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"This book analyses North Korea's foreign policy towards the United States during the Kim Jong Il era. Throughout these years, North Korea sought but failed to normalise diplomatic relations with the United States. Making use of theories of bargaining and learning in International Relations, the book explains how the inability of the Kim Jong Il government to correctly understand domestic politics in Washington and developments in East Asian international relations contributed to this failure. As a result, Pyongyang accelerated development of nuclear weapons programme with the aim of strengthening its negotiating position with the US. However, towards the end of the Kim Jong Il government it became unclear whether North Korea is willing to reverse its nuclear programme in exchange for normal diplomatic relations with the United States. The book includes material from over 60 interviews with American, Chinese, Japanese, Korean and Russian policy-makers and experts who have dealt with North Korea. It also analyses in detail Pyongyang's official media articles published during the Kim Jong Il era.This work will be of great interest to students and scholars of US Foreign Policy, Korean Politics and International Relations alike"--
USA--FOREIGN RELATIONS--KOREA (NORTH) --- KOREA (NORTH)--FOREIGN RELATIONS--USA --- KOREA (NORTH)--FOREIGN RELATIONS --- Kim, Chŏng-il, - 1942-2011 --- United States - Foreign relations - Korea (North) --- Korea (North) - Foreign relations - United States --- Korea (North) - Foreign relations --- United States --- Korea (North)
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How and why are the Kims rational ? There is no consensus about either the Kims' rationality or how best to determine if they are rational actors. This book offers a concise and finite method to assess rationality by examining over ten cases of provocations from the Korean War to the 2015 land mine incident. The author asserts that Kim II-sung was predominantly a rational actor, though the regime behaved irrationally at times under his rule, and that both Kim Jong-Il and Kim Jong-un have clearly been rational actors. As a rational actor, Kim Jong-un is unlikely to give up his nuclear weapons. This book argues that Kim can be deterred from using them if the United States demonstrates its willingness to coexist with his regime and pursues long-term engagement to reduce Kim's concern that North Korea's sovereignty needs defending from U.S. hostile policy. This could allow gradual social change within the country that could eventually lead to positive systemic change as well as soften Kim's rule. In this regard, time may be on the side of the U.S.-South Korean alliance, but the two allies must embrace the long view and learn to be more patient or risk another conflict on the Korean Peninsula.
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The author contends here that Kim Jong-un's consolidation of power at home and the leveraging of Beijing, Moscow, Seoul, Washington, and others abroad show that he is not a madman and has consistently been underestimated.
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