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This end-of-course thesis aims to demonstrate that the intangible capital of a firm is a long-term survival challenge for enterprises in the post-industrial era. Taking care of the intangible capital and developing it should be the Trojan horse of tomorrow's firms. In order to test the validity of our assumption, we reviewed the doctrine of the last twenty years on this topic. The authors who wrote on the concept of “intangible capital” allowed us to contextualize our subject with regard to the recent upheavals in our ways of living, working, consuming and thinking about time, space and the economy itself. It is more necessary than ever for all firms to adapt their business and way of working to the acceleration of all these changes. The firm’s resources that would enable an accurate and timely response to our changing world are precisely the intangible assets. In the last century, the intangible capital was like an iceberg, most scholars and valuation experts only perceived a small fraction of it. In the last decades, authors started to publish studies on the intangible capital, trying to define this concept, approach its key features and provide detailed overview of its main elements. Thanks to this theoretical progress, the intangible capital significantly gained in visibility. At the same time, new non-financial reporting obligations emerged and investments in intangible assets had the wind in their sails. The empirical research we carried out aimed at collecting the view of professionals active in the accounting, consulting or finance departments of their respective firms (company managers, auditors, consultants and financial controllers). We wanted to find out if they were aware of the immaterial capital issue, the difficulties to value this capital and the (potential) benefits a firm may trigger from investments in intangible assets. Our research revealed the growing importance of the development of the intangible capital of the firms. For 75% of the professionals interviewed, human capital is currently the most relevant criterion to ensure the sustainability of a company. 90% of the interviewees stressed that a company’s responsiveness to change is key for its long-term survival. Having a qualitative communication system and a well-qualified personnel are crucial for a company to improve its responsiveness to change. Both from our theoretical and empirical researches, it appears that the development of a company’s intangible capital is essential to ensure its sustainability in the post-industrial era.
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The paper presents a model of irreversible investment under uncertainty, where investment takes place whenever a threshold level of marginal returns is reached. The threshold depends positively on price volatility; a change from high to low inflation induces an upward capital stock adjustment. In economies that move in and out of temporary stabilizations, the observed effect is a negative inflation-investment correlation that replicates previous empirical findings, due to purely short-term dynamics. I study how this correlation is affected by the expected duration of each regime. Empirical evidence from ten inflationary economies confirms the predictions of the model.
Capacity --- Capital --- Consumer price indexes --- Deflation --- Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications --- Government policy --- Inflation --- Intangible Capital --- Investment --- Macroeconomics --- Price indexes --- Price Level --- Price stabilization --- Prices --- Argentina
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This technical assistance report on Vietnam discusses evaluation of revised estimates of gross domestic product, to ensure that the compilation process is aligned with the System of National Accounts 2008 (2008 SNA) and that the methodology employed for estimation is consistent and coherent. This mission noted that the revisions follow recommendations of previous missions to implement the 2008 SNA to cover research and development and software will be treated as part of gross fixed capital formation. It is particularly important to conduct outreach to public and private data users to help them to understand the reasons for the revisions. Revisions to statistics are needed to consider changes in data sources and the economic structure. Revisions are a normal and expected part of national accounts compilation, reflecting additional information and new economic developments.
Capacity --- Capital --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Gross fixed investment --- Intangible Capital --- Investment --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- National income --- Saving and investment --- Vietnam
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This paper extends the q-theory of investment to model explicitly the decision of firms to invest in intangibles and measures the contribution of intangible goods to the overall capital stock in the U.S. The model highlights the embodiment of intangible goods in tangibles and the role of relative price movements in the measurement of the contribution of each type of investment to the overall capital stock. The downward trend in the aggregate investment deflator series reported by national accounts is found to have a significant downward bias in the 90s. The model also shows that the growth in the overall capital stock from the late-80s until 2000 was driven mainly by an increase in the contribution of intangibles. However, the contribution of intangibles fell consistently after 2000. These results underscore the importance of accounting for the movements in the price of intangibles rather than focusing only on their rising share in overall investment.
Investments --- Stockholders --- Investments: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Professional Labor Markets --- Occupational Licensing --- Investment & securities --- Labour --- income economics --- Stocks --- Intangible capital --- National accounts --- Price indexes --- Skilled labor --- Saving and investment --- National income --- Labor market --- United States --- Income economics
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Productivity growth in Japan, as in most advanced economies, has moderated. This paper finds supportive evidence for the important role of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in explaining Japan’s modest productivity growth. Results show a substantial dispersion in firm-level productivity growth across sectors and even across firms within the same sector. SMEs, on average, exhibit lower productivity growth than non-SMEs in Japan, with smaller and older SMEs showing particularly low productivity growth. Estimates suggest that boosting productivity growth in all of the worst-performing SMEs could improve overall productivity growth by up to 1.8 percentage points. The SME credit guarantee system, SME financing constraints, demographic factors, and lack of intangible capital investment are discussed as contributors to the slow productivity growth of Japan’s small and old SMEs.
