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This paper focuses on the estimation of skill/industry premiums and labor force composition at the national and sector levels in seven East Asian countries with the objective of providing a comprehensive analysis of trends in demand for skills in the region. The paper addresses the following questions: Are there converging or diverging trends in the region regarding the evolution of skill premiums and labor force composition? Are changes in skill premiums generalized or industry-related? How have industry premiums evolved? The analysis uses labor and household surveys going back at least 10 years. The main trends emerging from the analysis are: (a) increasing proportions of skilled/educated workers over the long run across the region; (b) generally increasing demand for skills in the region; (c) the service sector has become the most important driver of demand for skills for all countries (except Thailand); (d) countries can be broadly categorized into three groups in relation to trends and patterns of demand for skills (Indonesia, Philippines, and Thailand; Vietnam and China; and Cambodia and Mongolia); and (e) industry premiums have increased in three countries of the region (Philippines, Thailand, and Cambodia). These trends point to several policy implications, including that governments should focus on policies promoting access to education to address the increasing demand for skills and/or persistent skill shortages; support general rather than specific curricula given broad-based increases in skill premiums in most countries; better tailor curriculum design and content and pedagogical approaches to the needs of the service sector; and target some social protection programs to unskilled workers to protect them from the "unequalizing" impact of education.
Drivers --- Education --- Education For All --- Household surveys --- Income inequalities --- Jobs --- Labor demand --- Labor force --- Labor market --- Labor market segmentation --- Labor Markets --- Labor reallocation --- Productivity growth --- Secondary Education --- Service sector --- Skill premiums --- Skill shortages --- Skill upgrading --- Skill-biased technologies --- Skilled labor --- Social Protections and Labor --- Tertiary Education --- Unskilled workers --- Wage premiums --- Water and Industry --- Water Resources --- Workers
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This paper focuses on the estimation of skill/industry premiums and labor force composition at the national and sector levels in seven East Asian countries with the objective of providing a comprehensive analysis of trends in demand for skills in the region. The paper addresses the following questions: Are there converging or diverging trends in the region regarding the evolution of skill premiums and labor force composition? Are changes in skill premiums generalized or industry-related? How have industry premiums evolved? The analysis uses labor and household surveys going back at least 10 years. The main trends emerging from the analysis are: (a) increasing proportions of skilled/educated workers over the long run across the region; (b) generally increasing demand for skills in the region; (c) the service sector has become the most important driver of demand for skills for all countries (except Thailand); (d) countries can be broadly categorized into three groups in relation to trends and patterns of demand for skills (Indonesia, Philippines, and Thailand; Vietnam and China; and Cambodia and Mongolia); and (e) industry premiums have increased in three countries of the region (Philippines, Thailand, and Cambodia). These trends point to several policy implications, including that governments should focus on policies promoting access to education to address the increasing demand for skills and/or persistent skill shortages; support general rather than specific curricula given broad-based increases in skill premiums in most countries; better tailor curriculum design and content and pedagogical approaches to the needs of the service sector; and target some social protection programs to unskilled workers to protect them from the "unequalizing" impact of education.
Drivers --- Education --- Education For All --- Household surveys --- Income inequalities --- Jobs --- Labor demand --- Labor force --- Labor market --- Labor market segmentation --- Labor Markets --- Labor reallocation --- Productivity growth --- Secondary Education --- Service sector --- Skill premiums --- Skill shortages --- Skill upgrading --- Skill-biased technologies --- Skilled labor --- Social Protections and Labor --- Tertiary Education --- Unskilled workers --- Wage premiums --- Water and Industry --- Water Resources --- Workers
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This paper investigates the occupational mobility and job quality of young people in Indonesia and relates this to the concept of "scarring." The concept of labor market scarring in this paper is the occurrence of low or zero returns to certain types of work (for example, self-employment). Scarring is expected to occur whenever an individual spends periods working in occupations in which their human capital is either stagnant or deteriorating. Fixed effects estimations using panel data from the Indonesian Family Life Survey reveal that a period in self-employment is associated with negative returns for youth (about 3 to 4 percent per year penalty), but not for older adults. In addition, there are clear patterns of persistence in self-employment over time with few individuals progressing from petty self-employment to businesses with permanent workers.
Adult males --- Aggregate unemployment --- Casual worker --- College graduate --- Contingent workers --- Displaced workers --- Earning --- Earnings losses --- Educational attainment --- Employee --- Employment outcomes --- Employment probability --- Employment prospects --- Employment status --- Expected wages --- Family labor --- Full time job --- Health insurance --- Household characteristics --- Human capital --- Human resource --- Informal employment --- Informal sector --- Job --- Job creation --- Job match --- Job search --- Job security --- Job separation --- Job status --- Job training --- Labor --- Labor contract --- Labor economics --- Labor force --- Labor management & relations --- Labor market --- Labor market characteristics --- Labor market experience --- Labor market outcomes --- Labor market segmentation --- Labor markets --- Labor policies --- Labor productivity --- Labor relations --- Labor standards --- Labour --- Labour market --- Long term wage --- Occupational mobility --- Older workers --- Permanent employment --- Permanent worker --- Permanent workers --- Private sector --- Private sector workers --- Public sector employment --- Safety net --- Salaried employment --- Self-employed --- Self-employment --- Social protections and labor --- Temporary work --- Temporary workers --- Unemployed --- Unemployed individual --- Unemployed youth --- Unemployment --- Unemployment rate --- Wage differentials --- Wage effects --- Wage employment --- Wage growth --- Wage impact --- Wage rates --- Wage sector --- Wage subsidies --- Work experience --- Worker --- Workers --- Working conditions --- Youth employment --- Youth unemployment
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