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This paper estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages, employment and unemployment in Argentina, a country with positive net agricultural exports and high unemployment rates. In the estimation of these wage and unemployment responses, the empirical model allows for individual labor supply responses and for adjustment costs in labor demand. The findings show that a 10 percent increase in the price of agricultural exports would cause an increase in the Argentine employment probability of 1.36 percentage points, matched by a decline in the unemployment probability of 0.75 percentage points and an increase in labor market participation of 0.61 percentage points. Further, the unemployment rate would decline by 1.23 percentage points (by almost 10 percent). Expected wages would increase by 10.3 percent, an effect that is mostly driven by higher employment probabilities. This indicates that the bulk of the impacts of trade reforms originates in household responses in the presence of adjustment costs, and that failure to account for them may lead to significant biases in the welfare evaluation of trade policy.
Adjustment costs --- Economic Theory and Research --- Employment probability --- Expected wages --- High unemployment --- High unemployment rates --- Labor demand --- Labor market --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Labor supply --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Markets and Market Access --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployment --- Unemployment rate
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This paper estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages, employment and unemployment in Argentina, a country with positive net agricultural exports and high unemployment rates. In the estimation of these wage and unemployment responses, the empirical model allows for individual labor supply responses and for adjustment costs in labor demand. The findings show that a 10 percent increase in the price of agricultural exports would cause an increase in the Argentine employment probability of 1.36 percentage points, matched by a decline in the unemployment probability of 0.75 percentage points and an increase in labor market participation of 0.61 percentage points. Further, the unemployment rate would decline by 1.23 percentage points (by almost 10 percent). Expected wages would increase by 10.3 percent, an effect that is mostly driven by higher employment probabilities. This indicates that the bulk of the impacts of trade reforms originates in household responses in the presence of adjustment costs, and that failure to account for them may lead to significant biases in the welfare evaluation of trade policy.
Adjustment costs --- Economic Theory and Research --- Employment probability --- Expected wages --- High unemployment --- High unemployment rates --- Labor demand --- Labor market --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Labor supply --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Markets and Market Access --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployment --- Unemployment rate
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A puzzle in the recently stagnated economy of Jamaica is that high rates of unemployment have persisted even when real wages have been increasing. This paper examines aspects of the labor supply in an effort to understand why high rates of unemployment have existed with increasing real wages. This is a sign of a badly functioning labor market. The cross-sectional analysis suggests that remittances have some impact on labor supply, especially on labor market participation. The pseudo panel data analysis also confirms that remittances have a strong impact on labor participation but not on weekly working hours. Households with remittance income have a higher reservation wage and have reduced the supply of labor by moving out of the labor force.
Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Literacy --- Finding Jobs --- Health, Nutrition and Population --- High Unemployment --- High Unemployment Rates --- High Wage --- Job --- Labor --- Labor Force --- Labor Force Participation --- Labor Market --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Labor Productivity --- Labor Supply --- Population Policies --- Real Wage --- Real Wages --- Service Sector --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployment --- Unemployment Rate --- Unemployment Rates --- Worker --- Workers
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In the Philippines, an important part of income inequality is associated with the wage difference between the less educated and the better educated. The majority of the least educated are employed in low-paid services jobs and the agricultural sector. Tertiary education is to a large extent a prerequisite for high-paid occupations. Using the Labor Force Survey 2003-2007, this paper examines disparities in human capital endowment, returns to education, and the role of education in wage differentials in the Philippines. The empirical results show that returns to education monotonically increase - workers with elementary education, secondary education, and tertiary education earn 10 percent, 40 percent, and 100 percent more than those with no education. The results also show that education is the single most important factor that contributes to wage differentials. At the national level, education accounts for about 30 percent of the difference in wages. It accounts for a higher percentage of the difference for female workers (37 percent) than male workers (24 percent). There are also differences across regions and sectors. As an economy develops, the demand for skills increases. In the Philippines, efforts to improve education to increase the supply of highly educated people are important not only for long-term growth, but also for helping to translate growth into more equal opportunities for the children of the current generation.
