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This paper explores income and consumption smoothing patterns among the member countries of each of the CFA zones-the CEMAC2 and the WAEMU3-during the period 1980-2000. I find that for the CEMAC, only about 15 percent of shocks to GDP are smoothed through the standard channels (that is, capital market, credit market, and remittances). On the other hand, I find that 44 percent of shocks are smoothed via foreign aid from France, and 5 percent via central bank contributions, while reserves pooling provides no shock smoothing. For the WAEMU, I find that only 13 percent of shocks are smoothed through the standard channels, while 63 percent are smoothed via foreign aid from France, 7 percent via central bank contributions, and no smoothing via reserves pooling. I compare these results with the risksharing pattern in the Unites States. I argue that creating public venture capital at a regional level might help promote free capital flows within each zone and alleviate the apparently insufficient degree of risk-sharing observed through the standard channels.
Capital market -- Africa -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Monetary unions -- Africa -- Econometric models. --- Risk -- Africa -- Econometric models. --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- International Financial Markets --- Finance --- Consumption --- Capital markets --- Income --- Currency markets --- Stock markets --- Economics --- Capital market --- Foreign exchange market --- Stock exchanges --- France
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This study assesses the degree of financial integration in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). The structure of the financial sector and its institutional arrangements indicate that financial integration is well advanced in some aspects. Common and foreign ownership of banks is very high and cross-border transactions are frequent in the government securities markets. Common institutions help achieve a high degree of similarity of rules. There is nonetheless scope for further financial integration as indicated by persistent deviations from the law of one price, limited cross-border bank transactions, and differences in treatment. Policy measures could therefore help achieve greater financial convergence.
Africa, West -- Economic conditions. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Monetary unions -- Africa, West. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Monetary unions --- Africa, West --- Economic conditions. --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- Currency question --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Investments: General --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Banking --- Investment & securities --- Financial integration --- Commercial banks --- Treasury bills and bonds --- Interbank markets --- Banks and banking --- International finance --- Government securities --- Côte d'Ivoire
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This paper seeks to elucidate the debate over currency union in Africa. The paper examines whether empirical investigation points to the gradual emergence of currency blocs. Based on the historical data on inflation, trade, and the comovements of prices and outputs, I argue that the emergence of large-scale currency blocs in Africa will follow a gradual path and that this dynamic does not lead to the emergence of a single continental currency at this time. Rather, the pattern which emerges seems to suggest three blocs: one in West Africa, a second around South Africa, and a third in Central Africa. Although little evidence is found supporting the emergence of a single African currency at this time, the emergence of an African currency union is not necessarily precluded, since the ultimate decision to surrender a nation's monetary policy to a supranational institution is not made based solely on economic considerations. I then address the issue of a possible anchor for the union, were it to emerge and opt for an anchorage. I find- based on the trade criterion-that the euro seems to be a good choice.
Currency question -- Africa. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Monetary policy -- Africa. --- Monetary unions -- Africa. --- Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- International economics --- Monetary economics --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary unions --- Currencies --- Trade balance --- Economic unions --- Money --- Prices --- Balance of trade --- International economic integration --- São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of
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This paper explores and quantifies several aspects of the performance of currency unions using an augmented version of the gravity model and focusing on two samples, the world and Africa. Our empirical findings suggest that, in principle, membership in a currency union should benefit Africa as much as it does the rest of the world. In addition, we find evidence from both samples that the effect of currency unions on trade is large, almost a doubling; currency unions are associated with trade creation, increase price co-movements among members, and make trade more stable; and longer duration of currency union membership brings about more benefits, although with some diminishing returns.
Commerce -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Monetary unions -- Africa -- Econometric models. --- Monetary unions -- Econometric models. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Commerce --- Monetary unions --- Econometric models. --- Trade --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- Economics --- Business --- Transportation --- Currency question --- Money --- Traffic (Commerce) --- Merchants --- Econometrics --- Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining: General --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Econometric Modeling: General --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International economics --- Trade unions --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Monetary economics --- Labor unions --- Plurilateral trade --- Gravity models --- Currencies --- International trade --- Econometric models --- South Africa
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Applying techniques of clustering analysis to a set of variables suggested by the convergence criteria and the theory of optimal currency areas, this paper looks for country homogeneities to assess membership in the existing and proposed monetary unions of the broader west African region. Our analysis reveals considerable dissimilarities in the economic characteristics of the countries in west and central Africa. In particular, the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) countries do not form a cluster with the West Africa Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries; and, within the WAMZ, there is a significant lack of homogeneity. Furthermore, when west and central African countries are considered together, we find significant heterogeneities within the CFA franc zone, and some interesting similarities between the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) and WAMZ countries. Overall, our findings raise some questions about the geographical boundaries of several existing and proposed monetary unions.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Monetary unions -- Africa, West -- Econometric models. --- Money -- Africa, West. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Monetary unions --- Money --- Econometric models. --- Currency --- Monetary question --- Money, Primitive --- Specie --- Standard of value --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- Exchange --- Value --- Banks and banking --- Coinage --- Currency question --- Gold --- Silver --- Silver question --- Wealth --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- International economics --- Foreign exchange --- Economic growth --- Terms of trade --- Exchange rates --- Real exchange rates --- Business cycles --- Economic policy --- nternational cooperation --- Nigeria
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African regional trade integration has grown exponentially in the last decade. This book is the first comprehensive analysis of the legal framework within which it is being pursued. It will fill a huge knowledge gap and serve as an invaluable teaching and research tool for policy makers in the public and private sectors, teachers, researchers and students of African trade and beyond. The author argues that African Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) are best understood as flexible legal regimes particularly given their commitment to variable geometry and multiple memberships. He analyzes the progress made toward trade liberalization in each region, how the RTAs are financed, their trade remedy and judicial regimes, and how well they measure up to Article XXIV of GATT. The book also covers monetary unions as well as intra-African regional integration, and examines free trade agreements with non-African regions including the Economic Partnership Agreements with the European Union.