Industrial productivity --- Corporate Finance --- Investments: General --- Production and Operations Management --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Corporate Finance and Governance: General --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Macroeconomics --- Ownership & organization of enterprises --- Productivity --- Labor productivity --- Small and medium enterprises --- Intangible capital --- Production --- Economic sectors --- National accounts --- Small business --- Saving and investment --- Japan
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We contrast how monetary policy affects intangible relative to tangible investment. We document that the stock prices of firms with more intangible assets react less to monetary policy shocks, as identified from Fed Funds futures movements around FOMC announcements. Consistent with the stock price results, instrumental variable local projections confirm that the total investment in firms with more intangible assets responds less to monetary policy, and that intangible investment responds less to monetary policy compared to tangible investment. We identify two mechanisms behind these results. First, firms with intangible assets use less collateral, and therefore respond less to the credit channel of monetary policy. Second, intangible assets have higher depreciation rates, so interest rate changes affect their user cost of capital relatively less.
Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Monetary Policy --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Monetary economics --- Depreciation --- Intangible capital --- Asset prices --- Currencies --- Investment policy --- National accounts --- Prices --- Money --- Saving and investment --- United States
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We contrast how monetary policy affects intangible relative to tangible investment. We document that the stock prices of firms with more intangible assets react less to monetary policy shocks, as identified from Fed Funds futures movements around FOMC announcements. Consistent with the stock price results, instrumental variable local projections confirm that the total investment in firms with more intangible assets responds less to monetary policy, and that intangible investment responds less to monetary policy compared to tangible investment. We identify two mechanisms behind these results. First, firms with intangible assets use less collateral, and therefore respond less to the credit channel of monetary policy. Second, intangible assets have higher depreciation rates, so interest rate changes affect their user cost of capital relatively less.
United States --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Monetary Policy --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Monetary economics --- Depreciation --- Intangible capital --- Asset prices --- Currencies --- Investment policy --- National accounts --- Prices --- Money --- Saving and investment
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This paper proposes a model of contagious currency crises: crises transmit across countries by raising the risk premium on government bonds. Three types of equilibria can occur: a “no-collapse” equilibrium (crises never transmit from abroad); a “collapse” equilibrium (crises are inevitably contagious); or a “fundamentals” equilibrium (crises are contagious if domestic fundamentals are weak). A calibration exercise finds that the 1995 turmoil in Argentina coexisted with a combination of risk-averse investors and weak credibility in the currency board arrangement. This turmoil could only be attributed to a Tequila effect from the Mexican crisis alone if investors were excessively risk-averse.
Foreign Exchange --- Investments: General --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Exchange rates --- Return on investment --- Conventional peg --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Floating exchange rates --- National accounts --- Saving and investment --- Argentina
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This note examines interest rate linkages within the EMS. Cointegration tests suggest the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between German and other EMS interest rates. Bivariate VAR analysis finds that Granger-causality either stems from German to other European interest rates (Belgium, France, Spain, and the U.K.) or is bidirectional (Denmark and the Netherlands). When allowance is made for the influence of U.S. interest rates, the pattern of Granger causality is predominantly bidirectional.
Capacity --- Capital --- Currency --- Exchange rates --- Foreign Exchange --- Foreign exchange --- Intangible Capital --- International Policy Coordination and Transmission --- Investment --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- Return on investment --- Saving and investment --- Germany
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The trade-off between interest rate variability and the width of an exchange rate target zone is examined, using the regulated Brownian motion model of target zones. The interest rate differential’s asymptotic (unconditional) variability is increasing in the exchange rate band for narrow bands; whereas it is slowly decreasing for wide bands. The interest rate differential’s instantaneous (conditional) variability is decreasing in the exchange rate band. The model is extended to include a realignment/devaluation risk, as well as an endogenous exchange rate risk premium. The risk premium is small for reasonable parameter values.
Capacity --- Capital --- Conventional peg --- Crawling peg --- Currency --- Exchange rates --- Foreign Exchange --- Foreign exchange --- Intangible Capital --- Investment --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Managed exchange rates --- National accounts --- Return on investment --- Saving and investment --- Sweden
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