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Book
Can They Do It All? Fiscal Space in Low-Income Countries
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1475599226 9781475599220 1475599048 9781475599046 1475599196 Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

According to U.N. estimates, low-income countries will have to increase their annual public spending by up to 30 percent of GDP to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), raising the question of whether they can do it all. This paper develops a new metric of fiscal space in low-income countries that accounts for macroeconomic uncertainty, allowing us to assess whether those spending needs can be accommodated. Illustrative simulations based on this methodology imply that, even under benign conditions, the fiscal space available in lowincome countries is likely insufficient to undertake the spending needed to achieve the SDGs. Improving public investment efficiency and domestic revenue mobilization can somewhat narrow the gap but it will require major efforts relative to recent trends.


Book
Public Expenditure in Latin America : Trends and Key Policy Issues
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462362907 1452710775 1283516551 9786613829009 145191038X Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines trends in government spending in Latin America from the mid-1990s to 2006. It also examines key policy issues, including the cyclicality of spending, public investment, public employment, and social expenditures. It finds that primary expenditures have trended upward for the past ten years as a share of GDP, driven by increases in current spending, in particular for social expenditures. Fluctuations in real spending have continued to follow a procyclical pattern. The paper finds that there is substantial scope to improve the efficiency of public investment, public employment, and social spending.


Book
Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1462342639 1452765189 1283556901 1451982003 9786613869357 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper assesses, using seven structural models used heavily by policymaking institutions, the effectiveness of temporary fiscal stimulus. Models can, more easily than empirical studies, account for differences between fiscal instruments, for differences between structural characteristics of the economy, and for monetary-fiscal policy interactions. Findings are: (i) There is substantial agreement across models on the sizes of fiscal multipliers. (ii) The sizes of spending and targeted transfers multipliers are large. (iii) Fiscal policy is most effective if it has some persistence and if monetary policy accommodates it. (iv) The perception of permanent fiscal stimulus leads to significantly lower initial multipliers.


Book
Public Investment as a Fiscal Stimulus : Evidence from Japan’s Regional Spending During the 1990s
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462393071 1455288896 1283554178 9786613866622 1455246409 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

How effective was public investment in stimulating the Japanese economy during the economic stagnation of the 1990s? Using a dataset of regional public investment spending, we find that investment multipliers were higher than for public consumption, although they were relatively low and declining over time. The paper also finds that the effectiveness of economic infrastructure investment, implemented mainly by the central government, is lower than that of social investment mostly undertaken by local governments. These results suggest that while public investment may yield higher output effects than other spending, its effectiveness depends upon its composition, the level of government implementation, and supply side factors.


Book
Kyrgyz Republic : Ex Post Assessment of Longer-Term Program Engagement.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455227862 1452780722 1280888016 1451883056 9786613729323 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This Ex Post Assessment of Longer-Term Program Engagement for the Kyrgyz Republic explains macroeconomic and structural performance. External debt service claimed a steadily increasing share of fiscal revenues, but a strengthened commitment to prudent fiscal policies and improved policy capacity have helped to turn around macroeconomic performance. Fiscal policy must deliver on its revenue targets, while addressing poverty and servicing large external debt obligations. Debt reduction must continue to be a main objective of any IMF-supported program.


Book
A Noteon Debt Reduction and Echonomic Efficiency.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462309690 1455213136 Year: 1990 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This note examines the efficiency gains that might result from market-based debt reduction and alternative uses of resources. It is argued that when a country’s expected output falls short of contractual claims on that output, private investment is drawn to activities that protect the investors’ share of future output at the expense of activities that increase future output. Resources provided by a third party could reduce this gap through market-based debt reduction or by supporting government investment or consumption. Given considerable uncertainty about the efficiency returns of alternative uses of resources, it seems likely that an optimal strategy would include both debt reduction and government investment.


Book
Public Investment and Public-Private Partnerships
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462392628 1452766509 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Over the past three decades, public spending on infrastructure, as a share of GDP, has been on the decline worldwide. Although the link between infrastructure investment and economic growth is not yet fully understood, the quality of infrastructure clearly affects a country's productivity, competitiveness in export markets, and ability to attract foreign investment. This EI explores the following questions: Should countries increase public investment in infrastructure? If the answer is yes, how can they do so in a fiscally responsible manner? Are public-private partnerships a viable alternative?.


Book
Inversión pública y asociaciones público-privadas
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1455258997 1451985533 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Durante las últimas tres décadas, el gasto público en infraestructura, como porcentaje del PIB, ha estado disminuyendo en todo el mundo. Aunque la relación entre la inversión en infraestructura y el crecimiento económico aún no se comprende cabalmente, la calidad de la infraestructura afecta sin lugar a dudas a la productividad de un país, la competitividad en los mercados de exportación y la capacidad para atraer inversiones extranjeras. Este estudio analiza las siguientes preguntas: ¿Deberían los países aumentar la inversión pública en infraestructura? Si la respuesta es sí, ¿cómo pueden hacerlo de una manera que sea responsable desde el punto de vista fiscal? ¿Son las asociaciones público-privadas una alternativa viable?.


Book
Public Investment and Public-Private Partnerships
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1455274135 1452729166 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Over the past three decades, public spending on infrastructure, as a share of GDP, has been on the decline worldwide. Although the link between infrastructure investment and economic growth is not yet fully understood, the quality of infrastructure clearly affects a country's productivity, competitiveness in export markets, and ability to attract foreign investment. This EI explores the following questions: Should countries increase public investment in infrastructure? If the answer is yes, how can they do so in a fiscally responsible manner? Are public-private partnerships a viable alternative?.


Book
Aid Effectiveness : A Survey of the Recent Empirical Literature
Author:
ISBN: 1455252905 1455278041 145197485X Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The preponderance of evidence from the empirical literature on aid effectiveness suggests that development aid has not had a significant impact on growth in recipient countries. However, there is some evidence that aid has had positive effects when the policy environment has been conducive to growth. Regarding the relationship between aid and the main channels through which its impact on growth could flow—investment and domestic saving—the evidence is mixed, with some indication that aid has had a positive impact where adjustment efforts have been sustained.

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