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Do Southern African Development Community countries trade enough with each other and with the rest of the world? Although its share of world trade has fallen, appropriate benchmarking shows that, controlling for gross domestic product and other characteristics, Southern African Development Community countries have experienced an increase in openness that is comparable to other developing countries. Once market size and geography are taken into account, trade between Southern African Development Community countries is actually high. Southern African Development Community countries also trade more products with each other than they do with the rest of the world. In this sense, and contrary to stylized fears, the Southern African Development Community region is quite integrated. Although the Southern African Development Community has reduced its tariffs, the structure remains complex and could be lowered on intermediates. Other impediments make it costly and difficult to move goods, but are at levels that are comparable with countries at similar levels of development. Although this may be surprising, there is still scope for improvement and the disadvantageous geography of the Southern African Development Community makes it important for other trade impediments to be reduced.
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Do Southern African Development Community countries trade enough with each other and with the rest of the world? Although its share of world trade has fallen, appropriate benchmarking shows that, controlling for gross domestic product and other characteristics, Southern African Development Community countries have experienced an increase in openness that is comparable to other developing countries. Once market size and geography are taken into account, trade between Southern African Development Community countries is actually high. Southern African Development Community countries also trade more products with each other than they do with the rest of the world. In this sense, and contrary to stylized fears, the Southern African Development Community region is quite integrated. Although the Southern African Development Community has reduced its tariffs, the structure remains complex and could be lowered on intermediates. Other impediments make it costly and difficult to move goods, but are at levels that are comparable with countries at similar levels of development. Although this may be surprising, there is still scope for improvement and the disadvantageous geography of the Southern African Development Community makes it important for other trade impediments to be reduced.
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Over the past few decades, US business and industry have been transformed by the advances and redundancies produced by the knowledge economy. The workplace has changed, and much of the work differs from that performed by previous generations. Can human capital accumulation in the United States keep pace with the evolving demands placed on it, and how can the workforce of tomorrow acquire the skills and competencies that are most in demand? Education, Skills, and Technical Change explores various facets of these questions and provides an overview of educational attainment in the United States and the channels through which labor force skills and education affect GDP growth. Contributors to this volume focus on a range of educational and training institutions and bring new data to bear on how we understand the role of college and vocational education and the size and nature of the skills gap. This work links a range of research areas-such as growth accounting, skill development, higher education, and immigration-and also examines how well students are being prepared for the current and future world of work.
Labor supply --- Education --- Gross domestic product --- Human capital --- Effect of education on --- Effect of technological innovations on --- Social aspects --- GDP growth. --- education. --- human capital. --- quality of labor. --- skill demand. --- skill premia. --- technical change.
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Infrastructure contributed half a percentage point to the Republic of Congo's annual per capita GDP growth from 2001 to 2006. If the country's infrastructure were improved to the level seen in Mauritius, the regional leader, it could contribute more than 3 percentage points to annual per capita growth. The Republic of Congo's existing infrastructure is concentrated in the developed south, reflecting the country's urbanization patterns. Links spread from there to the less-developed north, where there are vast areas of underexploited dense forest. The Republic of Congo's power sector offers the greatest potential for infrastructure-based economic growth, but major inefficiencies need to be addressed. Transit improvements would also make significant contributions to growth by improving connections to the north and to neighboring countries. Additional opportunities include rehabilitating the fixed-line telephone operator to spread Internet access. The country's water and sanitation infrastructure is in relatively good shape. Spending on infrastructure was USD 460 million per year in the Republic of Congo during the mid-2000s. Based on these spending levels, if all inefficiencies were eliminated, the country would face an infrastructure funding gap of USD 270 million a year and would not meet infrastructure targets for 31 years. Spending rose to USD 550 million per year in 2008-09. If the Republic of Congo could maintain these higher spending levels, the funding gap would essentially disappear. The nation could further reduce the funding gap by adopting lower-cost technologies to meet infrastructure targets.
