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The estimated spillover of the global crisis to emerging market (EM) economies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) indicates that nearly two-thirds of the increased financial stress in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock is attributable to direct or indirect spillovers of financial stress in advanced economies. Moreover, the estimated models suggest that the increased financial stress and slowdown in economic activity in advanced economies can explain about half of the drop in real GDP growth in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock.

Economic development -- Middle East -- Econometric models. --- Financial crises -- Middle East -- Econometric models. --- Global financial crisis, 2008-2009. --- Middle East -- Economic conditions -- 21st century -- Econometric models. --- Global Economic Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Subprime Mortgage Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Financial crises --- Econometrics --- Finance: General --- Financial Risk Management --- Macroeconomics --- 'Panel Data Models --- Spatio-temporal Models' --- Index Numbers and Aggregation --- leading indicators --- General Outlook and Conditions --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Estimation --- Externalities --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Financial Crises --- Finance --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Financial soundness indicators --- Estimation techniques --- Spillovers --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Econometric analysis --- Financial markets --- Financial services industry --- Econometric models --- International finance --- Egypt, Arab Republic of --- Economic development --- Econometric models. --- Middle East --- Economic conditions --- Leading indicators --- Panel Data Models --- Spatio-temporal Models