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This is a practical guide to P-splines, a simple, flexible and powerful tool for smoothing. P-splines combine regression on B-splines with simple, discrete, roughness penalties. They were introduced by the authors in 1996 and have been used in many diverse applications. The regression basis makes it straightforward to handle non-normal data, like in generalized linear models. The authors demonstrate optimal smoothing, using mixed model technology and Bayesian estimation, in addition to classical tools like cross-validation and AIC, covering theory and applications with code in R. Going far beyond simple smoothing, they also show how to use P-splines for regression on signals, varying-coefficient models, quantile and expectile smoothing, and composite links for grouped data. Penalties are the crucial elements of P-splines; with proper modifications they can handle periodic and circular data as well as shape constraints. Combining penalties with tensor products of B-splines extends these attractive properties to multiple dimensions. An appendix offers a systematic comparison to other smoothers.

Smoothing (Statistics) --- Spline theory.

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Accountancy --- Accounting. --- Corporations --- Fraud. --- Income accounting. --- Smoothing (Statistics) --- Smoothing (Statistics).

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Now in its second edition, this accessible text presents a unified Bayesian treatment of state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models. The book focuses on discrete-time state space models and carefully introduces fundamental aspects related to optimal filtering and smoothing. In particular, it covers a range of efficient non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing algorithms, as well as Monte Carlo-based algorithms. This updated edition features new chapters on constructing state space models of practical systems, the discretization of continuous-time state space models, Gaussian filtering by enabling approximations, posterior linearization filtering, and the corresponding smoothers. Coverage of key topics is expanded, including extended Kalman filtering and smoothing, and parameter estimation. The book's practical, algorithmic approach assumes only modest mathematical prerequisites, suitable for graduate and advanced undergraduate students. Many examples are included, with Matlab and Python code available online, enabling readers to implement algorithms in their own projects.

Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Filters (Mathematics) --- Smoothing (Statistics)

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Here is a clear exposition of nonparametric smoothing methods for statisticians. The focus is applied rather than theoretical, with a large number of illustrations from different disciplines.

Mathematical statistics --- Smoothing (Statistics) --- Smoothing (Statistics). --- Basic Sciences. Statistics --- Experimental Design. --- 519.5 --- Curve fitting --- Graduation (Statistics) --- Roundoff errors --- Statistics

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Filtering and smoothing methods are used to produce an accurate estimate of the state of a time-varying system based on multiple observational inputs (data). Interest in these methods has exploded in recent years, with numerous applications emerging in fields such as navigation, aerospace engineering, telecommunications and medicine. This compact, informal introduction for graduate students and advanced undergraduates presents the current state-of-the-art filtering and smoothing methods in a unified Bayesian framework. Readers learn what non-linear Kalman filters and particle filters are, how they are related, and their relative advantages and disadvantages. They also discover how state-of-the-art Bayesian parameter estimation methods can be combined with state-of-the-art filtering and smoothing algorithms. The book's practical and algorithmic approach assumes only modest mathematical prerequisites. Examples include MATLAB computations, and the numerous end-of-chapter exercises include computational assignments. MATLAB/GNU Octave source code is available for download at www.cambridge.org/sarkka, promoting hands-on work with the methods.

Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Filters (Mathematics) --- Smoothing (Statistics) --- Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Mathematical statistics --- Bayesian statistics