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The first review of Maldives’ economic performance under the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) and the Arrangement under the Exogenous Shocks Facility is discussed. The fiscal deficit in 2009 was estimated at 26¼ percent of GDP, 2½ percentage points lower than previously projected. The growth of monetary aggregates slowed down in line with projections. A key risk concerns the ability of the government to maintain the public sector wage cuts. A negative outcome on this would have a large fiscal impact.
International monetary fund -- Maldives. --- Maldives -- Economic conditions. --- Maldives -- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Labor --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Exports and Imports --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Public finance & taxation --- Monetary economics --- Labour --- income economics --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- International economics --- Monetary base --- Public sector wages --- Government debt management --- Money --- Public financial management (PFM) --- External debt --- Money supply --- Wages --- Debts, Public --- Banks and banking --- Debts, External --- Maldives --- Economic conditions. --- Economic policy.
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This paper examines the Maldives’ 2009 Article IV Consultation on economic developments and policies. The Maldivian economy is facing large external and fiscal imbalances, resulting from the severe impact of the global financial crisis and exacerbated by an unsustainable fiscal expansion. The global crisis has led to sharp declines in tourism and related investment, other net capital flows, and exports. This has caused a significant fall in fiscal revenue, compounding a large increase in public spending, and pushed the economy into recession. A rising share of the resulting fiscal deficit has been financed by monetization.
International monetary fund -- Maldives. --- Maldives -- Economic conditions. --- Maldives -- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Labor --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Civil service & public sector --- Banking --- External debt --- Public debt --- Fiscal consolidation --- Expenditure --- Fiscal policy --- Civil service --- Debts, External --- Debts, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Maldives --- Foreign exchange rates --- Monetary policy --- Economic forecasting --- International Monetary Fund --- Economic conditions. --- Economic conditions
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This 2014 Article IV Consultation highlights that Maldives’ real economy has picked up. Growth is estimated to have reached 5 percent in 2014 with stronger tourism activity driven by a rapid expansion from Asian markets and a tepid recovery from Europe. The IMF staff expects growth to be about 5 percent in 2015. Weaker import prices have pushed down inflation to low levels. Growth is expected to remain relatively strong in the near term, though the fiscal adjustment envisaged in the 2015 Budget will have a mildly negative effect on growth.
Economic development -- Maldives. --- Fiscal policy -- Maldives. --- International monetary fund -- Maldives. --- Maldives -- Economic conditions. --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Industries: Hospital,Travel and Tourism --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Sports --- Gambling --- Restaurants --- Recreation --- Tourism --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Hospitality, leisure & tourism industries --- Finance --- Public debt --- External debt --- Current account deficits --- Expenditure --- Economic sectors --- Balance of payments --- Debts, Public --- Debts, External --- Fiscal policy --- Maldives
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