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Book
The Dynamic Implications of Foreign Aid and Its Variability
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462360939 1452722927 1283513846 9786613826299 1451906749 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper examines the effects of aid and its volatility on consumption, investment, and the structure of production in the context of an intertemporal two-sector general equilibrium model. A permanent flow of aid finances mainly consumption, a result consistent with the historical failure of aid inflows to translate into sustained growth. Shocks to aid are reflected mainly in investment fluctuations, as a result of consumption smoothing. Aid shocks result in substantial welfare losses, suggesting that aid variability should be taken into account in designing aid architecture. These results are consistent with the evidence from cross-country regressions of manufactured exports.


Book
The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries
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ISBN: 1513530747 1513565737 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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It is common for IMF-supported adjustment programs with low-income member countries (LICs) to project that they will facilitate FDI inflows. The main objective of this paper is to empirically examine this hypothesis. Using an unbalanced panel dataset for 73 low-income countries over the period 1980–2012, and two different econometric methods that address the selection-bias problem, the empirical results robustly show that participating in IMF-supported program is associated with a significant increase in FDI inflows.


Book
Donor Herding and Domestic Debt Crisis
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1451863691 1462309453 1451909039 9786613829863 1452746117 1283517418 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents a new model based on the loan-pushing model by Basu (1991) to show how a domestic debt crisis can occur in a low-income country following donor herding. The model focuses on the rational herding behavior of donors due to payoff and information externalities. Although there are many theoretical models on herding behavior, these models have not formally considered the relationship between donor herding and domestic debt crisis in a low-income country. This paper is an attempt to fill this gap. The paper shows that due to donor herding behavior a domestic debt crisis can occur once the actual debt level is above the desirable one.


Book
Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries
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ISBN: 1484386515 1475537018 1475559038 Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper aims to assess the economic impact of the IMF’s support through its facilities for low-income countries. It relies on two complementary econometric analyses: the first investigates the longer-term impact of IMF engagement—primarily through successive medium-term programs under the Extended Credit Facility and its predecessors (and more recently the Policy Support Instrument)—on economic growth and a range of other indicators and socioeconomic outcomes; the second focuses on the role of IMF shock-related financing—through augmentations of Extended Credit Facility arrangements and short-term and emergency financing instruments—on short-term macroeconomic performance.

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