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Book
Public Infrastructures, Public Consumption, and Welfare in a New-Open-Economy-Macro Model
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462312454 1452750122 1283516268 9786613828712 1451910843 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper focuses on the trade-off faced by governments in deciding the allocation of public expenditures between productivity-enhancing public infrastructures and utility-enhancing public consumption. From the modeling point of view, the paper augments a standard New Open Economy Macroeconomics (NOEM) model by introducing productive public infrastructures. The results show that a temporary increase in the domestic stock of public capital financed by a reduction in public consumption reduces domestic welfare in the short run because the temporary gains from higher productivity do not compensate domestic residents for the utility loss due to lower public consumption. If the policy shift is permanent domestic utility is likely to increase, while foreign residents suffer short-run welfare losses but benefit from welfare gains in the long run. This analysis implies that a permanent domestic reallocation of public spending might result in a virtuous global technological cycle.


Book
Expenditure Composition and Distortionary Tax for Equitable Economic Growth
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451864256 1462331645 1451985061 9786613825858 1452790507 1283513404 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper continues the study of optimal fiscal policy in a growing economy by exploring a case in which the government simultaneously provides three main categories of expenditures with distortionary tax finance: public production services, public consumption services, and state-contingent redistributive transfers. The paper shows that in a general equilibrium model with given exogenous fiscal policy, a nonlinear relation exists between the suboptimal longrun growth rate in a competitive economy and distortionary tax rates. When fiscal policy is endogenously chosen at a social optimum, the relation between the rate of growth and tax rates is always negative. These two conclusions suggest that the interaction between fiscal policy and growth may be complicated enough that it cannot be captured in a simple linear model using an aggregate measure of fiscal policy. The sources of nonlinearity include expectation and coordination of fiscal policy, impluse response of government policies, and the presence of positive externality due to government spending.


Book
Energy Subsidies and Public Social Spending : Theory and Evidence
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1475552238 1475516363 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper shows that high energy subsidies and low public social spending can emerge as an equilibrium outcome of a political game between the elite and the middle-class when the provision of public goods is subject to bottlenecks, reflecting weak domestic institutions. We test this and other predictions of our model using a large cross-section of emerging markets and low-income countries. The main empirical challenge is that subsidies and social spending could be jointly determined (e.g., at the time of the budget), leading to a simultaneity bias in OLS estimates. To address this concern, we adopt an identification strategy whereby subsidies in a given country are instrumented by the level of subsidies in neighboring countries. Our Instrumental Variable (IV) estimations suggest that public expenditures in education and health were on average lower by 0.6 percentage point of GDP in countries where energy subsidies were 1 percentage point of GDP higher. Moreover, we find that the crowding-out was stronger in the presence of weak domestic institutions, narrow fiscal space, and among the net oil importers.


Book
(Not) Dancing Together : Monetary Policy Stance and the Government Spending Multiplier
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1513535579 1513561081 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper provides estimates of the government spending multiplier over the monetary policy cycle. We identify government spending shocks as forecast errors of the growth rate of government spending from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) and from the Greenbook record. The state of monetary policy is inferred from the deviation of the U.S. Fed funds rate from the target rate, using a smooth transition function. Applying the local projections method to quarterly U.S. data, we find that the federal government spending multiplier is substantially higher under accommodative than non-accommodative monetary policy. Our estimations also suggest that federal government spending may crowd-in or crowd-out private consumption, depending on the extent of monetary policy accommodation. The latter result reconciles—in a unified framework—apparently contradictory findings in the literature. We discuss the implications of our findings for the ongoing normalization of monetary conditions in advanced economies.


Book
Does Fiscal Policy Matter for the Trade Account? A Panel Cointegration Study
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451864078 1462315496 1452702489 9786613824820 1451991371 1283512378 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper analyzes the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the trade account. Research prior to this paper did not consider that the components of private and public demand in the import demand equation exhibit different elasticities. Using pooled mean group estimation for annual panel data of the G-7 countries for the years 1970 through 2002, we provide empirical evidence that the composition of overall demand-i.e., the distribution among public demand, private demand, and export demand-has an impact on the magnitude of the trade account deficit.

Keywords

Balance of trade -- Econometric models. --- Demand (Economic theory) -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Expenditures, Public -- Econometric models. --- Fiscal policy -- Econometric models. --- Imports -- Econometric models. --- Commerce --- Business & Economics --- Commerce - General --- Balance of trade --- Demand (Economic theory) --- Expenditures, Public --- Fiscal policy --- Imports --- Econometric models. --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Appropriations and expenditures --- Government appropriations --- Government expenditures --- Government spending --- Public expenditures --- Public spending --- Spending, Government --- Deficits, Trade --- Trade, Balance of --- Trade balance --- Trade deficits --- Trade surpluses --- Surpluses, Trade --- Government policy --- International trade --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Public administration --- Government spending policy --- Supply and demand --- Production (Economic theory) --- Balance of payments --- Mercantile system --- Payment --- Exports and Imports --- Investments: General --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Trade: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Expenditure --- Private consumption --- Private investment --- Exports --- Consumption --- Economics --- Saving and investment --- Japan

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