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"Vollrath challenges our long-held assumption that growth is the best indicator of an economy’s health. Most economists would agree that a thriving economy is synonymous with GDP growth. The more we produce and consume, the higher our living standard and the more resources available to the public. This means that our current era, in which growth has slowed substantially from its postwar highs, has raised alarm bells. But should it? Is growth actually the best way to measure economic success—and does our slowdown indicate economic problems? The counterintuitive answer Dietrich Vollrath offers is: No. Looking at the same facts as other economists, he offers a radically different interpretation. Rather than a sign of economic failure, he argues, our current slowdown is, in fact, a sign of our widespread economic success. Our powerful economy has already supplied so much of the necessary stuff of modern life, brought us so much comfort, security, and luxury, that we have turned to new forms of production and consumption that increase our well-being but do not contribute to growth in GDP. In Fully Grown, Vollrath offers a powerful case to support that argument. He explores a number of important trends in the US economy: including a decrease in the number of workers relative to the population, a shift from a goods-driven economy to a services-driven one, and a decline in geographic mobility. In each case, he shows how their economic effects could be read as a sign of success, even though they each act as a brake of GDP growth. He also reveals what growth measurement can and cannot tell us—which factors are rightly correlated with economic success, which tell us nothing about significant changes in the economy, and which fall into a conspicuously gray area. Sure to be controversial, Fully Grown will reset the terms of economic debate and help us think anew about what a successful economy looks like." -- Publisher's description.
Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Econometric models. --- Technological innovations. --- economic growth. --- slowdown. --- stagnation. --- success. --- Economic development - United States --- Economic development - Technological innovations --- Economic development - Econometric models
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The book focuses on the sustainability of economic growth in a changing environment, under the effects of global warming, dwindling energy resources, and technological change. It also provides explanations for significant fluctuations in countries' growth rates. The results are derived from historical evidence on economic growth in relation to environmental policy, technological change, development of transport infrastructure, population issues, and environmental mortality. The rigorous analysis of theoretical and applied aspects reveals important policy implications for optimal investment, optimal timing of abatement activities, and for an optimal balancing of economic growth with environmental concerns.
Economics/Management Science. --- Economic Theory. --- Economic Growth. --- Environmental Economics. --- Systems Theory, Control. --- Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences. --- Public Finance & Economics. --- Economics. --- Mathematics. --- Systems theory. --- Endogenous growth (Economics). --- Finance. --- Environmental economics. --- Economie politique --- Mathématiques --- Croissance endogène (Economie politique) --- Finances --- Economie de l'environnement --- Economic development --- Environmental economics --- Environmental policy --- Econometric models --- Mathematical models --- Environmental aspects --- Economic aspects --- Economic development - Econometric models --- Environmental economics - Mathematical models --- Economic development - Environmental aspects --- Environmental policy - Economic aspects
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Optimal growth theory studies the problem of efficient resource allocation over time, a fundamental concern of economic research. Since the 1970s, the techniques of nonlinear dynamical systems have become a vital tool in optimal growth theory, illuminating dynamics and demonstrating the possibility of endogenous economic fluctuations. Kazuo Nishimura's seminal contributions on business cycles, chaotic equilibria and indeterminacy have been central to this development, transforming our understanding of economic growth, cycles, and the relationship between them. The subjects of Kazuo's analysis remain of fundamental importance to modern economic theory. This book collects his major contributions in a single volume. Kazuo Nishimura has been recognized for his contributions to economic theory on many occasions, being elected fellow of the Econometric Society and serving as an editor of several major journals. Chapter “Introduction” is available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License via link.springer.com.
Economic development -- Econometric models. --- Economics. --- Economics -- Mathematical models. --- Endogenous growth (Economics). --- Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Equilibrium (Economics) --- International trade --- Economic development --- Mathematical models. --- Econometric models. --- Growth models (Economics) --- Disequilibrium (Economics) --- Economic equilibrium --- General equilibrium (Economics) --- Partial equilibrium (Economics) --- Economic growth. --- Economic Growth. --- DGE (Economics) --- DSGE (Economics) --- Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (Economics) --- SDGE (Economic theory) --- Economics, Mathematical --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Development economics --- Resource curse
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This book looks at the distribution of income and wealth and the effects that this has on the macroeconomy, and vice versa. Is a more equal distribution of income beneficial or harmful for macroeconomic growth, and how does the distribution of wealth evolve in a market economy? Taking stock of results and methods developed in the context of the 1990's revival of growth theory, the authors focus on capital accumulation and long-run growth. They show how rigorous, optimization-based technical tools can be applied, beyond the representative-agent framework of analysis, to account for realistic market imperfections and for political-economic interactions. The treatment is thorough, yet accessible to students and nonspecialist economists, and it offers specialist readers a wide-ranging and innovative treatment of an increasingly important research field. The book follows a single analytical thread through a series of different growth models, allowing readers to appreciate their structure and crucial assumptions. This is particularly useful at a time when the literature on income distribution and growth has developed quickly and in several different directions, becoming difficult to overview.
