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Do higher food prices help or hinder poverty reduction? Despite much debate, existing research has almost solely relied on simulation models to address this question. In this paper World Bank poverty estimates are used to systematically test the relationship between changes in poverty and exogenous changes in real domestic food prices. The paper uncovers indicative evidence that increases in food prices are associated with reductions in poverty, not increases. A likely empirical explanation is the relatively strong agricultural supply and wage responses to food price increases, and the fact that the majority of the world's poor still heavily rely on agriculture or agriculture-related activities to earn a living.
Agricultural Supply Response --- Food Crisis --- Food Prices --- Poverty Reduction --- Wages
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This paper surveys qualitative crisis monitoring data from sites in 17 developing and transition countries to describe crisis impacts and analyze the responses and sources of support used by people to cope. These crises included shocks to export sectors as a result of the global financial crisis, as well as food and fuel price volatility, in the period from 2008 to early 2011. Respondents reported the crisis had resulted in significant hardships in the form of foregone meals, education, and health care, food insecurity, asset losses, stress, and worsening crime and community cohesion. Although the export-oriented formal sector was most exposed to the global economic downturn, the crises impacts were more damaging for informal sector workers, and some of the adverse impacts will be long-lasting and possibly irreversible. There were important gender and age differences in the distribution of impacts and coping responses, some of which diverged from what has been seen in previous crisis coping responses. The more common sources of assistance were family, friends, and community-based and religious organizations; formal social protection and finance were not widely cited as sources of support in most study countries. However, as the crisis deepened, the traditional informal safety nets of the poor became depleted because of the large and long-lasting shocks that ensued, pointing to the need for better formal social protection systems for coping with future shocks.
Agriculture --- Coping --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial crisis --- Food crisis --- Qualitative research --- Social Development --- Vulnerability
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The paper provides the first large-scale survey-based evidence on the impact of the global food crisis of 2007-08 using an indicator of self-assessed food security from the Gallup World Poll. For the sampled countries as a whole, this subjective indicator of food security remained the same or even improved, seemingly owing to a combination of strong economic growth and limited food inflation in some of the most populous countries, particularly India. However, these favorable global trends mask divergent trends at the national and regional levels, with a number of countries reporting substantial deterioration in food security. The impacts of the global crisis therefore appear to be highly context specific.
Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Food & Beverage Industry --- Food & Nutrition Policy --- Food crisis --- Food Security --- Food security --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Nutrition --- Poverty --- Rural Poverty Reduction --- Subjective indicators
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The paper provides the first large-scale survey-based evidence on the impact of the global food crisis of 2007-08 using an indicator of self-assessed food security from the Gallup World Poll. For the sampled countries as a whole, this subjective indicator of food security remained the same or even improved, seemingly owing to a combination of strong economic growth and limited food inflation in some of the most populous countries, particularly India. However, these favorable global trends mask divergent trends at the national and regional levels, with a number of countries reporting substantial deterioration in food security. The impacts of the global crisis therefore appear to be highly context specific.
Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Food & Beverage Industry --- Food & Nutrition Policy --- Food crisis --- Food Security --- Food security --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Nutrition --- Poverty --- Rural Poverty Reduction --- Subjective indicators
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Globally, more than 130 million people are estimated to be in food crisis. These humanitarian disasters are associated with severe impacts on livelihoods that can reverse years of development gains. The existing outlooks of crisis-affected populations rely on expert assessment of evidence and are limited in their temporal frequency and ability to look beyond several months. This paper presents a statistical foresting approach to predict the outbreak of food crises with sufficient lead time for preventive action. Different use cases are explored related to possible alternative targeting policies and the levels at which finance is typically unlocked. The results indicate that, particularly at longer forecasting horizons, the statistical predictions compare favorably to expert-based outlooks. The paper concludes that statistical models demonstrate good ability to detect future outbreaks of food crises and that using statistical forecasting approaches may help increase lead time for action.