Age group --- Education --- Education for All --- High unemployment --- High unemployment rate --- Household income --- Human capital --- Income inequality --- Jobs --- Labor Force --- Labor market --- Labor Market Participants --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Low employment --- Male counterparts --- Male workers --- Occupations --- Regional Economic Development --- Skilled labor --- Social Protections and Labor --- Tertiary Education --- Unemployment --- Unemployment rate --- Wage Differentials --- Worker --- Workers
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This paper uses a new standardized micro database for a large set of developing countries to (1) describe the patterns of labor market outcomes for youth, and (2) explain the contributions of supply and demand factors to youth outcomes. The paper shows that youth face various difficulties in transitioning to work. This is reflected in their relatively higher unemployment rate, higher incidence of low paying or unpaid work, and a large share of youth who are neither working nor in school. This is especially true for young girls who are found outside the labor market, some engaged in home production. Finally, the paper also finds that cross-country estimates show that changes in the youth relative cohort size is unlikely to have a large effect on how youth are faring in the labor market.
Employment Outcomes --- Finding Work --- Health, Nutrition and Population --- High Unemployment --- High Unemployment Rates --- Jobs --- Labor --- Labor Demand --- Labor Force --- Labor Market --- Labor Market Demand --- Labor Market Indicators --- Labor Market Needs --- Labor Market Outcomes --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Population Policies --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployment --- Unemployment Rate --- Youth and Government --- Youth Employment --- Youth Labor --- Youth Unemployment --- Youth Unemployment Rate
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A puzzle in the recently stagnated economy of Jamaica is that high rates of unemployment have persisted even when real wages have been increasing. This paper examines aspects of the labor supply in an effort to understand why high rates of unemployment have existed with increasing real wages. This is a sign of a badly functioning labor market. The cross-sectional analysis suggests that remittances have some impact on labor supply, especially on labor market participation. The pseudo panel data analysis also confirms that remittances have a strong impact on labor participation but not on weekly working hours. Households with remittance income have a higher reservation wage and have reduced the supply of labor by moving out of the labor force.
Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Literacy --- Finding Jobs --- Health, Nutrition and Population --- High Unemployment --- High Unemployment Rates --- High Wage --- Job --- Labor --- Labor Force --- Labor Force Participation --- Labor Market --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Labor Productivity --- Labor Supply --- Population Policies --- Real Wage --- Real Wages --- Service Sector --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployment --- Unemployment Rate --- Unemployment Rates --- Worker --- Workers
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November 1999 - Unemployment in Sri Lanka is largely voluntary. The underlying problem is not a shortage of jobs but the artificial gap between good jobs and bad ones. Policy efforts should be aimed at reducing the gap between good and bad jobs by making product markets more competitive, reducing excessive job security, and reforming government policies on pay and employment. Sri Lanka's high unemployment rate has been attributed to a mismatch of skills, to queuing for public sector jobs, and to stringent job security regulations. But the empirical evidence supporting these explanations is weak. Rama takes a fresh look at the country's unemployment problem, using individual records from the 1995 Labor Force Survey and time series for wages in the economy's formal and informal sectors. He assesses, and rejects, the skills mismatch hypothesis by comparing the impact of educational attainment on the actual wages of those who have a job with the effect on the lowest acceptable wages of the unemployed. However, he finds substantial rents associated with jobs in the public sector and in private sector activities protected by high tariffs or covered by job security regulations. A time-series analysis of the impact of unemployment on wage increases across sectors supports the hypothesis that most of the unemployed are waiting for good job openings but are not interested in readily available bad jobs. In short, unemployment in Sri Lanka is largely voluntary. The problem is not a shortage of jobs but the artificial gap between good and bad jobs. Policy efforts should be aimed at reducing the gap between good and bad jobs by making product markets more competitive, by reducing excessive job security, and by reforming government policies on pay and employment. This paper was written as part of a broader labor study undertaken by the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, South Asia Region. The study was also supported by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project The Impact of Labor Market Policies and Institutions on Economic Performance (RPO 680-96). The author may be contacted at mrama@worldbank.org.
