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Book
Compiling and Using Export and Import Price Indices
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462344615 1452749027 1283533421 9786613845870 1451920113 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Export and import price indices are essential for assessing the impact of international trade on the domestic economy. Among their most important uses are analyzing developments in the trade balance, measuring foreign prices' contribution to domestic inflation, and deflating nominal values of exports and imports for estimating the volume of gross domestic product. This paper discusses the main uses of trade indices and the data sources used to compile them. It also presents various approaches used to compile foreign trade price indices, addresses various problems encountered in developing these indices, and provides some recommendations on how to address them.


Book
Price Imputation and Other Techniques for Dealing with Missing Observations, Seasonality and Quality Change in Price Indices
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462320724 145279667X 1281265942 1451896298 9786613778161 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Price index compilers frequently face situations where price observations are missing due to seasonal unavailability, supply shortages, or the discontinuation of products. Incorrect treatment of such situations can result in biased price indices. This paper presents statistical imputation techniques that index compilers can use to prevent bias and suggests the extension of these same techniques to assist with adjustments for quality differences. The use of additional procedures for dealing with some of the problems caused by seasonal commodities is also discussed.


Book
An Index Number Formula Problem : The Aggregation of Broadly Comparable items
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ISBN: 1451916027 1462376975 145187166X 9786612842412 1282842412 1452717796 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Index number theory informs us that if data on matched prices and quantities are available, a superlative index number formula is best to aggregate heterogeneous items, and a unit value index to aggregate homogeneous ones. The formulas can give very different results. Neglected is the practical case of broadly comparable items. This paper provides a formal analysis as to why such formulas differ and proposes a solution to this index number problem.


Book
Improving the Efficiency of the U.S. CPI
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ISBN: 1462371124 1455238422 Year: 1996 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.


Book
Post-Laspeyres : The Case for a New Formula for Compiling Consumer Price Indexes
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1475539843 147551557X Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Consumer price indexes (CPIs) are compiled at the higher (weighted) level using Laspeyres-type arithmetic averages. This paper questions the suitability of such formulas and considers two counterpart alternatives that use geometric averaging, the Geometric Young and the (price-updated) Geometric Lowe. The paper provides a formal decomposition and understanding of the differences between the two. Empirical results are provided using United States CPI data. The findings lead to an advocacy of variants of a hybrid formula suggested by Lent and Dorfman (2009) that substantially reduces bias from Laspeyres-type indexes.


Book
Winning the War? New Evidence on the Measurement and the Determinants of Poverty in the United States
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Using micro-data from household expenditure surveys, we document the evolution of consumption poverty in the United States over the last four decades. Employing a price index that appears appropriate for low income households, we show that poverty has not declined materially since the 1980s and even increased for the young. We then analyze which social and economic factors help explain the extent of poverty in the U.S. using probit, tobit, and machine learning techniques. Our results are threefold. First, we identify the poor as more likely to be minorities, without a college education, never married, and living in the Midwest. Second, the importance of some factors, such as race and ethnicity, for determining poverty has declined over the last decades but they remain significant. Third, we find that social and economic factors can only partially capture the likelihood of being poor, pointing to the possibility that random factors (“bad luck”) could play a significant role.


Book
Winning the War? New Evidence on the Measurement and the Determinants of Poverty in the United States
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9798400202339 Year: 2022 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Using micro-data from household expenditure surveys, we document the evolution of consumption poverty in the United States over the last four decades. Employing a price index that appears appropriate for low income households, we show that poverty has not declined materially since the 1980s and even increased for the young. We then analyze which social and economic factors help explain the extent of poverty in the U.S. using probit, tobit, and machine learning techniques. Our results are threefold. First, we identify the poor as more likely to be minorities, without a college education, never married, and living in the Midwest. Second, the importance of some factors, such as race and ethnicity, for determining poverty has declined over the last decades but they remain significant. Third, we find that social and economic factors can only partially capture the likelihood of being poor, pointing to the possibility that random factors (“bad luck”) could play a significant role.


Book
Recording Interest Income in the Balance of Payments
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ISBN: 1462346960 1452795665 1281362379 9786613779441 145198698X Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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In the balance of payments, as well as the national accounts, income refers to the use of factors of production. Accordingly, income should be recorded in the balance of payments during the period or periods in which the economic benefits arising from the use of a factor of production are enjoyed by the user—that is, on an accrual basis. This paper discusses: (1) the theoretical implications of using the accrual basis for recording interest income, including the nature of entries necessary to offset income accrued but not paid and the calculation of accrued interest; and (2) the practical aspects of measuring interest on this basis.


Book
Time-To-Build and Convex Adjustment Costs
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ISBN: 1462329926 1452719039 1281603872 9786613784568 145189077X Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper incorporates time-to-build into the standard investment model with convex adjustment costs. The empirical Euler equation is estimated using a U.S. firm-level panel from Compustat. In spite of the introduction of time-to-build, the magnitude of the implied adjustment costs is unrealistically high. Exploiting another approach, I test directly the restrictions imposed by time-to-build on the investment equation. The results indicate that these restrictions cannot be rejected for five of the sixteen industries in the sample. Finally I show that time-to-build can explain approximately one-third of the variation in persistence of structure investment across four-digit industries.


Book
The Facts About Time : To-Build
Author:
ISBN: 1462371086 1451984383 1282107690 9786613801043 1451901119 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents new empirical evidence about the process of plant investment. Using newspaper and trade journal articles, the author collects and analyzes time-to-build data for a sample of Compustat firms. These data suggest that the average construction lead time for new plants is around two years in most industries. Business cycle fluctuations do not affect the length of time-to-build. The investment lead times are generally not sensitive to the size of the projects. Only nine percent of the firms in the sample deviate from their investment schedules and delay or abandon their projects.

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