former are stressed.


Book
Financial Sector Evolution in the Central European Economies : Challenges in Supporting Macroeconomic Stability and Sustainable Growth
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462341810 1452771405 128210831X 9786613801661 1451901364 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper takes stock of the current state of development of the financial systems in five Central European transition economies (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, the Slovak Republic, and Slovenia) that are also leading EU accession candidates. It presents both a progress report and an assessment of remaining challenges, with a focus on the role of the financial sector in supporting macroeconomic stability and sustainable growth.


Book
Systemic Requirements for Monetary Stability in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
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ISBN: 1462318797 1455236330 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The primary function of banks during economic transformation is seen to be provision of an efficient payments mechanism. The lack of banking skills, particularly in credit allocation, is seen as the major problem in stable monetary systems. This is a problem which can be expected to last many years. The solution is to limit banks to very safe assets (initially central bank liabilities). Combining such safe banks with a monetary rule would provide stable monetary systems during transition.


Book
Banking Reform in the Lower Mekong Countries
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ISBN: 1462386539 145526492X 1451972873 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper reviews recent banking reform efforts in the lower Mekong countries (LMCs), comprising Cambodia, the Lao People's Democratic Republic, and Vietnam. Linked by close economic and cultural ties, the three LMCs face the dual challenge of economic development and transition to market-based economies. Two-tier banking systems were formally introduced in the late 1980s. However, state-owned banks with weak balance sheets continue to dominate the banking systems of Vietnam and Lao P.D.R. Cambodia's main challenge is to reconstruct a banking system after decades of civil strife. Based on progress made and brief cross-country comparisons, the paper identifies key challenges and options for further reform.


Book
Evolution of Monetary Policy Instruments in Russia
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462369022 1452762295 1282108263 9786613801616 1451904436 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper analyzes the evolution of monetary policy in Russia, focusing on the period January 1992–December 1995. Special attention is given to the role of monetary policy instruments. Initially, policy was completely dominated by flows of credit from the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) to the budget, to enterprises, and to other republics in the ruble area. Over time these flows have been reduced and indirect monetary instruments have become key elements of monetary policy implementation.


Book
Do Asset Prices in Transition Countries Contain Information About Future Economic Activity?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462342876 145278051X 1281155810 1451898290 9786613777171 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

There is ample empirical evidence for developed economies that asset prices contain information about future economic developments. But is this also the case in transition economies? Using a panel of monthly data for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Slovakia, and Slovenia for the period 1994-1999 it is shown that historical values for interest rates, exchange rates, and stock prices signal future movements in real economic activity. This result has significant implications for policymakers, and a composite leading indicator based on the three asset prices is presented, which contains information about the future development of economic activity.


Book
Banking Crises and Bank Resolution : Experiences in Some Transition Economies.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462368182 1452775508 1281961698 1451894554 9786613793881 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Like most transition economies, Bulgaria, Lithuania, and Mongolia suffered severe banking crises, which had to be resolved before growth could resume. The macroeconomic and institutional failings that led to these crises are described, and parallels are drawn with the causes of banking crises in industrial and developing countries. Resolving the crises proved technically and politically difficult, and setbacks occurred. Successful resolution required the implementation of a comprehensive and decisive strategy, involving thorough-going bank restructuring, heavy fiscal costs, and institutional and legal reforms.

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