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Trends in international migration : continuous reporting system on migration.
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ISBN: 1280083808 9786610083800 9264061444 9264189894 9264186123 Year: 2001 Publisher: Paris, France : OECD Publications Services,

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Abstract

This book presents an analysis of recent trends in migration movements and policies in OECD countries as well as in certain non-member countries. It includes a detailed description of the flows, the different channels of immigration and the nationalities of the migrants concerned. In addition to this overall analysis, the reader will also find in this publication two sections on the recent developments in migration flows and policies in Asia and in Central and Eastern Europe; a special chapter devoted to family-linked immigration, the criteria to be fulfilled in order to take advantage of it a


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Forecasting international migration in Europe : a Bayesian view
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9048188962 9048188970 Year: 2011 Publisher: New York : Springer,

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Abstract

International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications. “This is a great book that represents a step-change in the forecasting of international migration. Jakub Bijak advocates for the use of Bayesian statistics - a natural way to combine subjective prior information with statistical data. The Bayesian framework provides also a natural way to further develop the migration forecasting process that is ultimately aimed at accounting for and reducing the different uncertainties, and that involves cognitive agents with different expertise - migration experts, population forecasters and forecast users - in order to accomplish that aim. The book is a must for everyone interested knowing how migration, especially international, will evolve and respond to changing conditions, events and policies.”

Keywords

Bayesian statistical decision theory. --- Europe -- Emigration and immigration -- Forecasting. --- Europe -- Emigration and immigration -- Statistics. --- European Union countries -- Emigration and immigration -- Forecasting -- Statistical methods. --- European Union countries -- Emigration and immigration. --- Bayesian statistical decision theory --- Business & Economics --- Political Science --- Law, Politics & Government --- Demography --- Immigration & Emigration --- European Union countries --- Emigration and immigration. --- Emigration and immigration --- Forecasting --- Statistical methods. --- Mathematical models. --- Bayes' solution --- Bayesian analysis --- EU countries --- Euroland --- Social sciences. --- Statistics. --- Demography. --- Social Sciences. --- Migration. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Historical demography --- Social sciences --- Population --- Vital statistics --- Immigration --- International migration --- Migration, International --- Population geography --- Assimilation (Sociology) --- Colonization --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical methods --- Statistical science --- Mathematics --- Econometrics --- Behavioral sciences --- Human sciences --- Sciences, Social --- Social science --- Social studies --- Civilization --- Europe --- Statistical decision --- Mathematical statistics. --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Statistics .

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