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Stop and make money : how to profit in the stock market using volume and stop orders
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ISBN: 1119198577 1281221899 9786611221898 0470229721 9780470229729 9781119198574 9781281221896 9780470129968 0470129964 Year: 2008 Publisher: Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley,

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Richard Arms is one of the world's most respected stock market technicians. His expertise in this field is unparalleled, and now, with Stop and Make Money, he reveals how to profit from short-term price movements in the stock market-whether you're buying or selling short-by accurately interpreting price/volume information and effectively employing stop orders to enter and exit positions. With this book as your guide, you'll quickly discover how to anticipate short-term stock market moves and improve your overall trading activities.


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Event-driven mobile financial information services : design of an intraday decision support system
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ISBN: 3835008889 3835054791 Year: 2007 Publisher: Wiesbaden : Deutscher Universitats-Verlag | GWV Fachverlage GmbH, Wiesbaden,

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In recent years, mobile applications and technologies have become valuable for many companies and their customers. This ongoing trend has affected both businesses and everyday life. Jan Muntermann presents an intraday event study that is conducted within the German capital market, and provides evidence that investors could exploit intraday stock price effects following critical market events. He then develops the concept for a corresponding mobile decision support system that assists investors in identifying those events. Based on the design science research paradigm, he uses this concept in the design of a novel mobile decision support system, which can provide ubiquitous information access to private investors. For this work, Jan Muntermann has been awarded the CCI Dissertation Prize 2007 sponsored by the Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Frankfurt am Main. The prize awards outstanding theses that emphasize practical relevance.


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Hidden collective factors in speculative trading : a study in analytical economics
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ISBN: 3642030475 3642030483 Year: 2009 Publisher: Berlin, [Germany] : Springer,

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What are the roots of the present economic crisis? The book shows that the factors commonly mentioned (e. g. subprime loans, fall in housing prices) have occurred in the past and therefore cannot account for the severity of the present crisis. There must be "something else". The analysis shows that there was a "phase transition" in the United States around 1975 which brought the following changes: - The stagnation of real wages over the past 30 years and a parallel rise in indebtment levels. - The abrupt fall in unionization rates and in the number of strikes. - The development of tax havens which deprived states of tax revenue. - The globalization of financial transactions which hinders long-term investment.


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Forecasting expected returns in the financial markets
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ISBN: 075068321X 9786611057657 1281057657 0080550673 9780750683210 9780080550671 9781281057655 Year: 2007 Publisher: Amsterdam ; Boston : Academic Press,

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Forecasting returns is as important as forecasting volatility in multiple areas of finance. This topic, essential to practitioners, is also studied by academics. In this new book, Dr Stephen Satchell brings together a collection of leading thinkers and practitioners from around the world who address this complex problem using the latest quantitative techniques. *Forecasting expected returns is an essential aspect of finance and highly technical *The first collection of papers to present new and developing techniques *International authors present both academic and practitioner perspectives

Markets models : a guide to financial data analysis
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ISBN: 0471899755 9780471899754 Year: 2001 Publisher: John Wiley,

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Market Models provides an authoritative and up-to-date treatment of the use of market data to develop models for financial analysis. Written by a leading figure in the field of financial data analysis, this book is the first of its kind to address the vital techniques required for model selection and development. Model developers are faced with many decisions, about the pricing, the data, the statistical methodology and the calibration and testing of the model prior to implementation. It is important to make the right choices and Carol Alexander's clear exposition provides valuable insights at every stage. In each of the 13 Chapters, Market Models presents real world illustrations to motivate theoretical developments. The accompanying CD contains spreadsheets with data and programs; this enables the reader to implement and adapt many of the examples. The pricing of options using normal mixture density functions to model returns; the use of Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the VaR of an options portfolio; modifying the covariance VaR to allow for fat-tailed P&L distributions; the calculation of implied, EWMA and 'historic' volatilities; GARCH volatility term structure forecasting; principal components analysis; and many more are all included. Market Models: A Guide to Financial Data Analysis is the ideal reference for all those involved in market risk measurement, quantitative trading and investment analysis.


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Forecasting High-Frequency Volatility Shocks : An Analytical Real-Time Monitoring System
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ISBN: 3658125950 3658125969 Year: 2016 Publisher: Wiesbaden : Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden : Imprint: Springer Gabler,

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This thesis presents a new strategy that unites qualitative and quantitative mass data in form of text news and tick-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring system, using first, a sequence of competing estimators to compute the unobservable volatility; second, a new two-state Markov switching mixture model for autoregressive and zero-inflated time-series to identify structural breaks in a latent data generation process and third, a selection of competing pattern recognition algorithms to classify the potential information embedded in unexpected, but public observable text data in shock and nonshock information. The monitor is trained, tested, and evaluated on a two year survey on the prime standard assets listed in the indices DAX, MDAX, SDAX and TecDAX. Contents • Integrated Volatility • Zero-inflated Data Generation Processes • Algorithmic Text Forecasting Target Groups • Teachers and students of economic science with a focus on financial econometrics< • Executives and consultants in the field of business informatics and advanced statistics About the Author Dr. Holger Kömm is research associate at the chair of statistics and quantitative methods in the economics & business department of the Catholic University Eichstätt-Ingolstadt. .


Book
Extreme financial risks and asset allocation
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1783263083 1783263091 9781783263097 130649611X 9781306496117 9781783263080 Year: 2014 Publisher: London : Imperial College Press,

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Each financial crisis calls for - by its novelty and the mechanisms it shares with preceding crises - appropriate means to analyze financial risks. In Extreme Financial Risks and Asset Allocation, the authors present in an accessible and timely manner the concepts, methods, and techniques that are essential for an understanding of these risks in an environment where asset prices are subject to sudden, rough, and unpredictable changes. These phenomena, mathematically known as "jumps", play an important role in practice. Their quantitative treatment is generally tricky and is sparsely tackled in similar books. One of the main appeals of this book lies in its approachable and concise presentation of the ad hoc mathematical tools without sacrificing the necessary rigor and precision. This book contains theories and methods which are usually found in highly technical mathematics books or in scattered, often very recent, research articles. It is a remarkable pedagogical work that makes these difficult results accessible to a large readership. Researchers, Masters and PhD students, and financial engineers alike will find this book highly useful.

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