Foreign trade regulation --- Monetary unions --- Foreign trade regulation. --- Free trade. --- Free trade and protection --- Trade, Free --- Trade liberalization --- International trade --- Export and import controls --- Foreign trade control --- Import and export controls --- International trade control --- International trade regulation --- Prohibited exports and imports --- Trade regulation --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- Currency question --- Money --- Law and legislation --- Africa --- Economic integration. --- Foreign economic relations. --- Free trade --- Afrika --- handelspolitiek, internationaal --- handelsrecht --- recht, internationaal --- Economic integration --- Foreign economic relations --- Law --- General and Others --- Foreign trade regulation - Africa --- Monetary unions - Africa --- Africa - Economic integration --- Africa - Foreign economic relations
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The CFA franc zone has had one of the longest experiences with a fixed exchange rate for a convertible currency and regional integration of any group of developing countries. France, the anchor country, provides aid to support the zone. This paper asks whether the arrangements are more than just an aid substitute. The paper addresses this issue by evaluating the overall performance of the zone over the period 1960-2004. The analysis reveals that when the zone is hit by a negative shock, France increases its aid, thereby acting as a shock absorber. However, it also finds that the zone displays strong performance in two areas-price stability and fiscal policy. Thus the paper concludes that the arrangements are not an aid substitute; they have real macroeconomic value for the zone and complement aid.
Africa, French-speaking -- Economic policy. --- French franc area. --- Monetary unions -- Africa, French-speaking. --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Public Finance --- Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy --- Stabilization --- Treasury Policy --- Economic Integration --- International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions --- Foreign Aid --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Trade: General --- International economics --- Macroeconomics --- Public finance & taxation --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Monetary unions --- Government asset and liability management --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Exports --- Prices --- Economic integration --- Public financial management (PFM) --- International trade --- Finance, Public --- France
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Depuis plusieurs années, le FMI publie un nombre croissant de rapports et autres documents couvrant l'évolution et les tendances économiques et financières dans les pays membres. Chaque rapport, rédigé par une équipe des services du FMI à la suite d'entretiens avec des représentants des autorités, est publié avec l'accord du pays concerné.
Africa, West -- Economic conditions.. --- Economic development.. --- International Monetary Fund.. --- Monetary unions -- Africa, West. --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Fiscal Policy --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Banking --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Public debt --- Fiscal stance --- Regional integration --- Banks and banking --- Debts, Public --- Fiscal policy --- International economic integration --- Prices --- Burkina Faso --- Africa, West --- Monetary unions --- Economic development. --- International finance. --- Economic conditions.. --- Monetary unions. --- Economic conditions.
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International finance --- Money. Monetary policy --- Economic policy and planning (general) --- West Africa --- Central Africa --- French franc area --- Monetary policy --- Monetary unions --- Franc, CFA --- Africa, French-speaking --- Economic policy --- CFA Franc Zone --- Monetary history --- 331.31 --- 333.432.2 --- AFR / Africa - Afrika - Afrique --- -Monetary unions --- -Franc, CFA --- -332.4960917541 --- CFA franc --- Colonie française d'Afrique franc --- Communateé financière africaine franc --- Communauteé financère d'Afrique franc --- Money --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- Currency question --- Monetary management --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Franc area, French --- Zone franc --- Economisch beleid. --- Frankgebied. --- Africa, Northern --- Economic policy. --- 332.4960917541 --- Economisch beleid --- Frankgebied --- Francophone Africa --- French-speaking Africa --- Monetary policy - Africa, French-speaking --- Monetary unions - Africa, French-speaking --- Franc, CFA - Africa, French-speaking --- Acqui 2006 --- Africa, French-speaking - Economic policy
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We apply the fundamentals equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) approach and the Johansen cointegration methodology to investigate the behavior of the real effective exchange rates of the two monetary unions of the CFA franc zone (CEMAC and WAEMU) vis-à-vis their long-run equilibrium paths. For both CEMAC and WAEMU, our results indicate that: (i) the fundamentals account for most of the fluctuation of the real effective exchange rates, with increases in the terms of trade, government consumption, and productivity improvements causing the exchange rate to appreciate, and increases in investment and openness leading to a depreciation; (ii) at end-2005 both the CEMAC and WAEMU real effective exchange rates were broadly in line with their long-run equilibrium values; and (iii) following a shock, reversion to equilibrium is twice as fast in WAEMU than in CEMAC.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Foreign exchange rates -- French franc area. --- Franc, CFA. --- Monetary unions -- Africa, French-speaking. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Foreign exchange rates --- Monetary unions --- Common currencies --- Currency areas --- Currency unions --- Optimum currency areas --- CFA franc --- Colonie française d'Afrique franc --- Communateé financière africaine franc --- Communauteé financère d'Afrique franc --- Exchange rates --- Fixed exchange rates --- Flexible exchange rates --- Floating exchange rates --- Fluctuating exchange rates --- Foreign exchange --- Rates of exchange --- Rates --- Currency question --- Money --- French franc area --- Econometrics --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- State Space Models --- Forecasting and Other Model Applications --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Currency --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Real effective exchange rates --- Real exchange rates --- Vector autoregression --- Government consumption --- Econometric analysis --- National accounts --- Consumption --- Economics --- Equatorial Guinea, Republic of
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