Climate and Meteorology --- Climate Change Economics --- Cost-Sensitive Learning --- Development Economics and Aid Effectiveness --- Economic Forecasting --- Extreme Event --- Famine --- Food Crisis --- Food Insecurity --- Food Security --- Forecasting --- Humanitarian Crisis --- Statistical and Mathematical Sciences --- Statistical Model --- Targeting --- Unbalanced Data
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Recent advances in food insecurity classification have made analytical approaches to predict and inform response to food crises possible. This paper develops a predictive, statistical framework to identify drivers of food insecurity risk with simulation capabilities for scenario analyses, risk assessment and forecasting purposes. It utilizes a panel vector-autoregression to model food insecurity distributions of 15 Sub-Saharan African countries between October 2009 and February 2019. Statistical variable selection methods are employed to identify the most important agronomic, weather, conflict and economic variables. The paper finds that food insecurity dynamics are asymmetric and past-dependent, with low insecurity states more likely to transition to high insecurity states than vice versa. Conflict variables are more relevant for dynamics in highly critical stages, while agronomic and weather variables are more important for less critical states. Food prices are predictive for all cases. A Bayesian extension is introduced to incorporate expert opinions through the use of priors, which lead to significant improvements in model performance.
Bayesian Extension --- Climate and Meteorology --- Disaster Management --- Economic Forecasting --- Expert Opinion --- Famine Risk --- Food Crisis --- Food Insecurity --- Food Security --- Forecasting --- Natural Disasters --- Panel Vector Autoregression --- Stochastic Simulation --- Variable Selection --- Weather Forecasting --- World Food Programme
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In The Coming Famine, Julian Cribb lays out a vivid picture of impending planetary crisis--a global food shortage that threatens to hit by mid-century--that would dwarf any in our previous experience. Cribb's comprehensive assessment describes a dangerous confluence of shortages--of water, land, energy, technology, and knowledge--combined with the increased demand created by population and economic growth. Writing in brisk, accessible prose, Cribb explains how the food system interacts with the environment and with armed conflict, poverty, and other societal factors. He shows how high food prices and regional shortages are already sending shockwaves into the international community. But, far from outlining a doomsday scenario, The Coming Famine offers a strong and positive call to action, exploring the greatest issue of our age and providing practical suggestions for addressing each of the major challenges it raises.
Food supply. --- Food industry and trade. --- Sustainable agriculture. --- Climatic changes. --- agriculture. --- armed conflict. --- call to action. --- easy to read. --- economic growth. --- energy shortages. --- environmental issues. --- environmental problems. --- famine. --- food prices. --- food shortages. --- food system. --- global food crisis. --- global threats. --- international impact. --- land shortages. --- near future. --- nonfiction. --- overcoming challenges. --- planetary crisis. --- political economy. --- population growth. --- poverty. --- practical solutions. --- societal factors. --- technological advancements. --- water shortages.
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The industrial food system has created a crisis in the United States that is characterized by abundant food for privileged citizens and "food deserts" for the historically marginalized. In response, food justice activists based in low-income communities of color have developed community-based solutions, arguing that activities like urban agriculture, nutrition education, and food-related social enterprises can drive systemic social change. Focusing on the work of several food justice groups-including Community Services Unlimited, a South Los Angeles organization founded as the nonprofit arm of the Southern California Black Panther Party-More Than Just Food explores the possibilities and limitations of the community-based approach, offering a networked examination of the food justice movement in the age of the nonprofit industrial complex.
Social justice --- Minorities --- Food industry and trade --- Food supply --- Ethnic minorities --- Foreign population --- Minority groups --- Persons --- Assimilation (Sociology) --- Discrimination --- Ethnic relations --- Majorities --- Plebiscite --- Race relations --- Segregation --- Food --- Food preparation industry --- Food processing --- Food processing industry --- Food technology --- Food trade --- Agricultural processing industries --- Processed foods --- Food control --- Produce trade --- Agriculture --- Food security --- Single cell proteins --- Nutrition --- Social aspects --- Processing --- E-books --- american food industry. --- community services unlimited. --- factory food. --- food and hunger. --- food and nutrition in the us. --- food and nutrition. --- food crisis. --- food deserts. --- food industry. --- food insecurity. --- food justice movement. --- food justice. --- food production. --- food related inequality. --- industrial food system. --- nonprofit industrial complex. --- nutrition education. --- nutritionists. --- urban agriculture. --- us food crisis. --- us industrial food system.
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