-Equality --- -339.20151 --- Economic development --- Equality --- Income distribution --- Wealth --- 339.20151 --- 330.56 --- Affluence --- Distribution of wealth --- Fortunes --- Riches --- Business --- Economics --- Finance --- Capital --- Money --- Property --- Well-being --- Egalitarianism --- Inequality --- Social equality --- Social inequality --- Political science --- Sociology --- Democracy --- Liberty --- 330.56 Nationaal inkomen. Volksinkomen. Gezinsinkomen. Vermogensstratificatie. Particuliere inkomens en bestedingen. Armoede. Honger --- Nationaal inkomen. Volksinkomen. Gezinsinkomen. Vermogensstratificatie. Particuliere inkomens en bestedingen. Armoede. Honger --- Econometric models --- E-books --- Econometric models. --- Income distribution - Econometric models --- Economic development - Econometric models --- Wealth - Econometric models --- Equality - Econometric models
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Aid is primarily given to governments whereas the engine of sustained growth is the private sector. It is therefore illusory to investigate the impact of aid on growth without considering the impact of government interventions on the private sector. The model shows how these interventions improve capacity utilization and growth. However, distortionary interventions can also cause capacity underutilization and an increase in the informal economy, that is, the very market failures the interventions initially sought to address. Countries that fall into this trap are characterized by insufficient credibility in promoting the private sector, which translates into aid dependence and slower growth over time. The empirical evidence is supportive. This paper finds that aggregate aid has a positive impact on growth (even without diminishing returns) but the impact is substantially smaller for low-income countries.
Economic assistance -- Econometric models. --- Economic development -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Loans, Foreign -- Econometric models. --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Production and Operations Management --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Foreign Aid --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- International economics --- Economics of specific sectors --- Finance --- Capacity utilization --- Foreign aid --- Informal economy --- Personal income --- Foreign direct investment --- Industrial capacity --- International relief --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Income --- Investments, Foreign --- Loans, Foreign --- Economic assistance --- Economic development --- Econometric models.
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This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality and endogeneity. In addition, threshold effects, nonlinearities, and differences between advanced and emerging market economies are examined. The empirical results suggest an inverse relationship between initial debt and subsequent growth, controlling for other determinants of growth: on average, a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is associated with a slowdown in annual real per capita GDP growth of around 0.2 percentage points per year, with the impact being somewhat smaller in advanced economies. There is some evidence of nonlinearity with higher levels of initial debt having a proportionately larger negative effect on subsequent growth. Analysis of the components of growth suggests that the adverse effect largely reflects a slowdown in labor productivity growth mainly due to reduced investment and slower growth of capital stock.
Debts, Public--Econometric models. --- Economic development--Econometric models. --- Econometrics --- Public Finance --- Production and Operations Management --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- Estimation --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Public debt --- Public expenditure review --- Government debt management --- Total factor productivity --- Estimation techniques --- Debts, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Industrial productivity --- Econometric models --- United States --- Debts, Public. --- Economic development --- Econometric models.
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Macroeconomics --- Economic development --- Europe, Eastern --- Econometric models. --- Economic conditions --- AA / International- internationaal --- 338.8 --- 330.3 --- 330.540 --- 330.35 --- 330.101 --- 330.342 --- Economische groei. --- Methode in staathuishoudkunde. Statische, dynamische economie. Modellen. Experimental economics. --- Socialistische stelsels: algemeenheden. --- Economische groei. Kwantitatieve toename. Technische vooruitgang --zie ook {338.09} --- Economische analyse. Economische methodologie. Economische onderzoeksmethoden--(theoretische economie) --- Economische ontwikkeling. Groeistadia --- 330.342 Economische ontwikkeling. Groeistadia --- 330.101 Economische analyse. Economische methodologie. Economische onderzoeksmethoden--(theoretische economie) --- 330.35 Economische groei. Kwantitatieve toename. Technische vooruitgang --zie ook {338.09} --- Economische groei --- Methode in staathuishoudkunde. Statische, dynamische economie. Modellen. Experimental economics --- Socialistische stelsels: algemeenheden --- Economic development - Econometric models. --- Europe, Eastern - Economic conditions - Econometric models.
