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This handbook issued by the IMF is primarily intended for users of the IMF's direction of trade database. The guide describes the collection, compilation, and dessemination of statistics on exports and imports by partner country. National compilers of statistics on trade by country may also derive some benefit from the Guide.
Commercial statistics --- South Africa --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Trade: General --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Exports --- Imports --- Direction of trade --- Trade balance --- Trade systems --- International trade --- Balance of trade
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This paper measures the extent to which South African economic growth is an engine of growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Results based on panel data estimation for 47 African countries over four decades suggest that South African growth has a substantial positive impact on growth in the rest of Africa, even after controlling for other growth determinants. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.
Africa, Sub-Saharan -- Economic conditions. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- International economic integration. --- South Africa -- Economic conditions -- 1991-. --- Exports and Imports --- Education: General --- Trade: General --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Health: General --- Retail and Wholesale Trade --- e-Commerce --- International economics --- Education --- Health economics --- Exports --- Direction of trade --- Health --- Trade in goods --- Balance of trade --- South Africa --- Africa, Sub-Saharan --- Economic conditions --- Economic conditions.
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This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of China’s growth have increased in recent decades. Long-term spillover effects, estimated through growth regressions based on panel data, are also significant and have extended in recent decades beyond Asia. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.
Economic development --- China --- Economic conditions. --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Trade: General --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Externalities --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Exports --- Imports --- Direction of trade --- Spillovers --- Market exchange rates --- Balance of trade --- International finance --- China, People's Republic of
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In March 2017, the IMF published an upgrade of its Direction of Trade Statistics (DOTS) dataset. This paper documents the new methodology that has been developed to estimate missing observations of bilateral trade statistics on a monthly basis. The new estimation procedure is founded on a benchmarking method that produces monthly estimates based on official trade statistics by partner country reported at different times and frequencies. In this paper we describe the new estimation methodology. Additional data sources have also been incorporated. We also assess the impact of the new estimates on trade measurement in DOTS at global, regional, and country-specific levels. Finally, we suggest some developments of DOTS to strenghten its relevance for IMF bilateral and multilateral surveillance.
Exports and Imports --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Optimization Techniques --- Programming Models --- Dynamic Analysis --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- Trade: General --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- International economics --- Exports --- Imports --- Plurilateral trade --- Trade balance --- Direction of trade --- Balance of trade --- International trade
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This paper documents the steady increase in intraregional trade in sub-Saharan Africa since 1980, links this rise to important growth spillovers in the region, and identifies the main source countries and those most vulnerable to the economic conditions of others. Estimates show that in the short run, positive idiosyncratic shocks to regional trading partners’ growth significantly increase growth in the average sub-Saharan African country, while in the long-run the annual impact of growth in regional trading partner’s is smaller in magnitude. Policy implications including the need to support further continent-wide integration and the associated growth spillovers are discussed. Actions policymakers in sub-Saharan Africa can take to capture the benefits of these spillovers, while limiting exposure to the associated risks, are also proposed.
Economic history. --- Economic conditions --- History, Economic --- Economics --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Economic Integration --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- Measurement of Economic Growth --- Aggregate Productivity --- Cross-Country Output Convergence --- Economywide Country Studies: Africa --- Externalities --- Trade: General --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- International economics --- Spillovers --- Exports --- Regional trade --- Imports --- Direction of trade --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- International trade --- International finance --- Balance of trade --- South Africa
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This paper analyzes developments in the structure of trade in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) during the transition decade, and finds that it changed less than in other transition economies. Trade openness of the CIS increased between 1993 and 1997, but has fallen to a lower-level plateau since then owing to regional and country-specific factors. These include slower progress in transition, geographic aspects, restrictions on trade, governance and corruption problems, weak infrastructure, lack of regional cooperation, and political conflicts. Regression results show that trade openness of the CIS countries would likely increase substantially if market-oriented reforms were pursued more vigorously.
Former Soviet republics --- CIS countries --- Commonwealth of Independent States countries --- Ex-Soviet republics --- Ex-Soviet states --- Former Soviet states --- New Independent States (Former Soviet republics) --- Newly Independent States (Former Soviet republics) --- NIS (Former Soviet republics) --- Commerce. --- Economic conditions. --- Exports and Imports --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Trade: Forecasting and Simulation --- Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, Technology, and Other Services: General, International, or Comparative --- Trade: General --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- International economics --- Exports --- Direction of trade --- Imports --- Trade policy --- Trade barriers --- International trade --- Trade balance --- Commercial policy --- Balance of trade --- Russian Federation
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This paper empirically examines the extent to which a country's economic growth is influenced by its trading partner economies. Panel estimation results based on four decades of data for over 100 countries show that trading partners' growth and relative income levels have a strong effect on domestic growth, even after controlling for the influence of common global and regional trends. One interpretation is that conditional convergence is stronger, the richer are a country's trading partners. A general implication of the results is that industrial countries benefit from trading with developing countries, which grow rapidly, while developing countries benefit from trading with industrial countries, which have relatively high incomes.
International trade. --- Economic development. --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- External trade --- Foreign commerce --- Foreign trade --- Global commerce --- Global trade --- Trade, International --- World trade --- Commerce --- International economic relations --- Non-traded goods --- Developing countries --- Commerce. --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Demography --- Economic Growth of Open Economies --- Economic Integration --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts --- International economics --- Population & migration geography --- Personal income --- Terms of trade --- Direction of trade --- Population growth --- National accounts --- International trade --- Population and demographics --- Income --- nternational cooperation --- Balance of trade --- Population --- United Kingdom
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