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"From the beginning of time, humans have been driven by both a fear of the unknown and a curiosity to know. We have always yearned to know what lies ahead, whether threat or safety, scarcity or abundance. Throughout human history, our forebears tried to create certainty in the unknown, by seeking to influence outcomes with sacrifices to gods, preparing for the unexpected with advice from oracles, and by reading the stars through astrology. As scientific methods improve and computer technology develops we become ever more confident of our capacity to predict and quantify the future by accumulating and interpreting patterns form the past, yet the truth is there is still no certainty to be had. In this Very Short Introduction Jennifer Gidley considers some of our most burning questions:. What is "the future?" Is the future a time yet to come? Or is it a utopian place? Does the future have a history? Is there only one future or are there many possible futures? She asks if the future can ever be truly predicted or if we create our own futures - both hoped for and feared - by our thoughts, feelings, and actions, and concludes by analysing how we can learn to study the future."--

Futur. --- Future, The. --- SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies. --- Zukunft.

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Is the nature of the atmosphere really so predictable that, as James Mahoney confidently said, ""we know that humans are influencing the climate. There's no question about that""? (TE 2013) This view on the atmosphere can be contrasted with an opposing view by James Glassman, who warned us that ""the real world is more unpredictable and uncertain than the idealized world that academics push for."" (TE 2013a) Contrary to these opposing views (and other ones discussed in the book), aerology or the study of the atmosphere (in relation to predictability and nonpredictability) are neither possible

Meteorology. --- Forecasting --- Future research --- Future studies --- Futures research --- Futures studies --- Aerology --- Atmospheric science --- Study and teaching.

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This book offers a critical account of the historical evolution of tourism through the identification and discussion of key turning points. Based on these considerations, future turning points are identified and evaluated. The volume provides a continuum between the past and future of tourism. Its central themes are the globalisation of tourism; the development of destinations; the importance of mobility and transport; the development of the modern hotel; the diversification of niche tourism and the conceptualisation of the past and future of tourism using the evolutionary paradigm in future studies. The core findings of the book provide the first perspective on how the history of tourism will shape its future.

Tourism --- History. --- Forecasting. --- future studies. --- future. --- history. --- scenarios. --- tourism futures. --- tourism history.

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Economics --- Sociology of culture --- Communicatie --- Communication --- Maatschappij --- Société --- 008.2 --- 304 --- 21ste eeuw ; toekomstverwachtingen --- Sociale agogiek --- Future studies --- planning en beleid --- Future studies. --- planning en beleid. --- Planning en beleid.

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What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research. Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development.

Scenario Planning; Scenarios; Foresight; Plausibility; Epistemology; Future Studies; Science; Society; Sociology of Science; Sociology of Technology; Environmental Sociology; Sustainability; Sociology --- Environmental Sociology. --- Epistemology. --- Foresight. --- Future Studies. --- Plausibility. --- Scenarios. --- Science. --- Society. --- Sociology of Science. --- Sociology of Technology. --- Sociology. --- Sustainability.