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Bureaucratically organized systems tend to be less efficient than economies in which agents are free to choose their output targets, as well as the means to meet them. This paper presents a simple model of planner-manager interactions and shows how bureaucratic economies can end up in a low-effort, low-growth equilibrium even though they may have started in high-effort , high-growth equilibrium. The empirical evidence from eight Central and Eastern European countries during 1948-49 is consistent with our model results, namely, that the growth decline was systemic in nature. The results are applicable to countries in other regions with heavy bureaucratic involvement in the economy.
Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Inventions --- Bureaucracy --- Administrative Processes in Public Organizations --- Corruption --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Planning, Coordination, and Reform --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Inventions & inventors --- Consumption --- Tax incentives --- Technological innovation --- National accounts --- Technology --- Economics --- Technological innovations --- Czech Republic
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This paper studies the welfare consequences of a government regulation that forces a patented equipment to be supplied by a number of independent producers. On the one hand, such a regulation hurts the value of a patent and therefore reduces activities in the R&D sector. On the other hand, the enhanced competition for the equipment improves efficiency in the manufacturing sector. Should monopolies protected by intellectual property rights be broken up? The answer is “no” in a Romer-type growth model, but there is sufficient reason to believe that the answer could be “yes” in a model advocated by Jones (1995).
Banks and Banking --- Labor --- Industries: Manufacturing --- Technological Change: Government Policy --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Labour --- income economics --- Manufacturing industries --- Finance --- Human capital --- Manufacturing --- Real interest rates --- Economic sectors --- Financial services --- Interest rates --- United States --- Income economics
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This paper formalizes the role of legal infrastructure in economic development in a general equilibrium model with endogenously determined property rights enforcement. It illustrates the mutual importance of property rights protection and market production by the model’s multiplicity of equilibria. In one equilibrium, property rights are enforced and market activity is unhampered. In the other, property rights are not enforced, which discourages economic activity and leaves the economy without the resources and incentives to enforce property rights. Even identically endowed economies may therefore find themselves in very different equilibria.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Production and Operations Management --- Organizational Behavior --- Transaction Costs --- Property Rights --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Public finance & taxation --- Technology --- general issues --- Tax incentives --- Legal support in revenue administration --- Consumption --- Productivity --- Revenue --- Economics --- Industrial productivity --- General issues
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This paper argues that sex discrimination is an inefficient practice. We model sex discrimination as the complete exclusion of females from the labor market or as the exclusion of females from managerial positions. The former implies a reduction in GDP per capita; the latter distorts the allocation of talent and lowers economic growth. Both imply lower female-to-male schooling ratios. Our model predicts a convex relationship between nondiscrimination and growth. Although discrimination is difficult to measure, it will be reflected in schooling differentials. We present evidence based on cross-country regressions that is consistent with a convex relationship between schooling differentials and growth.
Labor --- Women''s Studies' --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Economics of Gender --- Non-labor Discrimination --- Education: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Education --- Labour --- income economics --- Gender studies --- women & girls --- Women --- Wages --- Human capital --- Labor markets --- Labor market --- Income economics --- Women & girls --- Women's Studies
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We propose a simple macroeconomic model with input-output sectoral linkages based on Acemoglu et al. (2016) to quantify how changes in aggregate demand due to additional income from household’s remittances propagates through the network of input-output linkages in Sub-Saharan African countries. We first propose two network centrality measures to assess the role of some sectors as key input providers in the economy. Then, we use these measures to quantify the effect of sectoral linkages on sectoral and total output following an increase in remittances inflows. Our empirical results suggest that the effects of remittances on recipient economies increase with the degree of linkages across sectors, which is especially prominent in the case of the financial intermediation sector. Our paper contributes to the emerging macroeconomic literature on the propagation of shocks across sectors and the implications for the whole economy.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Remittances --- Input-Output Models --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Network Formation and Analysis: Theory --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- International economics --- Labour --- income economics --- Production growth --- Consumption --- Labor supply --- Income --- Balance of payments --- Production --- National accounts --- International finance --- Economic theory --- Economics --- Labor market --- Nigeria --- Income economics