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An influential theoretical literature has observed that economic diversification can reduce risk and increase financial development. But causality operates in both directions, as a well functioning financial system can enable a society to invest in more productive but risky projects, thereby determining the degree of economic diversification. Thus, ordinary least squares (OLS) estimates of the impact of economic diversification on financial development are likely to be biased. Motivated by the economic geography literature, this paper uses instruments derived from topographical characteristics to estimate the impact of economic diversification on the development of finance. The fourth estimates suggest a large and robust role for diversification in shaping financial development. And these results imply that, by impeding financial sector development, the concentration of economic activity common in developing countries can adversely affect financial and economic development.
Economic development -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Finance -- Econometric models. --- Economic development --- Finance --- Econometric models. --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Manufacturing --- Demography --- Industrialization --- Manufacturing and Service Industries --- Choice of Technology --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Demographic Economics: General --- Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General --- Economic Development: General --- Banking --- Population & demography --- Manufacturing industries --- Economic growth --- Financial sector development --- Bank deposits --- Population and demographics --- Manufacturing --- Financial markets --- Financial services --- Economic sectors --- Financial services industry --- Banks and banking --- Population --- South Africa
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We develop a model to study the macroeconomic effects of public investment surges in low-income countries, making explicit: (i) the investment-growth linkages; (ii) public external and domestic debt accumulation; (iii) the fiscal policy reactions necessary to ensure debt-sustainability; and (iv) the macroeconomic adjustment required to ensure internal and external balance. Well-executed high-yielding public investment programs can substantially raise output and consumption and be self-financing in the long run. However, even if the long run looks good, transition problems can be formidable when concessional financing does not cover the full cost of the investment program. Covering the resulting gap with tax increases or spending cuts requires sharp macroeconomic adjustments, crowding out private investment and consumption and delaying the growth benefits of public investment. Covering the gap with domestic borrowing market is not helpful either: higher domestic rates increase the financing challenge and private investment and consumption are still crowded out. Supplementing with external commercial borrowing, on the other hand, can smooth these difficult adjustments, reconciling the scaling up with feasibility constraints on increases in tax rates. But the strategy may be also risky. With poor execution, sluggish fiscal policy reactions, or persistent negative exogenous shocks, this strategy can easily lead to unsustainable public debt dynamics. Front-loaded investment programs and weak structural conditions (such as low returns to public capital and poor execution of investments) make the fiscal adjustment more challenging and the risks greater.
Debts, Public -- Econometric models. --- Economic development -- Econometric models. --- Public investments -- Econometric models. --- Political Science --- Law, Politics & Government --- Public Finance --- Debts, External --- Finance, Public --- Exports and Imports --- Infrastructure --- Fiscal Policy --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Institutions and Growth --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- International economics --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Public investment spending --- Public debt --- Debt sustainability --- Expenditure --- National accounts --- External debt --- Public-private sector cooperation --- Public investments --- Debts, Public --- Saving and investment --- Ghana
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This paper examines how growth has varied across India's states. It finds that (i) the income gap between rich and poor states has widened; (ii) rich and faster-growing states have been more effective in reducing poverty; (iii) poor and slower-growing states have had little success in generating private sector jobs; (iv) labor and capital flows do little to close income gaps; and (v) the volatility in economic growth is greatest in poor states. Differences in states' policies affect the cross-state pattern of growth. Greater private sector investment, smaller governments, and better institutions are found to have a positive impact on growth.
Economic development -- Econometric models. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- India -- Economic policy. --- Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- Economic development --- Econometric models. --- India --- Economic policy. --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Social Services and Welfare --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Government Policy --- Provision and Effects of Welfare Program --- Labor Economics: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Social welfare & social services --- Poverty & precarity --- Personal income --- Poverty reduction --- Poverty --- Income --- Labor economics --- Economic theory --- Income economics
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