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This paper examines the ability of alternative classes of growth models to explain the historical experience of the U.S. economy. The potential returns to the U.S. from raising its investment rate in terms of both the level and growth rate of future output are then quantified. The long-run growth performance of the U.S. economy is found to be broadly consistent with the predictions of the neoclassical growth model. Endogenous growth models, which suggest a larger contribution of capital to growth and long-run effects of investment on the growth rate, do not seem to be supported by the data.
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Capital income --- Capital productivity --- Economic theory & philosophy --- Economic Theory --- Economic theory --- Employment --- Income economics --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Labor economics --- Labor Economics: General --- Labor --- Labour --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Production --- National accounts --- Neoclassical school of economics --- Neoclassical theory --- Neoclassical through 1925 (Austrian, Marshallian, Walrasian, Wicksellian) --- Production and Operations Management --- Production growth --- Production --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Working capital --- United States
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The paper reviews Djibouti’s macroeconomic reforms aimed at achieving middle-income status as envisaged in Vision Djibouti 2035, the authorities’ development strategy. In this context, the paper reviews policy options available to the authorities in three critical reform areas: translating the investment boom into strong and inclusive growth to reduce poverty and unemployment; fiscal policy to support growth while preserving debt sustainability; and the important role of the business climate in growth acceleration.
Macroeconomics. --- Economics --- Corporate Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Measurement and Analysis of Poverty --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Financial Institutions and Services: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Poverty & precarity --- Public debt --- Poverty --- Fiscal space --- Business environment --- Expenditure --- Fiscal policy --- Economic sectors --- Debts, Public --- Business enterprises --- Expenditures, Public --- Djibouti
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This paper reviews the significant macro-fiscal challenges posed by climate change in Djibouti and the costs of mitigation and adaptation policies. The paper concludes that Djibouti is susceptible to climate change and related costs are potentially large. Investing now in adaptation and mitigation has large benefits in terms of reducing the related costs in the future. Reforms to generate the fiscal space are therefore needed and investment for mitigation and adaptation to climate change should be built into the long-term fiscal projections. Finally, concerted international efforts and stepping up regional cooperation could help moderate climate-related macro-fiscal risks.
Macroeconomics --- Environmental Economics --- Natural Disasters --- Demography --- Energy --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Measurement and Analysis of Poverty --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Fiscal Policy --- Demographic Economics: General --- Environmental Economics: General --- Alternative Energy Sources --- Climate change --- Natural disasters --- Population & demography --- Environmental economics --- Environmental management --- Fiscal space --- Population and demographics --- Environment --- Climate finance --- Fiscal policy --- Renewable energy --- Climatic changes --- Population --- Renewable energy sources --- Djibouti
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Low-income economies face negative shocks whose frequency and disproportionate impact overcome growth trajectories, producing a negative drift. COVID-19 was the latest such episode. To escape this negative drift, and build a durable recovery, there is a need for a counter-balancing force: to construct a positive shock. Growth is realized through decisions that fall under two categories, routine and non-linear. While routine decisions modify existing economic behavior along the same path, non-linear decisions describe riskier options that involve transformation. Option pricing theory can be useful to describe the latter, and construct the positive shock required to escape the negative drift.
Asset prices --- Capacity --- Capital --- Communicable diseases --- Covid-19 --- Currency crises --- Deflation --- Diseases: Contagious --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth: General --- Economics of specific sectors --- Economics --- Economics: General --- Health Behavior --- Health --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Inflation --- Informal sector --- Intangible Capital --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Investment --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- National accounts --- Price Level --- Prices --- Return on investment --- Saving and investment
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The paper suggests an operationally usable framework for the evaluation of growth inclusiveness—the inclusive growth framework (IGF). Based on the data on growth, poverty, and inequality, the framework allows for the quantitative assessment of growth inclusiveness. The assessment relies on the decomposition of the change in poverty into growth, distribution, and decile effects, which can be calculated using the Distributive Analysis Stata Package (DASP). Availability of at least two household surveys is the main precondition for the use of the IGF. The application of the IGF is illustrated with two country cases of Senegal and Djibouti.
Cities and towns --- Growth, Urban --- Sprawl, Urban --- Urban development --- Urban growth --- Urban sprawl --- Migration, Internal --- Population --- Vital statistics --- Growth. --- Macroeconomics --- Social Services and Welfare --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Measurement and Analysis of Poverty --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General --- Government Policy --- Provision and Effects of Welfare Program --- Poverty & precarity --- Economic growth --- Social welfare & social services --- Poverty --- Income inequality --- Personal income --- Inclusive growth --- Poverty reduction --- National accounts --- Income distribution --- Income --- Economic development --- Senegal
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The paper examines the poverty-reducing and distributional characteristics of Djibouti’s economic growth, and discusses policies that might help make growth more inclusive. It covers the period between 2002 and 2013, for which comparable household surveys are available. The main findings are that while in the past decade the overall level of poverty in Djibouti declined, there have been no clear signs of improvements in either equality or growth inclusiveness. Growth has not been inclusive and benefitted mainly those in the upper part of the income distribution. These conclusions should be treated as indicative. Progress in poverty reduction and inclusiveness would require not only sustained high growth but also the creation of opportunities in sectors with high earning potential for the poor. Better targeted social policies and more attention to the regional distribution of spending would also help reduce poverty and improve inclusiveness.
