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Book
Progress on the Fifteenth General Review of Quotas—Report of the Executive Board to the Board of Governors (September 2018).
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ISBN: 1513571753 Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Following the guidance on the Board of Governors Resolution No. 72-1 (December 2016), on September 21, 2018, the Executive Board discussed and adopted its third semi-annual report on progress on the Fifteenth Review. The report covered additional issues relating to both the adequacy of Fund resources and the quota formula and realigning quota shares, discussed in an informal meeting on July 30, 2018.


Book
Can Higher Reserves Help Reduce Exchange Rate Volatility?
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ISBN: 1462360947 1452745137 1282076434 1451905009 9786613799333 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper studies the role of an increase in foreign exchange reserves in reducing currency volatility for emerging market countries. The study employs a panel of 28 countries over the period 1986-2002. Several control variables are introduced in the regressions to account for other factors affecting exchange rate volatility (monetary and external indicators as well as conventional macroeconomic fundamentals). The paper controls for the endogeneity induced by the role of the exchange rate regime, since the regime can affect both the level of reserves and exchange rate volatility. The results provide ample support for the proposition that holding adequate reserves reduces exchange rate volatility. The effect is strong and robust; moreover, it is nonlinear and appears to operate through a signaling effect.


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Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade
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ISBN: 1475541716 1475541686 Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China’s economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and emerging market economies. The analysis suggests that a 1 percentage point shock to China’s final demand growth reduces the average country’s export growth by 0.1–0.2 percentage point. The impact is largest in Emerging Asia, where an export-growth-accounting exercise suggests that China’s economic transition has reduced average export growth rates by 1 percentage point since early 2014. Other countries linked to China’s manufacturing sector, as well as commodity exporters, are also significantly affected. This suggests that trading partners need to adjust to an environment of weaker external demand as China completes its transition to a more sustainable growth model.


Book
Key Trends in Implementing The Fund's Transparency Policy.
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ISBN: 1513529870 Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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At the time of the 2005 Review of the Fund’s Transparency Policy, the Executive Board requested regular updates on trends in implementing the transparency policy. The tables in this report provide an overview of recent developments, reflecting information on documents considered by the Board in 2017 and updating the previous annual report on Key Trends. Deeper analysis of these trends is undertaken in the context of periodic reviews of the Fund’s Transparency Policy.


Book
Gains from Anchoring Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the Taper Tantrum Shock
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ISBN: 1498306098 1498302777 1498306055 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Many argue that improvements in monetary policy frameworks in emerging market economies over the past few decades, have made them more resilient to external shocks. This paper exploits the May 2013 taper tantrum in the United States to study the reaction of 18 large emerging markets to an external shock, conditioning on their degree of inflation expectations' anchoring. We find that while the tapering announcement negatively affected growth prospects regardless of the level of anchoring, countries with weakly anchored inflation expectations experienced larger exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices, hence comparatively higher inflation. We conclude that efforts to improve the extent of anchoring of inflation expectations in emerging markets pay off, as they ease the trade-off that central banks face when external shocks weaken growth prospects and trigger currency depreciations.


Book
Central Bank Autonomy : Lessons from Global Trends
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462366937 1452701695 1283450445 9786613823687 145191105X Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We calculate indexes of central bank autonomy (CBA) for 163 central banks as of end-2003, and comparable indexes for a subgroup of 68 central banks as of the end of the 1980s. The results confirm strong improvements in both economic and political CBA over the past couple of decades, although more progress is needed to boost political autonomy of the central banks in emerging market and developing countries. Our analysis confirms that greater CBA has on average helped to maintain low inflation levels. The paper identifies four broad principles of central bank autonomy that have been shared by the majority of countries. Significant differences exist in the area of banking supervision where many central banks have retained a key role. Finally, we discuss the sequencing of reforms to separate the conduct of monetary and fiscal policies.


Book
An Anatomy of Corporate Bond Markets : Growing Pains and Knowledge Gains
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ISBN: 1462378080 1452774382 1283518503 1451907079 9786613830951 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The objective of this paper is to discuss the key issues relating to the development of local corporate bond markets. We examine the requirements for local corporate bond market development, and compare and contrast experiences across both mature and emerging markets. We suggest that core aspects such as benchmarking, corporate governance and disclosure, credit risk pricing, the availability of reliable trading systems, and the development of hedging instruments are fundamental for improving the breadth and depth of corporate debt markets. The demand and supply of corporate bonds are dependent on factors such as the investor base, both local and foreign, and government policies toward the issuance process and associated costs, as well as the taxation regime. The sequencing of reforms is key to market development.


Book
Monetary Policy and the Price Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets
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ISBN: 1462311725 1451991525 1281988693 1451993005 9786613794222 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines whether the six largest and most active emerging stock markets are informationally efficient with respect to changes in the money supply. To investigate if stock prices fully reflect the information contained in money supply changes, two different econometric techniques are employed. First, direct Granger-causality tests are used, which locus on the short-run relationship between stock prices and money. Second, the long-run behavior of the two variables is studied by means of co-integration tests. The results suggest that at least for two markets profitable trading rules can be developed to earn consistently higher-than-normal rates of return.


Book
How Important Is Sovereign Risk in Determining Corporate Default Premia? The Case of South Africa
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462318541 1452714843 1282558145 1451907729 9786613822291 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper analyzes and quantifies the importance of sovereign risk in determining corporate default premia (yield spreads). It also investigates the extent to which the practice by rating agencies and banks of not rating companies higher than their sovereign ("country or sovereign ceiling") is reflected in the yields of South African local-currency-denominated corporate bonds. The main findings are: (i) sovereign risk appears to be the single most important determinant of corporate default premia in South Africa; (ii) the sovereign ceiling (in local-currency terms) does not apply in the spreads of the industrial multinational companies in the sample; and (iii) consistent with rating agency policy, however, the sovereign ceiling appears to apply in the spreads of most financial companies in the sample.


Book
Emerging Equity Markets in Middle Eastern Countries
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462373143 1455224294 1281601942 1455227218 9786613782632 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Within a broad framework for analyzing portfolio capital flows to developing countries, the paper undertakes a comparative analysis of equity markets in six Middle Eastern countries. The analysis, based primarily on a range of quantitative indicators, identifies the principal characteristics of these markets, including relative to international comparators, and examines associated structural features. This, along with an analysis of the informational efficiency of selected markets in the region, provides a basis for the subsequent review of policies for enhancing the role of equity markets in the macroeconomy of Middle Eastern countries.

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