Banks & Banking Reform --- Economic growth --- Energy Production and Transportation --- Funding gap --- GDP growth --- Infrastructure --- Infrastructure Economics --- Infrastructure Economics and Finance --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Public Sector Economics --- Transport Economics Policy & Planning --- Urbanization patterns
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Between 2000 and 2005, infrastructure contributed less than 1 percentage point to the Central African Republic's annual per capita GDP growth, despite substantial spending in the road sector. Raising the country's infrastructure endowment to that of the region's middle-income countries could boost annual growth by about 3.5 percentage points. The CAR has made significant progress in the transport, water, power, and information and communications technology (ICT) sectors. But the high cost of fuel, which raises transportation and energy costs, has been a vexing issue across all infrastructure sectors. The CAR's most pressing infrastructural challenge lies in the transport sector, which relies heavily on neighboring countries and could benefit from improved road conditions and enhanced performance at the port of Douala in Cameroon. In the power sector, the country suffers from a deteriorating infrastructure stock that it can no longer afford to maintain, and an inefficient and unreliable power supply. Additional challenges include a need for improved infrastructure in the water and sanitation and ICT sectors. Addressing the CAR's infrastructure challenges will require sustained expenditure of USD 346 million per year over the next decade. The nation already spends around USD 134 million per year on infrastructure, with USD 37 million a year lost to inefficiencies of various kinds. If those inefficiencies were fully eliminated, the country's annual infrastructure funding gap would be USD 183 million per year. Improvements in funding, coupled with the prospect of an economic rebound and prudent policies, could lift the country from its fragile state back to and beyond the prosperity standards it once enjoyed.
Culture & Development --- E-Business --- Energy Production and Transportation --- GDP Growth --- Information and Communications Technology --- Infrastructural Challenge --- Infrastructure Economics --- Infrastructure Economics and Finance --- Infrastructure Funding Gap --- Sustained Expenditure --- Town Water Supply and Sanitation --- Transport Economics Policy & Planning
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This paper provides the first systematic empirical assessment of the pace at which housing investment has responded to rising demand from urbanization. The assessment used National Accounts Statistics to build a data set of residential housing investment for more than 90 countries. The data set explicitly accounts for investment by households, the government, and the private sector. The analysis finds that housing investment follows an S-shaped trajectory taking off around per capita GDP of about USD 3,000 (USD 2005) and tapering down at per capita GDP around USD 36,000 (USD 2005). The analysis also finds that between 2001 and 2011, housing investment in low-income economies averaged 4.56 percent of gross domestic product and 9.12 percent in upper-middle-income economies. An important finding is that countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have housing elasticities similar to comparable low-income and lower-middle-income economies. In financing housing investment, the paper finds that developing countries tend to rely much more on domestic savings and government debt, whereas high-income Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries lever capital markets by tapping foreign savings. Not only does excessive reliance on domestic savings and government debt increase the sensitivity of housing investment to the cyclicality of growth of gross domestic product, it also can potentially crowd out investments in health and education.
Debt Markets --- Domestic Savings --- Economic Theory & Research --- Emerging Markets --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Gdp Growth --- Government Debt --- Housing Investment --- Investment and Investment Climate --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Non Bank Financial Institutions --- Private Sector Development --- Urbanization
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The World Bank Group has identi?ed support to fragile and con?ict-affected states as a strategic priority. This paper provides a systematic portfolio review of the International Development Association-funded projects in fragile and conflict-affected states during 2001 to 2013 and a detailed empirical analysis of the correlations between project and country-level characteristics with project outcome ratings. The portfolio review identi?es a decline in the proportional amount of resources directed to fragile and conflict-affected states and a decline in the number of internationally recruited staff based in these countries. The empirical analysis ?nds no statistical difference in whether projects obtain at least a moderately satisfactory outcome rating between countries that are fragile and conflict-affected states and those that are not. Examination of the distribution of project outcome ratings indicates that projects in fragile and conflict-affected states obtain slightly lower ratings conditional on being unsatisfactory or satisfactory. Detailed cross-section regression analysis ?nds that indicators of project complexity, such as supervision costs, staff time, preparation time, and ?nancing, are correlated with lower outcome ratings. Project leader characteristics are correlated with project outcome ratings, but to a lesser degree in fragile and conflict-affected states, potentially indicating that it is more difficult for project leaders to in?uence project outcomes in these environments. Last, a new approach to control for unobservable project characteristics, such as inherent complexity or ambition, shows preliminary evidence that changes in the project leader and increases in the supervision budget are correlated with improvements in project performance.
