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Growth Slowdown in Bureaucratic Economic Systems : An Issue Revisited
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ISBN: 1462388442 1452751323 1281603449 1451890532 9786613784131 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Bureaucratically organized systems tend to be less efficient than economies in which agents are free to choose their output targets, as well as the means to meet them. This paper presents a simple model of planner-manager interactions and shows how bureaucratic economies can end up in a low-effort, low-growth equilibrium even though they may have started in high-effort , high-growth equilibrium. The empirical evidence from eight Central and Eastern European countries during 1948-49 is consistent with our model results, namely, that the growth decline was systemic in nature. The results are applicable to countries in other regions with heavy bureaucratic involvement in the economy.


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To "B" or Not to "B" : A Welfare Analysis of Breaking Up Monopolies in an Endogenous Growth Model
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ISBN: 1462362966 1452796599 1282050893 9786613798343 1451904967 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper studies the welfare consequences of a government regulation that forces a patented equipment to be supplied by a number of independent producers. On the one hand, such a regulation hurts the value of a patent and therefore reduces activities in the R&D sector. On the other hand, the enhanced competition for the equipment improves efficiency in the manufacturing sector. Should monopolies protected by intellectual property rights be broken up? The answer is “no” in a Romer-type growth model, but there is sufficient reason to believe that the answer could be “yes” in a model advocated by Jones (1995).


Book
The Enforcement of Property Rights and Underdevelopment
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462310559 1452723990 1282039342 145190021X 9786613796967 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper formalizes the role of legal infrastructure in economic development in a general equilibrium model with endogenously determined property rights enforcement. It illustrates the mutual importance of property rights protection and market production by the model’s multiplicity of equilibria. In one equilibrium, property rights are enforced and market activity is unhampered. In the other, property rights are not enforced, which discourages economic activity and leaves the economy without the resources and incentives to enforce property rights. Even identically endowed economies may therefore find themselves in very different equilibria.


Book
Sex Discrimination and Growth
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ISBN: 1462315666 1452777497 1281601047 9786613781734 1451896786 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper argues that sex discrimination is an inefficient practice. We model sex discrimination as the complete exclusion of females from the labor market or as the exclusion of females from managerial positions. The former implies a reduction in GDP per capita; the latter distorts the allocation of talent and lowers economic growth. Both imply lower female-to-male schooling ratios. Our model predicts a convex relationship between nondiscrimination and growth. Although discrimination is difficult to measure, it will be reflected in schooling differentials. We present evidence based on cross-country regressions that is consistent with a convex relationship between schooling differentials and growth.


Book
The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1513511505 1513511483 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We propose a simple macroeconomic model with input-output sectoral linkages based on Acemoglu et al. (2016) to quantify how changes in aggregate demand due to additional income from household’s remittances propagates through the network of input-output linkages in Sub-Saharan African countries. We first propose two network centrality measures to assess the role of some sectors as key input providers in the economy. Then, we use these measures to quantify the effect of sectoral linkages on sectoral and total output following an increase in remittances inflows. Our empirical results suggest that the effects of remittances on recipient economies increase with the degree of linkages across sectors, which is especially prominent in the case of the financial intermediation sector. Our paper contributes to the emerging macroeconomic literature on the propagation of shocks across sectors and the implications for the whole economy.


Book
Growth Gains from Trade and Education
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ISBN: 1462373283 1452771480 1281604860 9786613785558 1451891881 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents a multisector growth model where education enhances general human capital, which is essential for increasing or maintaining the mobility of workers across industries. The paper shows that education, combined with international trade, can affect growth positively in the long run by raising workers’ ability to adapt and move easily to industries with the greatest productivity in each period. Depending on the initial ratio of general-to-specific human capital stock, multiple equilibrium growth paths can exist, including a poverty trap. If the ratio is not substantially low, trade liberalization can allow an economy in a poverty trap to transform into one with continuous education and higher output growth.


Book
From Autarky to Integration : Imitation, Foreign Borrowing, and Growth.
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ISBN: 1462302467 1452734070 1283559315 9786613871763 1451901259 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The effects on growth of the integration of an autarkic country into the world economy are analyzed, focusing on the differing roles of imitation and innovation in human capital accumulation. The country initially concentrates on imitation of foreign knowledge; subsequently, as it approaches the knowledge frontier, innovation plays a greater role. Late developers catch up with the rest of the world more rapidly than early developers, reflecting the relatively large imitation opportunity available to them. Restrictions on foreign borrowing reduce the speed of adjustment to the steady state and lower growth and welfare for the country that imposes them.


Book
Factor Reallocation and Growth in Developing Countries
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ISBN: 1462303544 1451992483 1281347728 9786613779366 145189757X Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the extent to which developing countries benefit from intersectoral factor transfers by specifying the impact and determinants of sectoral changes and of the degree of dualism (or allocation inefficiency) in a dual economy model. Conditions under which factor reallocation is growth-enhancing are derived. An empirical error-correction equation is estimated for 30 developing countries during 1965-80. Results suggest that labor reallocation effects are especially important in countries with high rates of investment (and thus high rates of labor transfer) and/or at low levels of development (and thus high degrees of dualism).


Book
Transitional Growth with Increasing Inequality and Financial Deepening
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ISBN: 1462363040 1452773440 1282035363 1451898711 9786613796875 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We study models that display growth with financial deepening and increasing inequality along the way to perpetual steady state growth. A benchmark model is essentially a complete markets model but with transaction costs of financial intermediation. New proofs are required and thus provided for stochastic dynamic programming for the case of unbounded return functions and perpetual growth with a non-convex transaction technology. We calibrate the model and report quantitative predictions for Thailand during 1976-96. We find a discrepancy between the model and the data, suspect barriers to financial deepening as a cause, and evaluate the associated welfare loss.


Book
The U.S. Dollar and the Trade Deficit : What Accounts for the Late 1990's?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462371035 1452762287 1282010174 9786613795762 1451905246 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Based on a version of the IMF’s new Global Economic Model (GEM), calibrated to analyze macroeconomic interdependence between the United States and the rest of the world, this paper asks to what extent an asymmetric productivity shock in the tradable sector of the economy may account for real exchange rate and trade balance developments in the United States in the second half of the 1990s. The paper concludes that the Balassa-Samuelson effect of such a productivity shock is only part of the story. A second shock, a broadly defined “risk premium” shock, and some uncertainty about the persistence of both shocks are needed to match the data more satisfactorily.

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