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Consumption (Economics) --- Income --- Permanent income theory --- Econometric models

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Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Natural resources --- Permanent income theory --- Fiscal policy --- Income --- E-books --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Economic Development: Agriculture --- Natural Resources --- Energy --- Environment --- Other Primary Products --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Fiscal governance --- Fiscal stance --- Expenditure --- Fiscal sustainability --- Expenditures, Public --- Chile

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The last decade has brought dramatic changes in the way that researchers analyze economic and financial time series. This book synthesizes these recent advances and makes them accessible to first-year graduate students. James Hamilton provides the first adequate text-book treatments of important innovations such as vector autoregressions, generalized method of moments, the economic and statistical consequences of unit roots, time-varying variances, and nonlinear time series models. In addition, he presents basic tools for analyzing dynamic systems (including linear representations, autocovariance generating functions, spectral analysis, and the Kalman filter) in a way that integrates economic theory with the practical difficulties of analyzing and interpreting real-world data. Time Series Analysis fills an important need for a textbook that integrates economic theory, econometrics, and new results. The book is intended to provide students and researchers with a self-contained survey of time series analysis. It starts from first principles and should be readily accessible to any beginning graduate student, while it is also intended to serve as a reference book for researchers.

519.246 --- Time-series analysis --- modeles economiques --- AA / International- internationaal --- 303.0 --- 304.0 --- 306.5 --- 519.55 --- Analysis of time series --- Autocorrelation (Statistics) --- Harmonic analysis --- Mathematical statistics --- Probabilities --- Statistics of stochastic processes. Estimation of stochastic processes. Hypothesis testing. Statistics of point processes. Time series analysis. Auto-correlation. Regression --- economische modellen --- Statistische technieken in econometrie. Wiskundige statistiek (algemene werken en handboeken). --- Zuivere statistische analyse (algemene naslagwerken). Tijdreeksen. --- Statistische analyse (methodologie). --- 519.246 Statistics of stochastic processes. Estimation of stochastic processes. Hypothesis testing. Statistics of point processes. Time series analysis. Auto-correlation. Regression --- Time-series analysis. --- Statistische technieken in econometrie. Wiskundige statistiek (algemene werken en handboeken) --- Zuivere statistische analyse (algemene naslagwerken). Tijdreeksen --- Statistische analyse (methodologie) --- Stochastic processes --- Statistical science --- Série chronologique --- Absolute summability. --- Autocovariance. --- Bartlett kernel. --- Block exogeneity. --- Cointegrating vector. --- Consumption spending. --- Cospectrum. --- Dickey-Fuller test. --- EM algorithm. --- Exchange rates. --- Filters. --- Fundamental innovation. --- Gamma distribution. --- Global identification. --- Gross national product. --- Hessian matrix. --- Inequality constraints. --- Invertibility. --- Jacobian matrix. --- Joint density. --- Khinchine's theorem. --- Kronecker product. --- Lagrange multiplier. --- Loss function. --- Mean-value theorem. --- Mixingales. --- Monte Carlo method. --- Newton-Raphson. --- Order in probability. --- Orthogonal. --- Permanent income. --- Quadrature spectrum. --- Recessions. --- Reduced form. --- Sample periodogram. --- Stock prices. --- Taylor series. --- Vech operator. --- Time series analysis