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Workers' remittances have been playing an increasingly important role in the balance of payments of many countries and can significantly contribute to the strength of their external positions. Assessing the likely stability of remittance flows could be a valuable input to the analysis of their external vulnerabilities. This paper argues that "altruism," as a motive to send money home, would contribute to the stability of these flows. Using a simple framework that relates workers' remittances to agricultural GDP, which is used as an indicator of economic "hardship" in the home country, evidence suggests that altruism could have played an important role in the flow of remittances to Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Pakistan, and Tunisia in recent years.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Emigrant remittances -- Asia, Central. --- Emigrant remittances -- Middle East. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Emigrant remittances --- Immigrant remittances --- Remittances, Emigrant --- Foreign exchange --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Remittances --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Trade: General --- International economics --- Currency --- Outward remittances --- Exchange rates --- External position --- Service exports --- International finance --- Exports --- Jordan
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This paper analytically explores and empirically tests a number of hypotheses to explain the rapid growth in transition economies. The paper finds that growth in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) has been higher because of the recovery of lost output, progress in macroeconomic stabilization and market reforms, and favorable external conditions. Some of these factors are unlikely to continue for a very long time. The challenge is to improve the investment climate in the non-primary sectors, which will require broadening the scope of macroeconomic reform into a second generation of reforms encompassing structural and institutional areas.
Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Remittances --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- International economics --- Terms of trade --- Government consumption --- Total factor productivity --- Outward remittances --- International finance --- Economic policy --- nternational cooperation --- Consumption --- Economics --- Industrial productivity --- Emigrant remittances --- Russian Federation --- Economic development --- Econometric models. --- Nternational cooperation
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This paper investigates the impact of workers’ remittances on equilibrium real exchange rates (ERER) in recipient economies. Using a small open economy model, it shows that standard "Dutch Disease" results of appreciation are substantially weakened or even overturned depending on: degree of openness; factor mobility between domestic sectors; counter cyclicality of remittances; the share of consumption in tradables; and the sensitivity of a country’s risk premium to remittance flows. Panel cointegration techniques on a large set of countries provide support for these analytical results, and show that ERER appreciation in response to sustained remittance flows tends to be quantitatively small.
Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Remittances --- Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis --- Prices --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- International economics --- Real exchange rates --- Outward remittances --- Agricultural prices --- Real effective exchange rates --- International finance --- Emigrant remittances --- El Salvador --- Foreign exchange rates. --- Economic aspects.
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Over the past decades, workers' remittances have grown to become one of the largest sources of financial flows to developing countries, often dwarfing other widely-studied sources such as private capital and official aid flows. While it is undeniable that remittances have poverty-alleviating and consumption-smoothing effects on recipient households, a key empirical question is whether they also serve to promote long-run economic growth. This study tackles this question and addresses the main shortcomings of previous empirical work, focusing on the appropriate measurement, and incorporating an instrument that is both correlated with remittances and would only be expected to affect growth through its effect on remittances. The results show that, at best, workers' remittances have no impact on economic growth.
Capital movements. --- Economic development. --- Emigrant remittances. --- Emigration and immigration -- Economic aspects. --- Econometrics --- Exports and Imports --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Remittances --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Estimation --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- International economics --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Outward remittances --- Income --- Estimation techniques --- Capital accumulation --- International finance --- Emigrant remittances --- Econometric models --- Saving and investment --- United States
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In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Trade: General --- Remittances --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Banking --- International economics --- Finance --- Commercial banks --- Imports --- Outward remittances --- Income --- International trade --- National accounts --- Financial institutions --- Loans --- Balance of payments --- Banks and banking --- Emigrant remittances --- Lesotho, Kingdom of
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The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-related activities, including conferences and seminars. The Bulletin is intended to serve as a summary guide to research done at the IMF on various topics, and to provide a better perspective on the analytical underpinnings of the IMF’s operational work.
Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Real Estate --- Infrastructure --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Remittances --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Education: General --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Globalization: General --- Property & real estate --- International economics --- Education --- Public finance & taxation --- Globalization --- Housing prices --- Outward remittances --- Prices --- Balance of payments --- National accounts --- International finance --- Emigrant remittances --- Saving and investment --- Turkey
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With 250 million migrants globally, remittances are one of the major sources of income in many developing countries. While there is abundant evidence that remittances facilitate consumption smoothing in receving countries, the literature has not considered whether this effect varies with the fiscal stance and during fiscal shocks. Therefore, we investigate the impact of remittances on the stability of household consumption, using both cross-country and household-level datasets. Our focus is on whether the consumption-smoothing effect changes with fiscal policy phases and whether remittances and government support are substitutes or complements in stabilizing household consumption. We find that remittances help smooth consumption, and hence improve welfare, more during fiscal consolidation episodes, while this impact is insignificant during fiscal expansions. The results also indicate that the effect is more pronounced in countries with greater reliance on remittances.
Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Remittances --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- International Business Cycles --- Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household --- Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics: Household Analysis: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Fiscal Policy --- International economics --- Household consumption --- Consumption --- Outward remittances --- Fiscal consolidation --- Balance of payments --- National accounts --- Fiscal policy --- Economics --- International finance --- Emigrant remittances --- Mexico
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This paper creates the first dataset of bilateral remittance flows for a limited set of developing countries and estimates a gravity model for workers' remittances. We find that most of the variation in bilateral remittance flows can be explained by a few gravity variables. The evidence on the motives to remit is mixed, but altruism may be less of a factor than commonly believed. Most strikingly, remittances do not seem to increase in the wake of a natural disaster and appear aligned with the business cycle in the home country, suggesting that remittances may not play a major role in limiting vulnerability to shocks. To encourage remittances and maximize their economic impact, policies should be directed at reducing transaction costs, promoting financial sector development, and improving the business climate.
Emigrant remittances --- Capital movements --- Econometric models. --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Immigrant remittances --- Remittances, Emigrant --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Natural Disasters --- Remittances --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- International economics --- Currency --- Natural disasters --- Multiple currency practices --- Current account --- Outward remittances --- Bangladesh
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The role of remittances in development and economic growth is not well understood. This is partly because the literatures on the causes and effects of remittances remain separate. We develop a framework that links the motivation for remittances with their effect on economic activity. Because remittances take place under asymmetric information and economic uncertainty, there exists a significant moral hazard problem. The implication is that remittances have a negative effect on economic growth. We test this prediction using panel methods on a large sample of countries. The results indicate that remittances do have a negative effect on economic growth, which indicates that the moral hazard problem in remittances is severe.
Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Emigration and Immigration --- Altruism --- Asymmetric and Private Information --- International Migration --- Economic Development: Human Resources --- Human Development --- Income Distribution --- Migration --- Remittances --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- International economics --- Finance --- Migration, immigration & emigration --- Moral hazard --- Income --- Outward remittances --- Balance of payments --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Population and demographics --- National accounts --- International finance --- Financial risk management --- Emigration and immigration --- Emigrant remittances --- Pakistan
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We estimate a vector error correction (VEC) model for Sri Lanka to determine the response of remittance receipts to macroeconomic shocks. This is the first attempt of its kind in the literature. We find that remittance receipts are procyclical and decline when the island's currency weakens, undermining their usefulness as shock absorber. On the other hand, remittances increase in response to oil price shocks, reflecting the fact that most overseas. Sri Lankan are employed in the Gulf states. The procyclicality of remittances calls into question the notion that remittances are largely motivated by altruism.
Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Remittances --- Geographic Labor Mobility --- Immigrant Workers --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy --- Factor Movement --- Foreign Exchange Policy --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Outward remittances --- Oil prices --- Inward remittances --- Exchange rates --- Balance of payments --- International finance --- Emigrant remittances --- Migrant remittances --- Sri Lanka --- Financial crises --- Economic aspects. --- Mathematical models.
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