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The thesis constitutes an extraordinary innovative research approach in transferring the concepts and methods of complex systems to risk research. It ambitiously bridges the barriers between theoretical, empirical and methodical research work and integrates these fields into one comprehensive approach of dealing with uncertainty in socio-ecological systems. The developed agent-based simulation aims at the dynamics of social vulnerability in the considered system of the Cerman North Sea Coast. Thus, the social simulation provides an analytical method to explore the individual, relational, and spatial aspects leading to dynamics of vulnerability in society. Combining complexity science and risk research by the method of agent-based simulation hereby emphasizes the importance of understanding interrelations inside the system for the system's development, i.e. for the evolving. Based on a vulnerability assessment regarding vulnerability characteristics, present risk behavior and self-protection preferences of private households against the impacts of flooding and storm surges, possible system trajectories could be explored by means of simulation experiments. The system-analytical approach therefore contributes to an integrated consideration of multi-dimensional and context-sensitv social phenomena such as vulnerability. Furthermore it achieves conceptually and strategically relevant implications for risk research and complex systems research.
Floods -- Germany -- North Sea Coast -- Computer simulation. --- Floods -- Risk assessment -- Germany -- North Sea Coast -- Computer simulation. --- Floods -- Risk assessment. --- Floods -- Social aspects -- Germany -- North Sea Coast -- Computer simulation. --- Geography --- Earth & Environmental Sciences --- Physical Geography --- Social systems --- Technology --- Computer simulation. --- Social aspects --- Applied science --- Arts, Useful --- Science, Applied --- Useful arts --- Earth sciences. --- Natural disasters. --- Coasts. --- Human geography. --- Earth Sciences. --- Natural Hazards. --- Human Geography. --- Coastal Sciences. --- Science --- Industrial arts --- Material culture --- Sociology --- System theory --- Geology. --- Anthropo-geography --- Anthropogeography --- Geographical distribution of humans --- Social geography --- Anthropology --- Human ecology --- Geognosy --- Geoscience --- Earth sciences --- Natural history --- Coastal landforms --- Coastal zones --- Coastlines --- Landforms --- Seashore --- Natural calamities --- Disasters
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Cette étude s'intéresse à la prévention du risque d'inondation de la Seine en Ile-de-France. Elle étudie l'impact qu'une inondation majeure telle que celle produite en 1910 pourrait avoir sur le bien-être des citoyens, le fonctionnement de la métropole et l'économie. Elle propose des pistes d'amélioration relative à la gouvernance et la prévention de ce risque majeur.
Flood control -- Management. --- Flood forecasting -- France. --- Floods -- France. --- Floods -- Risk assessment -- France. --- Geography --- Earth & Environmental Sciences --- Physical Geography --- Floods --- Flood control --- Flood forecasting --- Risk assessment --- Management. --- Flood prevention --- Flood protection --- Prevention of floods --- Flooding --- Inundations --- Forecasting --- Prevention --- Hydrological forecasting --- Rivers --- Forest influences --- Natural disasters --- Water --- Regulation --- France
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Floods --- Flood control. --- Risk assessment. --- Flood control --- Risk assessment --- Risques naturels --- Natural disasters. --- Inondations --- Dommages causés par les inondations --- Flood damage prevention --- Prévision hydrologique --- Hydrological forecasting. --- Maîtrise --- Prévention --- prev. --- Risques naturels. --- Prévision hydrologique. --- Maîtrise. --- Prévention. --- Floods - Risk assessment --- Dommages causés par les inondations --- Prévision hydrologique. --- Maîtrise. --- Prévention.
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This book examines many aspects of flood risk management in a comprehensive way. As risks depend on hazard and vulnerabilities, not only geophysical tools for flood forecasting and planning are presented, but also socio-economic problems of flood management are discussed. Starting with precipitation and meteorological tools to its forecasting, hydrological models are described in their applications for operational flood forecasts, considering model uncertainties and their interactions with hydraulic and groundwater models. With regard to flood risk planning, regionalization aspects and the options to utilize historic floods are discussed. New hydrological tools for flood risk assessments for dams and reservoirs are presented. Problems and options to quantify socio-economic risks and how to consider them in multi-criteria assessments of flood risk planning are discussed. This book contributes to the contemporary efforts to reduce flood risk at the European scale. Using many real-world examples, it is useful for scientists and practitioners at different levels and with different interests.
Flood control. --- Flood damage prevention. --- Floods -- Risk assessment. --- Risk assessment. --- Geography --- Earth & Environmental Sciences --- Physical Geography --- Flood control --- Risk assessment --- Mathematical models. --- Flood prevention --- Flood protection --- Floods --- Prevention of floods --- Analysis, Risk --- Assessment, Risk --- Risk analysis --- Risk evaluation --- Flood hazard mitigation --- Flood proofing --- Floodproofing --- Prevention --- Earth sciences. --- Hydrogeology. --- Physical geography. --- Environmental management. --- Earth Sciences. --- Environmental Management. --- Physical Geography. --- Rivers --- Forest influences --- Evaluation --- City planning --- Hazard mitigation --- Regulation --- Hydraulic engineering. --- Environmental stewardship --- Stewardship, Environmental --- Environmental sciences --- Management --- Engineering, Hydraulic --- Engineering --- Fluid mechanics --- Hydraulics --- Shore protection --- Geohydrology --- Geology --- Hydrology --- Groundwater
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