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This paper presents a multisector growth model where education enhances general human capital, which is essential for increasing or maintaining the mobility of workers across industries. The paper shows that education, combined with international trade, can affect growth positively in the long run by raising workers’ ability to adapt and move easily to industries with the greatest productivity in each period. Depending on the initial ratio of general-to-specific human capital stock, multiple equilibrium growth paths can exist, including a poverty trap. If the ratio is not substantially low, trade liberalization can allow an economy in a poverty trap to transform into one with continuous education and higher output growth.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Inventions --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Trade: General --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Education: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Education --- International economics --- Inventions & inventors --- Human capital --- Labor supply --- Trade liberalization --- Technological innovation --- International trade --- Technology --- Labor market --- Commercial policy --- Technological innovations --- Korea, Republic of --- Income economics
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The effects on growth of the integration of an autarkic country into the world economy are analyzed, focusing on the differing roles of imitation and innovation in human capital accumulation. The country initially concentrates on imitation of foreign knowledge; subsequently, as it approaches the knowledge frontier, innovation plays a greater role. Late developers catch up with the rest of the world more rapidly than early developers, reflecting the relatively large imitation opportunity available to them. Restrictions on foreign borrowing reduce the speed of adjustment to the steady state and lower growth and welfare for the country that imposes them.
Exports and Imports --- Investments: Stocks --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Economic Integration --- Economic Growth of Open Economies --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Labor Economics: General --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Investment & securities --- Human capital --- Capital controls --- Consumption --- Stocks --- Balance of payments --- National accounts --- Financial institutions --- Capital movements --- Economics --- Labor economics --- United States --- Income economics
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This paper examines the extent to which developing countries benefit from intersectoral factor transfers by specifying the impact and determinants of sectoral changes and of the degree of dualism (or allocation inefficiency) in a dual economy model. Conditions under which factor reallocation is growth-enhancing are derived. An empirical error-correction equation is estimated for 30 developing countries during 1965-80. Results suggest that labor reallocation effects are especially important in countries with high rates of investment (and thus high rates of labor transfer) and/or at low levels of development (and thus high degrees of dualism).
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Production and Operations Management --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Labor Economics: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Labor productivity --- Public expenditure review --- Human capital --- Capital productivity --- Production --- Expenditure --- Labor economics --- Expenditures, Public --- South Africa --- Income economics
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We study models that display growth with financial deepening and increasing inequality along the way to perpetual steady state growth. A benchmark model is essentially a complete markets model but with transaction costs of financial intermediation. New proofs are required and thus provided for stochastic dynamic programming for the case of unbounded return functions and perpetual growth with a non-convex transaction technology. We calibrate the model and report quantitative predictions for Thailand during 1976-96. We find a discrepancy between the model and the data, suspect barriers to financial deepening as a cause, and evaluate the associated welfare loss.
Banks and Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Demography --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Economic Development: Financial Markets --- Saving and Capital Investment --- Corporate Finance and Governance --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Demographic Economics: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Financial Institutions and Services: General --- Banking --- Population & demography --- Income distribution --- Income inequality --- Population and demographics --- Consumption --- National accounts --- Financial sector --- Economic sectors --- Banks and banking --- Population --- Economics --- Financial services industry --- Thailand
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Based on a version of the IMF’s new Global Economic Model (GEM), calibrated to analyze macroeconomic interdependence between the United States and the rest of the world, this paper asks to what extent an asymmetric productivity shock in the tradable sector of the economy may account for real exchange rate and trade balance developments in the United States in the second half of the 1990s. The paper concludes that the Balassa-Samuelson effect of such a productivity shock is only part of the story. A second shock, a broadly defined “risk premium” shock, and some uncertainty about the persistence of both shocks are needed to match the data more satisfactorily.
Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Investments: General --- Production and Operations Management --- Economic Growth of Open Economies --- Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- International economics --- Productivity --- Real exchange rates --- Trade balance --- Return on investment --- Exchange rates --- Production --- International trade --- National accounts --- Industrial productivity --- Balance of trade --- Saving and investment --- United States
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