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The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the magnitude of the effect being a function of the intensity of political instability. The results also show that the recovery of output over the medium-term depends on the ability of the country to implement, in the aftermath of a social instability episode, reforms aimed at improving the level of governance. The results are robust to different checks and estimation strategies.
Political stability. --- Economic development --- Destabilization (Political science) --- Political instability --- Stability, Political --- Consensus (Social sciences) --- Legitimacy of governments --- Political aspects. --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: General --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Production growth --- Production --- Economic theory --- Egypt, Arab Republic of
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The aim of this paper is to analyze the relationship between labor market flexibility and unemployment outcomes. Using a panel of 97 countries from 1985 to 2008, the results of the paper suggest that improvements in labor market flexibility have a statistically and significant negative impact on unemployment outcomes (over unemployment, youth unemployment and long-term unemployment). Among the different labor market flexibility indicators analyzed, hiring and firing regulations and hiring costs are found to have the strongest effect.
Labor market --- Unemployment --- Joblessness --- Employment (Economic theory) --- Full employment policies --- Labor supply --- Manpower policy --- Underemployment --- Employees --- Market, Labor --- Supply and demand for labor --- Markets --- Econometric models. --- Supply and demand --- Labor --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: General --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Particular Labor Markets: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor market flexibility --- Labor market institutions --- Labor markets --- Unemployment rate --- Income economics
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The paper shows that Asia's degree of financial integration, both with the world and within the region remains low by various measures. The paper also provides empirical evidence that greater financial integration can support economic rebalancing in statistically meaningful ways. The implication is that in the debate on managing capital inflows the longer-term benefits of financial openness for broader-based growth should not be forgotten.
Business & Economics --- Economic History --- Capital movements --- Asia --- Economic integration. --- Foreign economic relations. --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial Economics: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Finance --- Currency --- Financial integration --- Portfolio investment --- Foreign direct investment --- Financial sector development --- Exchange rates --- Financial markets --- Portfolio management --- Investments, Foreign --- Financial services industry --- Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China
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The aim of this paper is to analyze unemployment and labor market developments in Algeria and assess the factors that may hamper employment creation. The results of the paper suggest that the relative low output-employment elasticities and rigid labor market are the main factors behind the still high level of unemployment, particularly among the youth. Simulation analyses, based on the results on the relation between labor market institutions and unemployment, show that improvement in labor market conditions in Algeria would be key in reducing unemployment both in the short- and medium-term.
Unemployment --- Labor market --- Economic history. --- Joblessness --- Employment (Economic theory) --- Full employment policies --- Labor supply --- Manpower policy --- Underemployment --- Employees --- Market, Labor --- Supply and demand for labor --- Markets --- Economic conditions --- History, Economic --- Economics --- Econometric models. --- Supply and demand --- Algeria --- Economic conditions. --- Labor --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: General --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Employment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor markets --- Labor market flexibility --- Unemployment rate --- Economic theory --- Income economics
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Monthly economic statistical bulletins issued by central banks and national statistical offices, the focus of this study, are well established in countries with advanced statistical systems. Such bulletins present a synopsis of current economic trends and cater to a broad group of users involved in policy, markets, media, and research. Compendium bulletins serve as a reference point, contribute to public economic knowledge and transparency, and can add to international visibility. The authors find that only about half of developing countries produce monthly bulletins. Based on experience in industrial countries and a survey of 22 successful bulletins from developing countries, this paper highlights the role of such bulletins and discusses selected aspects of their content, production, and dissemination.
Banks and Banking --- Data Transmission Systems --- Macroeconomics --- Statistics --- Relation of Economics to Social Values --- Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- Labor Economics: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Banking --- Data capture & analysis --- Labour --- income economics --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Data dissemination --- Economic and financial statistics --- Labor --- Banks and banking --- Data transmission systems --- Labor economics --- Economic statistics --- United States --- Income economics
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Using a sample of 97 countries spanning the period 1980?2008, we estimate that financial crises have a large negative impact on unemployment in the short term, but that this effect rapidly disappears in the medium term in countries with flexible labor market institutions, whereas the impact of financial crises is less pronounced but more persistent in countries with more rigid labor market institutions. These effects are even larger for youth unemployment in the short term and long-term unemployment in the medium term. Conversely, large upfront, or gradual but significant, comprehensive labor market policies have a positive impact on unemployment, albeit only in the medium term.
Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- Financial crises --- Unemployment --- Labor market --- Manpower policy. --- Econometric models. --- Employment policy --- Human resource development --- Labor market policy --- Manpower utilization --- Employees --- Market, Labor --- Supply and demand for labor --- Joblessness --- Crashes, Financial --- Crises, Financial --- Financial crashes --- Financial panics --- Panics (Finance) --- Stock exchange crashes --- Stock market panics --- Government policy --- Supply and demand --- Labor policy --- Labor supply --- Trade adjustment assistance --- Markets --- Employment (Economic theory) --- Full employment policies --- Manpower policy --- Right to labor --- Underemployment --- Crises --- Labor --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: General --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Particular Labor Markets: General --- Labor Economics Policies --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor market flexibility --- Labor market institutions --- Labor markets --- Denmark --- Income economics
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The aim of this paper is to provide new estimates of employment-output elasticities and assess the effect of structural and macroeocnomic policies on the employment-intensity of growth. Using an unbalanced panel of 167 countries over the period 1991 - 2009, the results suggest that structural policies aimed at increasing labor and product market flexibility and reducing government size have a significant and positive impact on employment elasticities. In addition, the results also suggest that in order to maximize the positive impact on the responsiveness of employment to economic activity, structural policies have to be complemented with macroeconomic policies aimed at increasing macroeconomic stability.
Business & Economics --- Labor & Workers' Economics --- Job creation. --- Full employment policies. --- Creating jobs --- Employment creation --- Economic policy --- Employment stabilization --- Unemployment --- Full employment policies --- Labor market --- Econometric models --- E-books --- Employees --- Market, Labor --- Supply and demand for labor --- Markets --- Supply and demand --- Finance: General --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: General --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Employment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labor Economics Policies --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Labour --- income economics --- Finance --- Labor market policy --- Commodity markets --- Labor markets --- Structural policies --- Financial markets --- Macrostructural analysis --- Economic theory --- Manpower policy --- Commodity exchanges --- New Zealand --- Income economics
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This paper estimates the potential output (and the output gap) in Chile using several different methodologies. After a structural brake in 1998, the average growth rate of potential output in Chile declined from over 7 percent to 3-4 percent in the aggregate economy, but to less than 2 percent in the natural resource sector. The contributions to aggregate potential output growth of the natural resource sector and the non-natural resource sector are estimated, finding that the contribution to growth of the natural resource sector is non-linear-increasing during the 1990s, declining during the 2000s, and turning negative in the mid-2000s-despite the monotonic decrease in the share of natural resource output in aggregate output.
Input-output analysis --- Economic development --- Natural resources --- National resources --- Resources, Natural --- Resource-based communities --- Resource curse --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Interindustry economics --- Economics, Mathematical --- National income --- Input-output tables --- Econometric models. --- Economic aspects --- Accounting --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Natural Resources --- Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth --- Environmental Accounts --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Other --- General Outlook and Conditions --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics --- Environmental and Ecological Economics: General --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- Labor Economics: General --- Environmental management --- Labour --- income economics --- Potential output --- Output gap --- Total factor productivity --- Labor --- Environment --- Economic theory --- Industrial productivity --- Labor economics --- Chile --- Income economics
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