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The increased budget deficit caused by the privatization of a public pension plan does not imply a relaxation of the stance of fiscal policy. The reform's impact on the fiscal stance and national saving depends primarily on its effect on the sum of explicit and implicit public debt and on the post-reform payroll tax and private system contribution rates. However, the precise impact of reform also depends on such influences as the relationship between the rates of interest on implicit and explicit public debt. There may be circumstances in which pension privatization, if not offset by fiscal consolidation, will loosen the fiscal stance.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Fiscal Policy --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Pensions --- Pension spending --- Pension reform --- Fiscal policy --- Private savings --- Expenditure --- National accounts --- Saving and investment --- United States
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Canadian public pension plans are run on a "pay-as-you-go" basis. As the baby boom ages, contribution rates for the two main plans are projected to rise significantly, from their current level of around 5 percent of eligible earnings to over 13 percent by 2030. An alternative is to set contribution rates at their underlying long-term levels. Such a policy would imply a significant rise in current contribution rates, to 10-10½ percent of eligible earnings, but would allow the system to cope with the retirement of the baby boom generation without recourse to borrowing or significant increases in contribution rates.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Health: General --- Pensions --- Labour --- income economics --- Population & demography --- Health economics --- Wages --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Health --- Expenditure --- Population and demographics --- Population aging --- Canada --- Income economics
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This paper focuses on the nexus between pension funds' balance sheet liabilities, reflecting their age profile and payments obligations, and the investment behavior and costs of these funds. The context of the analysis is the stringent regulatory framework and the highly fragmented and heterogeneous pension fund landscape in Switzerland. Detailed data from the Swiss Pension Statistic are analyzed using multivariate OLS-regressions. The evidence shows that a younger age structure and lower short-term benefits payouts are related to a higher share of equities and lower real estate holdings. Legal form, pension plan type, and size are important for administrative costs. The findings support the view that aging may lead to increased risk aversion and thus to a lower engagement of institutional investors in equities.
Financial Risk Management --- Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- International Financial Markets --- Governmental Property --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Pensions --- Finance --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Pension spending --- Asset allocation --- Government asset management --- Aging --- Asset-liability management --- Finance, Public --- Population aging --- Switzerland --- Pension trusts --- Finance. --- Economic aspects
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This paper examines the impacts on welfare, savings, labor supply, and the government budget of several possible reforms of the Polish pension and unemployment benefit systems. The framework of analysis is a life cycle simulation model of household consumption, labor supply and retirement decisions. The paper builds on past work by Perraudin and Pujol (1992). The present study focusses on the length of averaging periods in pension benefit calculations, measures to offset incentives to early retirement, and interactions between pension and unemployment benefit systems.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Retirement --- Retirement Policies --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Unemployment Insurance --- Severance Pay --- Plant Closings --- Pensions --- Labour --- income economics --- Pension spending --- Wages --- Unemployment --- Expenditure --- Poland, Republic of --- Income economics
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Austria has probably the world’s highest pension expenditures relative to its economic size, largely because of the generosity of its pension system. This paper examines the institutional setup of the Austrian pension system and projects its future development based on current policies. The projection results show a swift financial worsening. With the already high level of contribution rates, pension expenditures, and budget transfers, the results underscore the need for reform. Much of this reform can, however, be achieved by maintaining the structure of the system and adjusting some of its key parameters. The paper outlines options for such a reform.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Retirement --- Retirement Policies --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Pensions --- Population & demography --- Labour --- income economics --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Wages --- Expenditure --- Population and demographics --- Population aging --- Austria --- Income economics
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India's planned pension reform will set up a proper regulatory framework for the pension industry and open up the sector to private fund managers. Drawing on international experiences, the paper highlights pre-conditions for the reform to kick-start financial development, including: (i) the buildup of critical mass; (ii) sufficiently flexible investment guidelines and regulations, including on investments abroad; and (iii) concurrent reforms in capital markets. Given the limited scale of the planned reform, the key challenge for India is to achieve sufficient critical mass early on. Options to address this challenge include granting permission for existing workers to switch to the new system or outsourcing all or part of the reserves of private sector provident funds to the new pension fund managers.
Investments: General --- Investments: Bonds --- Labor --- Public Finance --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Pensions --- Investment & securities --- Pension spending --- Pension reform --- Corporate bonds --- Securities --- Bonds --- Financial instruments --- India --- Capital market --- Monetary policy --- Econometric models.
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Increasing use of life insurance instruments and company-sponsored funds in France suggests that French households may be inclined to a greater reliance on financial savings as a source of retirement income. This paper examines the challenges imposed by an aging population on the pay-as-you-go basic and supplementary pension systems, the growth of life insurance and company-sponsored funds in the absence of a comprehensive legislation on prefunded pensions, and issues related to prefunding pension schemes, such as the possibility of an welfare enhancing transition to prefunding; effects on capital markets in view of the experience in other OECD countries; and the importance of the transportability of pensions and measures fostering competition in financial markets.
Insurance --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Insurance Companies --- Actuarial Studies --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Pensions --- Insurance & actuarial studies --- Finance --- Pension spending --- Insurance companies --- Income --- Expenditure --- Financial institutions --- National accounts --- France
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The Chilean pension reform of 1981, in which Chile moved from an unfunded to a funded scheme, is considered to have contributed to this country’s excellent economic performance since the mid-1980s. The paper highlights the theoretical underpinnings of the claimed economic effects and presents empirical data and preliminary econometric testing of the conjectured growth, capital formation, and saving effects. The empirical evidence is consistent with most of the claims. In particular, the direct impact of financial market development on private saving is found to be negative, which underscores the importance of sound fiscal policy and public saving to support the transition.
Capacity --- Capital formation --- Capital --- Expenditure --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Instruments --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial markets --- Financial sector development --- Financial services industry --- Institutional Investors --- Intangible Capital --- Investment --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- National accounts --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Pension Funds --- Pension reform --- Pension spending --- Pensions --- Private savings --- Public Finance --- Saving and investment --- Saving --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Wealth --- Chile
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The implication of increasing dependency ratios for pay-as-you-go, defined-benefit pension programs are examined. Modifications aimed at smoothing contributions while maintaining benefits intact are analyzed for both open and closed economies.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Labor Economics: General --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Retirement --- Retirement Policies --- Pensions --- Labour --- income economics --- Monetary economics --- Pension spending --- Currencies --- Expenditure --- Money --- Labor economics --- Chile --- Income economics
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Over the coming decades, demographic developments will lead to a significant increase in public outlays on pensions and health care, relative to national income. This study extends earlier work by considering the adverse effects of taxation on the determinants of economic growth -- in particular, investment, productivity growth, and labor force participation. Available empirical evidence suggests that these adverse effects could well be sizable, and that conventional estimates of the adverse effects of population aging probably severely underestimate their impact on the public finances and economic performance. The paper uses stochastic simulations to examine the robustness of the results to changes in parameter values. It also provides quantitative simulations of various reform options, including mainly an increase in the effective retirement age and flanking labor market measures.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- National Government Expenditures and Health --- Pensions --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Pension spending --- Expenditure --- Aging --- Health care spending --- Population and demographics --- Expenditures, Public --- Population aging --- France
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