Economic development. --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Economic development --- E-books --- Macroeconomics --- Social Services and Welfare --- Demography --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Measurement and Analysis of Poverty --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Government Policy --- Provision and Effects of Welfare Program --- Demographic Economics: General --- Poverty & precarity --- Social welfare & social services --- Population & demography --- Poverty --- Income inequality --- Poverty reduction --- Population and demographics --- Income --- National accounts --- Income distribution --- Population --- Djibouti
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Non-oil growth in the CFA oil exporting countries has been lackluster despite their great natural resource wealth. In this paper we study the key determinants of non-oil growth and explore to what extent these countries differ from countries with comparable levels of development that do not depend on nonrenewable resources. Using a panel of 38 countries comprising LICs and CFA zone oil exporters, we find that while real exchange rate appreciation negatively impacted growth in all countries over the period 1985-2008, what distinguishes the oil producers of the CFA zone is the failure of public and private investment to spur non-oil growth.
Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Econometric models. --- Investments: Energy --- Foreign Exchange --- Investments: General --- Public Finance --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Economic Growth of Open Economies --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Energy: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Investment & securities --- Macroeconomics --- Public investment spending --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Real exchange rates --- Oil --- Private investment --- Expenditure --- Commodities --- National accounts --- Public investments --- Public-private sector cooperation --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Saving and investment --- Central African Republic
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The paper examines Senegal’s growth performance from the perspective of its povertyreducing and distributional characteristics, and discusses policies that might help make growth more inclusive. The main findings are that poverty has fallen in the last two decades, but poverty reduction has slowed in recent years. Although available indicators sometimes give conflicting signals on distributional shifts, people in the middle of the income distribution have received the most benefit, mainly in urban areas. Further progress in poverty reduction and inclusiveness would require sustained high growth and exploration of growth opportunities in the sectors with high earning potential for the poor. Better-targeted social policies and more attention to the regional distribution of spending would also help reduce poverty and improve inclusiveness.
Income distribution --- Poverty --- Destitution --- Wealth --- Basic needs --- Begging --- Poor --- Subsistence economy --- Distribution of income --- Income inequality --- Inequality of income --- Distribution (Economic theory) --- Disposable income --- Government policy --- Senegal --- Economic policy. --- Macroeconomics --- Social Services and Welfare --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Demography --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Measurement and Analysis of Poverty --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Government Policy --- Provision and Effects of Welfare Program --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Demographic Economics: General --- Poverty & precarity --- Social welfare & social services --- Population & demography --- Poverty reduction --- Income --- Consumption --- National accounts --- Population and demographics --- Economics --- Population
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This paper analyzes the existence of “wealth effects” derived from net equity (in the form of housing, financial assets, and total net worth) on consumption. The study uses longitudinal household-level data?from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) ?covering about 7,000-9,000 households in the U.S., with the estimations carried over the period 1999-2017. Overall, wealth effects are found to be relatively large and significant for housing wealth, but less so for other types of wealth, including stocks. Furthermore, the analysis shows how these estimated marginal propensities to consume (MPC) from wealth are closely linked to household characteristics, including income and demographic factors. Finally, underlying structural changes in household characteristics point to potentially lower aggregate MPCs from wealth going forward.
Consumption (Economics) --- Consumer demand --- Consumer spending --- Consumerism --- Spending, Consumer --- Demand (Economic theory) --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- Real Estate --- Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis --- Personal Finance --- Household Behavior and Family Economics: Other --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Demographic Economics: General --- Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics: Household Analysis: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Property & real estate --- Income --- Consumption --- Housing prices --- Household consumption --- National accounts --- Prices --- Economics --- Saving and investment --- United States
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We examine the impact of digitalization on people’s perceptions of women as political leaders in 34 Sub-Saharan African countries. We find that being a social media or internet user is linked to a higher likelihood of people supporting gender equality in political leadership. However, the intensive margin of usage does not appear to be significant. Furthermore, women’s perceptions of gender equality in political leadership are more sensitive to internet and social media use than men’s. The paper recommends policies for improving ICT infrastructure and investing in technological education.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Web: Social Media --- Women''s Studies' --- Gender Studies --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General --- Economics of Gender --- Non-labor Discrimination --- Economywide Country Studies: Africa --- Economic Sociology --- Economic Anthropology --- Language --- Social and Economic Stratification --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Social media --- social networking --- Gender studies --- women & girls --- Social discrimination & equal treatment --- Information technology industries --- Gender studies, gender groups --- Social networks --- Technology --- Women --- Gender --- Gender inequality --- Digitalization --- Gender diversity --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Sex discrimination --- Information technology --- Sex role --- Social networking --- Women & girls --- Women's Studies
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