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Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.
Wisdom of Crowds --- Social Network Analysis --- Manipulations --- Incentive Systems --- Prediction Markets
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This Open Access book outlines ideas for a novel, scalable and, above all, sustainable financial system. We all know that today’s global markets are unsustainable and global governance is not effective enough. Given this situation, could one boost smart human coordination, sustainability and resilience by tweaking society at its core: the monetary system? A Computational Social Science team at ETH Zürich has indeed worked on a concept and little demonstrator for a new financial system, called “Finance 4.0” or just “FIN4”, which combines blockchain technology with the Internet of Things (“IoT”). What if communities could reward sustainable actions by issuing their own money (“tokens”)? Would people behave differently, when various externalities became visible and were actionable through cryptographic tokens? Could a novel, participatory, multi-dimensional financial system be created? Could it be run by the people for the people and lead to more societal resilience than today’s financial system (which is effectively one-dimensional due to its almost frictionless exchange)? How could one manage such a system in an ethical and democratic way? This book presents some early attempts in a nascent field, but provides a fresh view on what cryptoeconomic systems could do for us, for a circular economy, and for scalable, sustainable action.
Computing & information technology --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Professional Computing --- Financial Engineering --- Capital Markets --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics --- Blockchain --- Financial Technology and Innovation --- Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics --- Future Money --- Socio-Ecological Finance --- Blockchain-Based Incentive Systems --- Sustainable Development Goals --- Distributed Ledger Technology --- Cryptoeconomics --- Token Engineering --- Open Access --- Applied computing --- Monetary economics
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