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The IEO report provides a welcome opportunity to reflect on the IMF’s initiatives to expand and deepen its financial surveillance work in response to the Global Financial Crisis. In order to improve the relevance and traction of bilateral financial surveillance, the IMF needs to deepen financial and macrofinancial analysis, particularly in Article IV consultations, including by taking practical steps to better integrate Financial Sector Assessment Program analysis in Article IV consultations and by increasing financial skills and expertise among staff. The IMF should continue to work to enhance the impact of IMF multilateral surveillance by increasing rigor and transparency, and by deepening collaboration with international partners. On scaling-up the IMF’s work with the international regulatory agencies to assess the impact of reforms, the IMF has undertaken several assessments of different aspects of the reforms following the 2012 Financial Surveillance Strategy. Some of these have been conducted jointly with the Standard Setting Bodies.

Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Finance --- Macrofinancial analysis --- Financial Sector Assessment Program --- Stress testing --- Financial services industry --- Financial risk management

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The actions in this Management Implementation Plan aim at: • Strengthening financial and macrofinancial analysis in Article IV consultations • Refocusing FSAP country selection and scope • Increasing traction of multilateral surveillance • Enhancing the IMF’s macrofinancial analysis toolkit • Building financial skills and expertise at the Fund.

Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial risk management --- Financial Sector Assessment Program --- Financial sector risk --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Macroeconomics --- Macrofinancial analysis --- Macrofinancial linkages

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Fund surveillance has become better adapted to the global conjuncture, and more integrated and risk-based. The recommendations of the 2014 Triennial Surveillance Review (TSR) focused on helping members navigate the post crisis challenges. Bilateral and multilateral surveillance discussions are underpinned by a shared and deeper understanding of global interconnectedness and linkages across sectors. There has also been progress in core areas such as risk work, fiscal and external sector analysis, and in integration of macrofinancial analysis and of macrostructural policy work that aims to reinvigorate productivity and growth, and promote inclusiveness. The ongoing efforts to align surveillance inputs with risks is also enhancing the Fund’s ability to support members more effectively. Continuing efforts along several dimensions will be needed to further advance surveillance ahead of the 2019 Comprehensive Surveillance Review (CSR). These include planned refinements to external sector assessments, sustaining progress on macrofinancial surveillance, addressing data gaps, and incorporating lessons from pilot efforts including on macrofinancial, macrostructural and emerging issues. Efforts to meet surveillance challenges in low income countries also will continue. Outward spillover work, particularly from the largest economies, should receive greater prominence in Article IV reports. Further work is also needed to make policy advice more persuasive by better leveraging cross-country policy experiences and integrating technical assistance. Lessons from implementing the TSR recommendations should help ensure further progress. A major investment has been made to deepen the analysis that supports surveillance. With a dramatic increase in the range of analytical approaches and tools available, selectivity and tailoring are ever more crucial. The Fund’s internal processes have proven flexible enough to deliver on key areas, but will require continual adaptation to keep pace with evolving challenges. Strategies for human resources, capacity development, knowledge management, and data and statistics should further reinforce surveillance priorities. Looking ahead, the 2019 CSR will further anchor the Fund’s surveillance in a world of rapid technological change. The increased pace of technological progress could have far-reaching implications for the global economy, finance, and policy making, possibly fundamentally altering the surveillance landscape. Coupled with rising inequality and possible adoption of inward-looking policies, the impact on the membership could be profound. Engagement with members, stakeholders, and experts will be central in determining how the 2019 CSR will address these challenges.

Structural frames --- Data processing. --- Economic policy --- Exports and Imports --- Externalities --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Fiscal Policy --- Fiscal policy --- Income economics --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- International economics --- International finance --- Labor economics --- Labor Economics: General --- Labor --- Labour --- Macroeconomics --- Macrofinancial analysis --- Public Finance --- Spillovers --- Structural reforms

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In response to the Global Financial Crisis, the IMF launched many initiatives to strengthen financial surveillance and better advise member countries of vulnerabilities and risks. While these initiatives have not yet been tested by a major crisis, the efforts have delivered a substantial upgrade of the Fund’s financial surveillance, including giving the IMF clearer responsibilities over financial sector stability and cross-country spillovers; making periodic financial stability assessments mandatory for jurisdictions with systemically important financial sectors; invigorating efforts to integrate financial and macroeconomic analysis in bilateral and multilateral surveillance; enhancing cooperation with the Financial Stability Board and standard setting bodies to promote reforms and monitor agreed standards; and taking steps to recruit and train greater financial expertise. While recognizing these achievements, this evaluation finds that the quality and impact of the IMF’s financial surveillance has been uneven. The expansion of products and activities has presented the Fund with difficult trade-offs between bilateral and multilateral surveillance; between countries with systemically important financial sectors and other member countries; and between financial surveillance and other activities. Moreover, resource constraints have slowed the needed build-up of financial and macrofinancial expertise. These are critical issues, given the IMF’s position as the only international financial institution with the mandate and ability to conduct financial and macrofinancial surveillance over the full range of countries as well as the global economy, and given that these issues are at the core of the IMF’s responsibilities. Thus, to further strengthen financial surveillance, the evaluation recommends devoting greater resources to financial surveillance overall; further strengthening financial and macrofinancial analysis in Article IV surveillance; refining resource allocation for FSAPs; enhancing rigor and transparency in multilateral surveillance; intensifying efforts to be a global center of excellence on financial and macrofinancial research; and extending efforts to develop financial expertise among IMF staff.

Capital and Ownership Structure --- Crisis management --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Financial Risk Management --- Financial risk management --- Financial Sector Assessment Program --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector risk --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- Financing Policy --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Goodwill --- Human capital --- Income economics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Labor economics --- Labor Economics: General --- Labor --- Labour --- Macroeconomics --- Macrofinancial analysis --- Stress testing --- Value of Firms --- United States