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Welcome to the mysterious world of equity market, which is not so mysterious after all! Most investors get it wrong when it comes to understanding the nuances of the equity market. It is not because they are ignorant or lack the requisite skills to understand the factors affecting this market, but mainly because they get misleading information from market players and financial intermediaries. Consequently, these entities thrive and flourish, leaving the investor wringing his hands, wondering where all the money has gone. No more lies! This book is your window to the equity market from a completely different perspective and earn your fair share of stock market return.
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We use a two-year panel of individual accounts in an S&P 500 index mutual fund to examine the trading and investment behavior of more than 91 thousand investors who have chosen a low-cost, passively managed vehicle for savings. This allows us to characterize investors' heterogeneity in terms of their investment patterns. In particular, we identify positive feedback traders as well as contrarians whose activities are conditional upon preceding day stock market moves. We test the consistency and profitability of these conditional strategies over time. We find that more frequent traders are typically contrarians, while infrequent traders are more typically momentum investors. The dynamics of these investor classes help us to partially examine the question of the marginal investor over the period of our study. We find that the behavior of momentum investors is typically more correlated to changes in the S&P 500 and we trace its dynamics over time. We build up behavioral factors' based on contrarian and momentum flows and show that they perform well against a benchmark of loadings on latent factors extracted from returns. We also use the behavior of momentum and contrarian investors to build a measure of market polarization.' This captures the dispersion of beliefs among the investors and helps to account for asset pricing better than standard measures of dispersion of beliefs.
Index mutual funds. --- Investments. --- Economic development.
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In the present paper we analyze the relationship between index funds and asset prices. In particular, our analysis of daily index fund flows indicates a strong contemporaneous correlation between fund inflows and S&P market returns. We also document a strong negative correlation between fund out flows and S&P market returns with the exception of outflows from a fund with very high initial investment requirement. These effects may be interpreted in two ways. Either investor supply and demand affects S&P market prices, or investors condition their demand and supply on intra-day market fluctuations. To sort out these effects, we examine trailing investor reaction to market moves. Our results suggest the market reacts to daily demand. However, only negative reactions appear due to past returns. We investigate whether index investor demand shocks are permanent or temporary by examining the related behavior of the S&P futures index. Clear evidence supports the hypothesis that they are permanent. This result may help explain the unusual recent relative performance of the S&P 500 index. Using the average market-timing newsletter recommendation over the period, we find that investors appear to react to expert' advice about the market. Bullish newsletter sentiment is associated with greater inflows, although outflows are not well explained by newsletter advice. Dispersion in advice is associated with lower inflows. We find a high correlation among a number of variables used as a proxy for investor disagreement.
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This book documents a curated selection of papers on the impact of index investment on commodity futures prices. The 10 papers follow the evolving speculation debate with new author forewords highlighting the contribution and impact. Essential reading for scholars and researchers interested in futures markets, commodity prices, and speculation.
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This concise book pulls no punches as it explains in its easy-to-read, candid, and informing way why indexing works so well and how this strategy will continue to gain momentum with active investors.
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Exchange traded funds. --- Index mutual funds. --- Investment banking.
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Stock index futures. --- Portfolio management. --- Index mutual funds.
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Index mutual funds --- History. --- Vanguard Group of Investment Companies.
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"A "problem of twelve" arises when a small number of actors acquire the means to exert outsized influence over the politics and economy of a nation"--
Financial institutions. --- Index mutual funds. --- Private equity. --- E-books
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Exchange traded funds. --- Index mutual funds. --- Investment banking.
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