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The book focuses on applications of belief functions to business decisions. Section I introduces the intuitive, conceptual and historical development of belief functions. Three different interpretations (the marginally correct approximation, the qualitative model, and the quantitative model) of belief functions are investigated, and rough set theory and structured query language (SQL) are used to express belief function semantics. Section II presents applications of belief functions in information systems and auditing. Included are discussions on how a belief-function framework provides a more efficient and effective audit methodology and also the appropriateness of belief functions to represent uncertainties in audit evidence. The third section deals with applications of belief functions to mergers and acquisitions; financial analysis of engineering enterprises; forecast demand for mobile satellite services; modeling financial portfolios; and economics.
Planning (firm) --- Decision making --- Uncertainty --- Dempster-Shafer theory. --- Prise de décision --- Incertitude --- Dempster-Shafer, Théorie de --- Mathematical models. --- Modèles mathématiques --- Prise de décision --- Dempster-Shafer, Théorie de --- Modèles mathématiques --- Operations research. --- Decision making. --- Information technology. --- Business—Data processing. --- Accounting. --- Bookkeeping . --- Artificial intelligence. --- Economic theory. --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- IT in Business. --- Accounting/Auditing. --- Artificial Intelligence. --- Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods. --- Economic theory --- Political economy --- Social sciences --- Economic man --- AI (Artificial intelligence) --- Artificial thinking --- Electronic brains --- Intellectronics --- Intelligence, Artificial --- Intelligent machines --- Machine intelligence --- Thinking, Artificial --- Bionics --- Cognitive science --- Digital computer simulation --- Electronic data processing --- Logic machines --- Machine theory --- Self-organizing systems --- Simulation methods --- Fifth generation computers --- Neural computers --- Double entry bookkeeping --- Business --- Business education --- Accounting --- Accountancy --- Business enterprises --- Commerce --- Commercial accounting --- Finance --- Financial accounting --- Bookkeeping --- IT (Information technology) --- Technology --- Telematics --- Information superhighway --- Knowledge management --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory
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This book brings together a collection of classic research papers on the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions. By bridging fuzzy logic and probabilistic reasoning, the theory of belief functions has become a primary tool for knowledge representation and uncertainty reasoning in expert systems. This book will serve as the authoritative reference in the field of evidential reasoning and an important archival reference in a wide range of areas including uncertainty reasoning in artificial intelligence and decision making in economics, engineering, and management. From over 120 nominated contributions, the editors selected 30 papers, which are widely regarded as classics and will continue to make impacts on the future development of the field. The contributions are grouped into seven sections, including conceptual foundations, theoretical perspectives, theoretical extensions, alternative interpretations, and applications to artificial intelligence, decision-making, and statistical inferences. The book also includes a foreword by Dempster and Shafer reflecting the development of the theory in the last forty years, and an introduction describing the basic elements of the theory and how each paper contributes to the field.
Neural networks (Computer science) --- Fuzzy systems --- Artificial intelligence --- Dempster-Shafer theory --- Réseaux neuronaux (Informatique) --- Systèmes flous --- Intelligence artificielle --- Dempster-Shafer, Théorie de --- Artificial intelligence. --- Dempster-Shafer theory. --- Fuzzy systems. --- Neural networks (Computer science). --- Computer Science --- Mathematical Statistics --- Applied Mathematics --- Civil Engineering --- Civil & Environmental Engineering --- Engineering & Applied Sciences --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Belief functions (Probabilities) --- Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence --- Shafer theory, Dempster --- -AI (Artificial intelligence) --- Artificial thinking --- Electronic brains --- Intellectronics --- Intelligence, Artificial --- Intelligent machines --- Machine intelligence --- Thinking, Artificial --- Systems, Fuzzy --- Artificial neural networks --- Nets, Neural (Computer science) --- Networks, Neural (Computer science) --- Neural nets (Computer science) --- Engineering. --- Game theory. --- Applied mathematics. --- Engineering mathematics. --- Economic theory. --- Appl.Mathematics/Computational Methods of Engineering. --- Artificial Intelligence (incl. Robotics). --- Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences. --- Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods. --- AI (Artificial intelligence) --- Bionics --- Cognitive science --- Digital computer simulation --- Electronic data processing --- Logic machines --- Machine theory --- Self-organizing systems --- Simulation methods --- Fifth generation computers --- Neural computers --- -Probabilities --- System analysis --- Fuzzy logic --- Natural computation --- Soft computing --- Mathematics. --- Mathematical and Computational Engineering. --- Artificial Intelligence. --- Economic theory --- Political economy --- Social sciences --- Economic man --- Math --- Science --- Engineering --- Engineering analysis --- Mathematical analysis --- Games, Theory of --- Theory of games --- Mathematical models
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