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During the Cold War, many believed that the superpowers shared a conception of strategic stability - a coexistence where both sides compete for global influence but are deterred from using nuclear weapons. In actuality, both sides understood strategic stability and deterrence quite differently. Today's international system is further complicated by more nuclear powers, regional rivalries, and nonstate actors who punch above their weight. This book unpacks and examines how states in different regions currently view strategic stability, the use or non-use of nuclear weapons, and whether strategic stability is still a prevailing concept. The contributors to this volume explore policies of existing and potential nuclear powers including the United States, Russia, China, India, Iran, Israel, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia.
NUCLEAR CRISIS STABILITY --- NUCLEAR WEAPONS--GOVERNMENT POLICY --- NUCLEAR DETERRENCE
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First strike (Nuclear strategy) --- Nuclear crisis stability. --- Strategic forces
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"The challenge of deterring territorial aggression, which for several decades has been an afterthought in U.S. strategy toward most regions of the world, is taking on renewed importance. An increasingly belligerent Russia is threatening Eastern Europe and the Baltic States with possible aggression, conventional and otherwise. China is pursuing its territorial ambitions in the East and South China Seas with greater force, including the construction of artificial islands and occasional bouts of outright physical intimidation. North Korea remains a persistent threat to the Republic of Korea (ROK), including the possibility of large-scale aggression using its rapidly advancing nuclear arsenal. Yet the discussion of deterrence-as a theory and practical policy requirement-has lagged in U.S. military and strategy circles. The authors aim to provide a fresh look at the subject in this context, with two primary purposes: to review established concepts about deterrence, and to provide a framework for evaluating the strength of deterrent relationships. For greater focus, they concentrate on a specific category or form of deterrence: extended deterrence of interstate aggression. The authors consider the requirements for the United States to deter potential aggressors abroad from attacking U.S. allies or other countries in large-scale conventional conflicts. Examples include Russian attacks on the Baltic States and a North Korean assault on the ROK. The study stems from a specific research question: What are the requirements of effective extended deterrence of large-scale military aggression? The focus is therefore on the criteria that tend to distinguish successful from unsuccessful efforts to deter interstate aggression."--
Deterrence (Strategy) --- Military policy --- Psychology, Military --- Strategy --- First strike (Nuclear strategy) --- Nuclear crisis stability
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Deterrence (Strategy) --- History --- Military policy --- Psychology, Military --- Strategy --- First strike (Nuclear strategy) --- Nuclear crisis stability
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Deterrence (Strategy) --- Nuclear weapons --- Nuclear crisis stability. --- United States --- Asia --- Military relations --- Military policy.
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Deterrence (Strategy) --- Nuclear crisis stability. --- First strike (Nuclear strategy) --- Persian Gulf War, 1991 --- Hussein, Saddam,
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National security --- Nuclear crisis stability. --- Nuclear weapons --- Deterrence (Strategy) --- India --- Pakistan --- Foreign relations
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First-strike stability depends on the improbability of crises and the improbability that crises would result in first strikes. This study focuses on the latter criterion, which in turn depends on crisis decisionmaking by human beings. The report argues that efforts to understand and improve first-strike stability should be guided by a formal theory of human decisionmaking that accounts for behavioral factors such as mindset, desperation, fatalism, perceptions, and fears. The author identifies three principal mechanisms for improving first-strike stability: (1) improve force-posture stability; (2) review and adjust nuclear policies and doctrine, and the way they are discussed; and (3) improve the likely quality of crisis decisionmaking through efforts involving education, exercises, and staffing.
First strike (Nuclear strategy) --- Nuclear crisis stability. --- Nuclear warfare --- Decision making.
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