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Book
Jobless Growth? : Okun's Law in East Asia
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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Abstract

Was economic growth in East Asia jobless? This paper addresses this question using data from eight East Asian countries during the period between 1997 and 2011 to estimate the Okun's Law Coefficient, which captures the relationship between growth and employment. The analysis suggests that growth was not jobless. However, there is considerable variation across countries. Generally, the effect of growth on employment tends to magnify under more flexible hiring and firing rules. Yet even where labor markets are more tightly regulated, economic growth affects employment, not necessarily in the aggregate but in its composition. There is evidence that agricultural employment moves counter-cyclically, as opposed to non-agricultural employment. The effect is particularly pronounced in periods of economic crisis, suggesting that agriculture may serve as a shock-absorber for workers laid off in the industrial sector. Isolating non-agricultural employment reveals a stronger relationship between growth and job creation.


Dissertation
Is youth unemployment more sensitive to business cycles than adult unemployment? Evidence from European countries
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Year: 2019 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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Youth and adult unemployment rates have sharply risen in almost all European countries since the 2008 economic and financial crisis, leading the European Commission to take initiatives to counter this rise. Despite the decrease of youth and adult unemployment rates since 2014, the European Union still faces unemployment challenges. This paper investigates the relationship between the real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and the unemployment rate (known as Okun's law) in 28 European countries between 2000 and 2017. By revisiting Okun's law, this paper first evaluates whether or not the youth unemployment rate is more sensitive to business cycles than the adult unemployment rate. Subsequently, it tests the hypothesis of a higher sensitivity of the men unemployment rate to business cycles compared to the women unemployment rate. First, in order to study the relationship between the unemployment rate and the real GDP growth, a non-linear functional form is used. Second, the econometric model includes factors that might influence the unemployment rate such as the labour force participation rate, the part-time employment rate, the share of temporary contract and the employment rate in industry. As a result, this empirical study highlights three main findings. First of all, the existence of a negative relationship between the unemployment rate and the real GDP growth for every age cohorts and gender groups is revealed in European countries. Then, the hypothesis that the adult men unemployment rate is more sensitive to business cycles than the adult women unemployment rate is confirmed. Finally, it has been found that the youth unemployment rate is not significantly more sensitive to business cycles than the adult unemployment rate. From a policy perspective, it can be inferred that an increase in the economic growth will decrease the unemployment rate of young people and adults. Moreover, it will result in a greater decline of the adult men unemployment rate than the adult women unemployment rate.


Book
Applied Econometrics
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ISBN: 3038979279 3038979260 9783038979272 Year: 2019 Publisher: Basel, Switzerland : MDPI,

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Abstract

Although the theme of the monograph is primarily related to "Applied Econometrics", there are several theoretical contributions that are associated with empirical examples, or directions in which the novel theoretical ideas might be applied. The monograph is associated with significant and novel contributions in theoretical and applied econometrics; economics; theoretical and applied financial econometrics; quantitative finance; risk; financial modeling; portfolio management; optimal hedging strategies; theoretical and applied statistics; applied time series analysis; forecasting; applied mathematics; energy economics; energy finance; tourism research; tourism finance; agricultural economics; informatics; data mining; bibliometrics; and international rankings of journals and academics.

Keywords

FHA loan --- E42 --- Misery Index --- economic development --- managing of financial health --- duration models --- system GMM --- maximum likelihood estimator --- FMOLS --- market microstructure --- foreclosure --- company performance --- vector error correction model (VECM) --- earnings forecasts --- multivariate regression models --- competing risks --- social network model --- price recovery --- trading behavior --- efficiency --- prediction methods --- panel data --- nonlinearity --- control environment --- earnings announcements --- economic freedom --- E58 --- risk of bankruptcy --- foreign direct investment --- Granger causality test --- budgetary system and strategies --- denomination range --- heavy-tailed data --- unemployment --- exploratory diagnostics --- EGARCH --- historical time series --- home mortgage --- economic growth --- abnormal returns --- uncorrelated multivariate Student distribution --- post-communist countries --- nonparametric time series modeling --- inflation --- unified time series algorithm --- unobserved heterogeneity --- JEL Classification --- Fama-French factor model --- oil price --- risk spillover --- exchange rate --- Nigeria --- financial markets --- middle income countries --- trade balance --- independent multivariate Student distribution --- panel data factor model --- Mahalanobis distances --- derivatives market --- operational control --- Okun’s law --- default and prepayment --- DOLS --- income inequality --- frequency domain causality --- Granger-causality tests --- cointegration --- financial analysts --- postage stamps --- cash payments --- Probit and Logit models

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