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Commodity prices and exchange rate volatility
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1475511027 1475505167 1475559569 1475563507 9781475511024 9781475563504 9781475505160 9781475505160 9781475559569 Year: 2012 Volume: WP/12/168 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] International Monetary Fund

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Abstract

We examine the relationship between South African Rand and gold price volatility using monthly data for the period 1980-2010. Our main findings is that prior to capital account liberalization the causality runs from South African Rand to gold price volatility but the causality runs the other way around for the post-liberalization period. These findings suggest that gold price volatility plays a key role in explaining both the excessive exchange rate volatility and current disproportionate share of speculative (short-run) inflows that South Africa has been coping with since the opening up of its capital account.

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