Educational Attainment --- Export Processing Zones --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Literacy --- High Unemployment --- High Unemployment Rate --- Job --- Job Security --- Labor --- Labor Force --- Labor Market --- Labor Market Participants --- Labor Market Policies --- Labor Markets --- Labor Study --- Management --- Private Sector --- Private Sector Activities --- Public Sector Jobs --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployed --- Unemployment --- Unemployment Problem --- Unemployment Rates
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This paper uses a new standardized micro database for a large set of developing countries to (1) describe the patterns of labor market outcomes for youth, and (2) explain the contributions of supply and demand factors to youth outcomes. The paper shows that youth face various difficulties in transitioning to work. This is reflected in their relatively higher unemployment rate, higher incidence of low paying or unpaid work, and a large share of youth who are neither working nor in school. This is especially true for young girls who are found outside the labor market, some engaged in home production. Finally, the paper also finds that cross-country estimates show that changes in the youth relative cohort size is unlikely to have a large effect on how youth are faring in the labor market.
Employment Outcomes --- Finding Work --- Health, Nutrition and Population --- High Unemployment --- High Unemployment Rates --- Jobs --- Labor --- Labor Demand --- Labor Force --- Labor Market --- Labor Market Demand --- Labor Market Indicators --- Labor Market Needs --- Labor Market Outcomes --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Population Policies --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployment --- Unemployment Rate --- Youth and Government --- Youth Employment --- Youth Labor --- Youth Unemployment --- Youth Unemployment Rate
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In the Philippines, an important part of income inequality is associated with the wage difference between the less educated and the better educated. The majority of the least educated are employed in low-paid services jobs and the agricultural sector. Tertiary education is to a large extent a prerequisite for high-paid occupations. Using the Labor Force Survey 2003-2007, this paper examines disparities in human capital endowment, returns to education, and the role of education in wage differentials in the Philippines. The empirical results show that returns to education monotonically increase - workers with elementary education, secondary education, and tertiary education earn 10 percent, 40 percent, and 100 percent more than those with no education. The results also show that education is the single most important factor that contributes to wage differentials. At the national level, education accounts for about 30 percent of the difference in wages. It accounts for a higher percentage of the difference for female workers (37 percent) than male workers (24 percent). There are also differences across regions and sectors. As an economy develops, the demand for skills increases. In the Philippines, efforts to improve education to increase the supply of highly educated people are important not only for long-term growth, but also for helping to translate growth into more equal opportunities for the children of the current generation.
Age group --- Education --- Education for All --- High unemployment --- High unemployment rate --- Household income --- Human capital --- Income inequality --- Jobs --- Labor Force --- Labor market --- Labor Market Participants --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Low employment --- Male counterparts --- Male workers --- Occupations --- Regional Economic Development --- Skilled labor --- Social Protections and Labor --- Tertiary Education --- Unemployment --- Unemployment rate --- Wage Differentials --- Worker --- Workers
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The Philippine economy has been growing rapidly, at an annual growth rate of 5 percent over the past five years. Such decent growth in gross domestic product, however, did not translate into an increase in household income. Wage income declined in real terms. The poverty headcount increased slightly. The fruits of economic growth were not shared equally across the country. Challenges remain to create more jobs to keep pace with the rapidly growing active population. Using the Philippines Labor Force Survey data (2003-2007), this paper reviews the disparities in labor market performance and examines the contribution of regional and individual characteristics. The results show that real wages declined and disparities widened between the National Capital Region and other islands. The youth, less educated, and women face more challenges in finding employment with a decent salary, other things being equal. Disparities in labor market performance are largely associated with the difference in regional structure and human capital endowment. Individual characteristics account for roughly one-third of the difference in wages between the National Capital Region and other regions; regional structures and other unobservable factors account for two-thirds of the difference.
Employment rate --- Finding employment --- Health, Nutrition and Population --- High unemployment --- Household income --- Human capital --- Job creation --- Jobs --- Labor Force --- Labor force participation --- Labor Market --- Labor Market Indicators --- Labor Market Performance --- Labor market policies --- Labor Markets --- Labor Policies --- Previous job --- Real wage --- Real wages --- Social Protections and Labor --- Unemployed --- Unemployment --- Unemployment rate --- Wage rate --- Youth and Government
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