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This paper analyzes the causes of growth of Africa’s debt burden, and discusses the factors that induced African countries to seek external loans as well as the factors affecting the supply of external financing. The paper studies the development of some measures of debt burden for different categories of African debtors, and arrives at a hypothesis regarding feasible levels of debt and debt service ratios. In a final section, the paper discusses the options for debt relief using a simulation of payments ability.
Debt burden --- Debt service ratios --- Debt service --- Debts, External --- Exports and Imports --- Exports --- External debt --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- International trade --- Trade: General --- Nigeria
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This paper looks at the factors that have to be considered when designing an aggregate expenditure ceiling. It is argued that expenditure ceilings are effective in promoting fiscal discipline and sustainability, but that a number of trade-offs have to be made when setting up a fiscal framework that will survive in a politically charged environment. The paper illustrates the discussion with a case study of medium-term aggregate expenditure ceilings in three countries: Finland, the Netherlands and Sweden.
Budgeting --- Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Fiscal Policy --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Public finance & taxation --- Budgeting & financial management --- International economics --- Expenditure --- Budget planning and preparation --- Interest payments --- Fiscal governance --- Public financial management (PFM) --- External debt --- Fiscal policy --- Prices --- Expenditures, Public --- Budget --- Debt service --- Netherlands, The
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This paper discusses the role of government expenditure policies in the decline in aggregate output in European transition economies. It is argued that there is little evidence for the hypothesis that more expansionary expenditure policies would have helped to mitigate the output decline. While measurement problems allow for very preliminary conclusions, it appears that government expenditures were, generally, not a binding constraint for output. In those cases where it could be argued that government expenditures were a binding constraint, they were usually not the only one. Government expenditure levels still remain on the high side, at least when compared with European market-based economies, and there exists few reasons for pursuing expansionary expenditure policies to lift European transition economies out of the “transitional recession.” While raising expenditure levels per se is an unappealing policy choice, a further reordering of expenditure priorities is desirable. In particular, increases in the share of government expenditures on capital--human and physical--are needed to improve long-run output potential.
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Capital investments --- Capital spending --- Debt service --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Exports and Imports --- External debt --- Government subsidies --- Income --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Subsidies --- Poland, Republic of
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This paper traces the causes of the rapid growth of India’s public debt, with special reference to internal debt. It then demonstrates that the growth of debt would become unsustainable by the end of the 1990s if the present trends continue. It develops a methodology to iterate the path of growth of debt to discover the sustainable level of the primary deficit. Finally, it suggests concrete measures to bring down the primary deficit.
Debt Management --- Debt service --- Debt --- Debts, Public --- Domestic debt --- Economic sectors --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Exports and Imports --- External debt --- Government business enterprises --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Macroeconomics --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Nationalization --- Nonprofit Organizations and Public Enterprise: General --- Public debt --- Public enterprises --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Public ownership --- Sovereign Debt --- India
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This paper outlines a procedure for calculating the cash value of “menu items” in debt restructuring proposals, including par and non-par exchanges, with enhancements consisting of either interest or principal guarantees. It is argued that under certain plausible assumptions interest and principal guarantees are directly equivalent to cash buy-backs. Using these assumptions, formulas to calculate the exchange ratios, resource requirements, interest rates, and net debt reduction for particular menu items are derived. It is shown that there is not a direct relationship between the exchange discount and the market price.
Currencies --- Debt Management --- Debt reduction --- Debt restructuring --- Debt service payments --- Debt service --- Debt --- Debts, External --- Exports and Imports --- Finance --- Financial Risk Management --- Government and the Monetary System --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Monetary economics --- Monetary Systems --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Money --- Payment Systems --- Regimes --- Sovereign Debt --- Standards
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This paper describes a simulation model that can serve as a basis for a developing country growth-oriented adjustment program. The model has been designed to provide explicit links between fiscal, monetary and exchange rate policies and major macroeconomic variables. While the model is applied to and solved for the case of Turkey, its simplicity and flexibility make it sufficiently general to be applicable to a wide range of countries. The model integrates demand-determined output with a supply side that responds to policies which affect investment and it allows the relative shares of domestic and foreign factors of production to be determined by their relative prices. The model is solved using Lotus 1-2-3, software that is familiar to Fund economists and which allows the user to quickly evaluate alternative assumptions and policies.
Debt Management --- Debt service --- Debt --- Debts, Public --- Disposable income --- Exports and Imports --- Exports --- External debt --- Government debt management --- Imports --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- International trade --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- National income --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Sovereign Debt --- Trade: General --- Turkey
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This paper develops a technique to value guarantees on interest payments on developing-country debt, and provides some preliminary estimates of the cost of such guarantees. The cost of interest payment guarantees is not directly observable because a guarantee is a contingent obligation that becomes effective only if the debtor fails to make a certain payment. The strategy adopted in this paper is to estimate the market price that an interest payment guarantee would have if such a contract existed and were traded in financial markets. Using results from option pricing theory it is possible to calculate the price that an “interest guarantee contract” would carry in financial markets on the basis of the price of developing-country debt in secondary markets.
Asset prices --- Capital market --- Debt service --- Deflation --- Exports and Imports --- External debt --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial institutions --- Financial markets --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Government securities --- Inflation --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Investment & securities --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Prices --- Securities markets --- Treasury bills and bonds --- United States
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The classical corporate profits tax in the United States involves non-neutralities between: different sources of financing; different forms of business organization; and retaining or distributing earnings and may result in the U.S. investor being at a disadvantage vis-à-vis foreign investors. An international comparison is provided, and the potential effects of different integration schemes on the user cost of capital and tax revenues are assessed. The integration of corporate and individual income taxes in the United States could lead to a more efficient domestic and worldwide allocation of resources.
Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Capital gains tax --- Corporate & business tax --- Corporate income tax --- Corporate Taxation --- Corporations --- Debt service --- Exports and Imports --- External debt --- Income and capital gains taxes --- Income tax systems --- Income tax --- Interest payments --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Taxation --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Taxes --- United States
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This paper highlights that there have been increasing signs of hesitancy in the pace of world economic expansion in the first half of 1985. In the United States, output growth declined to an average of 1 percent (at an annual rate) in the first two quarters of the year from 5.7 percent during 1984, and in other industrial countries, the pace of recovery was also generally subdued. Commodity prices fell significantly, thus weakening growth prospects in many developing countries.
Investments: Energy --- Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Trade: General --- Energy: General --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Price Level --- Deflation --- International economics --- Investment & securities --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Public finance & taxation --- Exports --- Oil --- Imports --- Interest payments --- Current account balance --- International trade --- Commodities --- External debt --- Balance of payments --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Prices --- United States
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Nearly all tax systems have some form of interest and tax penalty regimes. Interest payable on any late or underpayment of tax seeks to protect the present value of the tax amount to the government budget, whereas penalties are intended to deter taxpayers from defaulting on their tax obligations—and to punish them if they do—to achieve horizontal equity vis-à-vis compliant taxpayers. As interest and penalties serve very different objectives, they should not be applied in a mutually exclusive manner. This Tax Law IMF Technical Note focuses on the key issues that should be taken into consideration in designing interest and penalty regimes in tax legislations.
Debt service --- Exports and Imports --- External debt --- Income tax --- Interest payments --- Interest tax --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Law and legislation --- Legal support in revenue administration --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Revenue administration --- Revenue --- Tax administration and procedure --- Tax administration core functions --- Tax Law --- Tax law --- Tax policy --- Taxation & duties law --- Taxation --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Taxes --- South Africa
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