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Book
A Guide to Direction of Trade Statistics.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1463918550 1463970374 1283535025 9786613847478 1463950047 Year: 1993 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This handbook issued by the IMF is primarily intended for users of the IMF's direction of trade database. The guide describes the collection, compilation, and dessemination of statistics on exports and imports by partner country. National compilers of statistics on trade by country may also derive some benefit from the Guide.


Book
The implications of South African economic growth for the rest of Africa
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462320570 1452754209 1282109693 9786613802583 1451906137 Year: 2005 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, African and European Depts,

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This paper measures the extent to which South African economic growth is an engine of growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Results based on panel data estimation for 47 African countries over four decades suggest that South African growth has a substantial positive impact on growth in the rest of Africa, even after controlling for other growth determinants. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.


Book
China's economic growth : international spillovers
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462373909 1455260649 128284637X 9786612846373 1455201766 Year: 2010 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of China’s growth have increased in recent decades. Long-term spillover effects, estimated through growth regressions based on panel data, are also significant and have extended in recent decades beyond Asia. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.


Book
New Estimates for Direction of Trade Statistics
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1484339142 148433910X Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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In March 2017, the IMF published an upgrade of its Direction of Trade Statistics (DOTS) dataset. This paper documents the new methodology that has been developed to estimate missing observations of bilateral trade statistics on a monthly basis. The new estimation procedure is founded on a benchmarking method that produces monthly estimates based on official trade statistics by partner country reported at different times and frequencies. In this paper we describe the new estimation methodology. Additional data sources have also been incorporated. We also assess the impact of the new estimates on trade measurement in DOTS at global, regional, and country-specific levels. Finally, we suggest some developments of DOTS to strenghten its relevance for IMF bilateral and multilateral surveillance.


Book
Regional Growth Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1513508849 1513508806 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper documents the steady increase in intraregional trade in sub-Saharan Africa since 1980, links this rise to important growth spillovers in the region, and identifies the main source countries and those most vulnerable to the economic conditions of others. Estimates show that in the short run, positive idiosyncratic shocks to regional trading partners’ growth significantly increase growth in the average sub-Saharan African country, while in the long-run the annual impact of growth in regional trading partner’s is smaller in magnitude. Policy implications including the need to support further continent-wide integration and the associated growth spillovers are discussed. Actions policymakers in sub-Saharan Africa can take to capture the benefits of these spillovers, while limiting exposure to the associated risks, are also proposed.


Book
Of Openess and Distance : Trade Developments in the Commonwealth of Independent States, 1993-2002
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ISBN: 146233654X 1452751048 128239164X 9786613820075 1451919255 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper analyzes developments in the structure of trade in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) during the transition decade, and finds that it changed less than in other transition economies. Trade openness of the CIS increased between 1993 and 1997, but has fallen to a lower-level plateau since then owing to regional and country-specific factors. These include slower progress in transition, geographic aspects, restrictions on trade, governance and corruption problems, weak infrastructure, lack of regional cooperation, and political conflicts. Regression results show that trade openness of the CIS countries would likely increase substantially if market-oriented reforms were pursued more vigorously.


Book
How Much Do Trading Partners Matter for Economic Growth?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462313744 1451993544 1281092916 1451892160 9786613775962 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper empirically examines the extent to which a country's economic growth is influenced by its trading partner economies. Panel estimation results based on four decades of data for over 100 countries show that trading partners' growth and relative income levels have a strong effect on domestic growth, even after controlling for the influence of common global and regional trends. One interpretation is that conditional convergence is stronger, the richer are a country's trading partners. A general implication of the results is that industrial countries benefit from trading with developing countries, which grow rapidly, while developing countries benefit from trading with industrial countries, which have relatively high incomes.

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