Banks and Banking Reform --- Communities & Human Settlements --- Country Strategy & Performance --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Fragile And Conflict-Affected States --- Gdp Growth --- Housing & Human Habitats --- Poverty Monitoring & Analysis --- Poverty Reduction --- Project Complexity --- Project Outcome Ratings --- Project Performance --- Rural Development --- Rural Portfolio Improvement
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Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing - and recovering - their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, “this time is different” - claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that the new situation bears little similarity to past disasters. With this breakthrough study, leading economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff definitively prove them wrong. Covering sixty-six countries across five continents, This Time Is Different presents a comprehensive look at the varieties of financial crises, and guides us through eight astonishing centuries of government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes - from medieval currency debasements to today’s subprime catastrophe. Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, leading economists whose work has been influential in the policy debate concerning the current financial crisis, provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. The authors draw important lessons from history to show us how much - or how little - we have learned. Using clear, sharp analysis and comprehensive data, Reinhart and Rogoff document that financial fallouts occur in clusters and strike with surprisingly consistent frequency, duration, and ferocity. They examine the patterns of currency crashes, high and hyperinflation, and government defaults on international and domestic debts - as well as the cycles in housing and equity prices, capital flows, unemployment, and government revenues around these crises. While countries do weather their financial storms, Reinhart and Rogoff prove that short memories make it all too easy for crises to recur. An important book that will affect policy discussions for a long time to come, This Time Is Different exposes centuries of financial missteps.
Financial crises --- Fiscal policy --- Business cycles --- 338.12 --- 338 <09> --- -Fiscal policy --- -Business cycles --- -Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Crashes, Financial --- Crises, Financial --- Financial crashes --- Financial panics --- Panics (Finance) --- Stock exchange crashes --- Stock market panics --- Crises --- Conjunctuurbewegingen. Economische fluctuatie. Investeringscycli. Conjunctuuranalyse. Conjunctuuronderzoek. Conjunctuurprognoses --- Economische geschiedenis --- Government policy --- -Conjunctuurbewegingen. Economische fluctuatie. Investeringscycli. Conjunctuuranalyse. Conjunctuuronderzoek. Conjunctuurprognoses --- 338 <09> Economische geschiedenis --- 338.12 Conjunctuurbewegingen. Economische fluctuatie. Investeringscycli. Conjunctuuranalyse. Conjunctuuronderzoek. Conjunctuurprognoses --- -338 <09> Economische geschiedenis --- Economic cycles --- #SBIB:33H15 --- 333.613 --- 333.645 --- monetaire crisis --- 336.7 <09> --- bankwezen --- sectoriële analyse --- -338.542 --- Economie: geld en krediet --- Activiteiten van de nationale en internationale markten. Beursnoteringen van aandelen en obligaties. --- Speculatie op de beurs. --- crise monetaire --- Geschiedenis van het bankwezen --- Financiële crisis --- 336.7 <09> Geschiedenis van het bankwezen --- #SBIB:33H072 --- AA / International- internationaal --- US / United States of America - USA - Verenigde Staten - Etats Unis --- 331.162.1 --- 333.481 --- 333.17 --- histoire economique --- marches financiers --- crise financiere --- economische geschiedenis --- Wereldmarkten --- Geschiedenis van de financiële markten. --- Monetaire crisissen, hervormingen, saneringen en stabilisering. --- Crises, saneringen en hervormingen van het bankwezen. --- financiele markten --- financiele crisis --- -Tax policy --- 338.542 --- Geschiedenis van de financiële markten --- Crises, saneringen en hervormingen van het bankwezen --- Monetaire crisissen, hervormingen, saneringen en stabilisering --- Activiteiten van de nationale en internationale markten. Beursnoteringen van aandelen en obligaties --- Speculatie op de beurs --- Money. Monetary policy --- Financial crises - Case studies --- Fiscal policy - Case studies --- Business cycles - Case studies --- Ben Bernanke. --- Big Five Crises. --- Big Six Crises. --- Charles Kindleberger. --- GDF. --- GDP growth. --- GFD. --- IMF. --- Inside Job. --- International Monetary Fund. --- League of Nations. --- Manias, Panics and Crashes. --- Margin Call. --- Second Great Contraction. --- The Big Short. --- Too Big to Fail. --- World Bank. --- bailouts. --- baking crises. --- banking panic. --- banking reforms. --- capital mobility. --- central banks. --- contagion. --- credit cycles. --- currency crashes. --- currency debasements. --- debt crises. --- debt cycles. --- debt defaults. --- debt intolerance. --- debt. --- defaults. --- deflation. --- domestic creditors. --- domestic debt. --- domestic default. --- economic downturn. --- equity. --- exchange rate crises. --- external default. --- financial combustion. --- financial crisis. --- great contraction of the 1930s. --- high inflation. --- inflation crises. --- inflation tax. --- medieval currency crisis. --- medieval currency debasements. --- multilateral lending. --- public debt. --- sovereign default. --- sovereign external debt crises. --- sovereign lending. --- sovereign risk. --- stock markets. --- subprime crisis. --- subprime mortgage. --- Crises financières --- Politique fiscale --- Cycles économiques --- études de cas --- Crises financières --- Cycles économiques --- études de cas
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